← Smart money
0x5041…619a
ProfitableEdge
+16.4pp
ROI
+93%
Win rate
50% @ 33.6¢
Brier
0.248
Resolved
82
Avg size
$6
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 42% (8/19) | +136% | 19 |
| Politics | 67% (4/6) | +120% | 6 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | -2% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other19 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (8/19)
- ROI
- +136%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- +120%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -2%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
46% hit · 13/28- No$15 @ 3.9¢
- No$17 @ 70.9¢
- No$28 @ 27.5¢
- Yes$77 @ 50.0¢
- No$10 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 14.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
- No$15 @ 76.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 36.0¢
- No$11 @ 26.8¢
- No$18 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 45.0¢
- No$76 @ 77.9¢
- Yes$22 @ 22.9¢
- Yes$17 @ 33.7¢
- Yes$21 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$102 @ 29.1¢
- No$2 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 14.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 23.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 7.0¢
- No$1 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 88.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$37 @ 44.0¢
- No$24 @ 96.0¢
- No$23 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 79.1¢
- No$13 @ 21.0¢
- Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$11 @ 87.0¢
- No$11 @ 79.9¢
- Yes$11 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 10.3¢
- No$5 @ 94.5¢
- No$5 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
- No$4 @ 95.0¢
- No$4 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 17.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 81.0¢
- No$4 @ 93.0¢
- No$4 @ 89.0¢
- New pandemic in 2026?GeopoliticsYes$3 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.9¢
- No$3 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 88.0¢
- No$2 @ 90.0¢
- No$2 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 93.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 78.0¢
- No$1 @ 29.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 92.0¢