0x4f1d…8de2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4f1d5ae26fc31472966e951af3183308736d8de2
Creator: WhaleGraph

ProfitableSniper

Edge

+11.1pp

ROI

+46%

Win rate

60% @ 48.4¢

Brier

0.172

Resolved

121

Avg size

$43

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	32% (14/44)	+21%	44
Science	100% (7/7)	+38%	7
Other	40% (2/5)	-29%	5
Politics	67% (2/3)	+44%	3
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports44 bets
Hit rate
32% (14/44)
ROI
+21%
Science7 bets
Hit rate
100% (7/7)
ROI
+38%
Other5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
-29%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+44%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

42% hit · 25/60

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?	No	$3.3k	67.4¢	Won
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$87	78.9¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5	Over	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	No	$283	24.1¢	Won
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5	Over	$158	14.1¢	Won
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5	Under	$1.1k	33.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$3	10.9¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5	Over	$216	52.3¢	Won
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$15	3.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 39 and 41 million views on day 2?	No	$4	7.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Curaçao?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5	Under	$95	86.2¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5	Under	$166	80.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	$33	54.2¢	Won
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Curaçao?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	$50	82.4¢	Won
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5	Over	$4	19.1¢	Lost
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5	Under	$58	72.1¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5	Over	$19	6.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on June 15?	No	$4	87.3¢	Won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5	Under	$0	1.5¢	Lost
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5	Under	$175	77.1¢	Won
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	No	$2.0k	67.9¢	Won
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	$3	30.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye?	No	$39	83.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 14?	No	$0	72.3¢	Won
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)	Kansas City Royals	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or below on June 14?	No	$4	83.5¢	Won
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	No	$2.2k	75.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 14?	No	$4	88.1¢	Won
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	No	$81	10.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 1 Türkiye?	Yes	$4	5.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 14?	No	$3	53.5¢	Won
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Türkiye?	No	$16	83.3¢	Won
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Türkiye?	Yes	$14	11.5¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$51	10.3¢	Lost
Spread: Australia (-1.5)	Australia	$79	77.0¢	Lost
Spread: Australia (-1.5)	Türkiye	$45	63.9¢	Won

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?Won
No$3.3k @ 67.4¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$87 @ 78.9¢
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$1 @ 6.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Won
No$283 @ 24.1¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Won
Over$158 @ 14.1¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$1.1k @ 33.1¢
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$3 @ 10.9¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5Won
Over$216 @ 52.3¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$15 @ 3.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 39 and 41 million views on day 2?Lost
No$4 @ 7.0¢
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5Won
Under$95 @ 86.2¢
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Won
Under$166 @ 80.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Won
No$33 @ 54.2¢
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Won
No$50 @ 82.4¢
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Lost
Over$4 @ 19.1¢
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Won
Under$58 @ 72.1¢
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$19 @ 6.0¢
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on June 15?Won
No$4 @ 87.3¢
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$0 @ 1.5¢
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Won
Under$175 @ 77.1¢
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?Won
No$2.0k @ 67.9¢
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?Lost
Yes$3 @ 30.0¢
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye?Won
No$39 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 14?Won
No$0 @ 72.3¢
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Lost
Kansas City Royals$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or below on June 14?Won
No$4 @ 83.5¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$2.2k @ 75.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 14?Won
No$4 @ 88.1¢
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Lost
No$81 @ 10.5¢
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 1 Türkiye?Lost
Yes$4 @ 5.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 14?Won
No$3 @ 53.5¢
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Türkiye?Won
No$16 @ 83.3¢
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Türkiye?Lost
Yes$14 @ 11.5¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
No$51 @ 10.3¢
Spread: Australia (-1.5)Lost
Australia$79 @ 77.0¢
Spread: Australia (-1.5)Won
Türkiye$45 @ 63.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5	Sports	Under	$1.3k	81.6¢
Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$660	6.7¢
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$660	6.7¢
Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$660	6.7¢
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$620	6.7¢
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$620	6.7¢
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$617	6.7¢
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$615	6.7¢
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$615	6.7¢
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Geopolitics	Yes	$532	25.0¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Politics	Yes	$434	11.1¢
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tech	Yes	$400	5.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Politics	Yes	$377	11.1¢
Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Politics	Yes	$374	3.0¢
Will James Thomas Bryer win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Politics	Yes	$374	3.0¢
Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Politics	Yes	$373	3.0¢
Will John Skipworth win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Politics	Yes	$373	3.0¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Politics	Yes	$369	11.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?	Politics	Yes	$348	5.3¢
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tech	Yes	$342	5.3¢
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 3 New Zealand?	—	No	$339	98.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	Politics	Yes	$339	5.3¢
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$331	3.6¢
Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$328	20.0¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Politics	Yes	$326	11.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?	Politics	Yes	$318	5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Politics	Yes	$316	5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	Politics	Yes	$315	5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?	Politics	Yes	$304	5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Politics	Yes	$296	5.3¢

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5Sports
Under$1.3k @ 81.6¢
Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$660 @ 6.7¢
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$660 @ 6.7¢
Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$660 @ 6.7¢
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$620 @ 6.7¢
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$620 @ 6.7¢
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$617 @ 6.7¢
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$615 @ 6.7¢
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$615 @ 6.7¢
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
Yes$532 @ 25.0¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?Politics
Yes$434 @ 11.1¢
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech
Yes$400 @ 5.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?Politics
Yes$377 @ 11.1¢
Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics
Yes$374 @ 3.0¢
Will James Thomas Bryer win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics
Yes$374 @ 3.0¢
Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics
Yes$373 @ 3.0¢
Will John Skipworth win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics
Yes$373 @ 3.0¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?Politics
Yes$369 @ 11.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?Politics
Yes$348 @ 5.3¢
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech
Yes$342 @ 5.3¢
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 3 New Zealand?—
No$339 @ 98.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?Politics
Yes$339 @ 5.3¢
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
Yes$331 @ 3.6¢
Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$328 @ 20.0¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?Politics
Yes$326 @ 11.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?Politics
Yes$318 @ 5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?Politics
Yes$316 @ 5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?Politics
Yes$315 @ 5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?Politics
Yes$304 @ 5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Politics
Yes$296 @ 5.3¢