← Smart money
0x4d00…8af3
ProfitableEdge
+14.6pp
ROI
+73%
Win rate
38% @ 23.8¢
Brier
0.212
Resolved
52
Avg size
$37
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 8% (2/25) | -4% | 25 |
| Sports | 43% (3/7) | +438% | 7 |
| Politics | 75% (3/4) | +95% | 4 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +312% | 1 |
- Other25 bets
- Hit rate
- 8% (2/25)
- ROI
- -4%
- Sports7 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (3/7)
- ROI
- +438%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +95%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +312%
Track record
24% hit · 9/37- No$31 @ 31.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$65 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$24 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$101 @ 69.0¢
- 76ers$239 @ 32.5¢
- No$27 @ 38.6¢
- Yes$51 @ 5.0¢
- No$150 @ 46.2¢
- No$30 @ 0.2¢
- No$100 @ 53.0¢
- Raptors$48 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 24.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Houston Astros$153 @ 39.0¢
- Lakers$57 @ 14.0¢
- No$168 @ 65.1¢
- No$79 @ 27.7¢
- No$20 @ 70.0¢
- No$5 @ 0.1¢
- No$31 @ 15.5¢
- No$20 @ 43.1¢
- No$13 @ 3.1¢
- St. Louis Cardinals$153 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$80 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$101 @ 18.0¢
- No$30 @ 63.0¢
- No$21 @ 34.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 12.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Sports | Yes | $95 | 63.0¢ |
- Yes$95 @ 63.0¢