0x510a…3163

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x510a3d6a847e9bfe7c757ced3032ce303a273163
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+21.6pp

ROI

+50%

Win rate

63% @ 41.7¢

Brier

0.118

Resolved

Avg size

$14

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	78% (7/9)	+52%	9
Politics	100% (1/1)	+41%	1

Other9 bets
Hit rate
78% (7/9)
ROI
+52%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+41%

Track record

80% hit · 8/10

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	$206	66.6¢	Won
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026?	Yes	$22	33.2¢	Won
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?	Yes	$25	86.0¢	Won
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	$13	4.2¢	Lost
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31?	Yes	$50	84.4¢	Won
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.325T by September 30?	Yes	$9	88.0¢	Won
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 27, 2026?	Yes	$10	38.0¢	Won
Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?	No	$74	70.7¢	Won
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 11, 2026?	No	$11	4.4¢	Lost
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 11, 2026?	Yes	$15	29.8¢	Won

Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Won
Yes$206 @ 66.6¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026?Won
Yes$22 @ 33.2¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?Won
Yes$25 @ 86.0¢
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
No$13 @ 4.2¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31?Won
Yes$50 @ 84.4¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.325T by September 30?Won
Yes$9 @ 88.0¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 27, 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 38.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?Won
No$74 @ 70.7¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 11, 2026?Lost
No$11 @ 4.4¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 11, 2026?Won
Yes$15 @ 29.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?	Other	Yes	$182	76.6¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$111	75.0¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $195B by September 30?	Other	Yes	$62	71.6¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Business	Yes	$55	69.0¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$44	74.9¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $130B by September 30?	Other	Yes	$41	29.4¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by September 30?	Other	Yes	$38	41.0¢
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$29	65.0¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?	Other	Yes	$25	33.3¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$23	51.9¢
LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Politics	Yes	$23	11.8¢
Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$20	80.0¢
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $10B by September 30?	Other	No	$19	62.0¢
Will Anthropic list on the NASDAQ?	Tech	Yes	$13	70.0¢
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Politics	Yes	$13	50.9¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?	Other	Yes	$11	79.0¢
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$7	68.0¢
LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Politics	Yes	$3	10.0¢
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by September 30?	Other	Yes	$1	0.4¢
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by September 30?	Other	Yes	$0	5.0¢

Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?Other
Yes$182 @ 76.6¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Tech
Yes$111 @ 75.0¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $195B by September 30?Other
Yes$62 @ 71.6¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Business
Yes$55 @ 69.0¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?Tech
Yes$44 @ 74.9¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $130B by September 30?Other
Yes$41 @ 29.4¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by September 30?Other
Yes$38 @ 41.0¢
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?Tech
Yes$29 @ 65.0¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?Other
Yes$25 @ 33.3¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$23 @ 51.9¢
LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?Politics
Yes$23 @ 11.8¢
Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026?Tech
No$20 @ 80.0¢
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $10B by September 30?Other
No$19 @ 62.0¢
Will Anthropic list on the NASDAQ?Tech
Yes$13 @ 70.0¢
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics
Yes$13 @ 50.9¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?Other
Yes$11 @ 79.0¢
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?Geopolitics
No$7 @ 68.0¢
LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?Politics
Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by September 30?Other
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by September 30?Other
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢