0x4add…6fe5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4addc66860b349959cb5070a83dbd9eeb6836fe5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+1.6pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

48% @ 46.9¢

Brier

0.188

Resolved

5415

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	48% (946/1981)	+7%	1981
Other	41% (55/133)	-10%	133
Politics	38% (14/37)	-26%	37

Science1981 bets
Hit rate
48% (946/1981)
ROI
+7%
Other133 bets
Hit rate
41% (55/133)
ROI
-10%
Politics37 bets
Hit rate
38% (14/37)
ROI
-26%

Track record

47% hit · 1015/2151

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 19?	Yes	$1	6.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 19?	No	$9	91.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 19?	No	$4	91.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 20?	Yes	$7	48.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?	No	$5	90.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?	Yes	$2	57.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 20?	No	$3	69.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 20?	Yes	$4	40.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 4?	Yes	$7	32.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 16?	No	$2	62.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 16?	Yes	$4	36.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	$3	17.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 5?	No	$1	68.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 5?	Yes	$11	25.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	$1	66.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	$7	16.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	$2	44.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 10?	Yes	$2	32.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 30?	No	$10	79.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	$8	24.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 10?	No	$9	84.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26?	No	$14	77.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 1?	Yes	$5	52.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	$3	40.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 28?	Yes	$3	76.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 9?	Yes	$3	13.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9?	No	$4	46.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9?	Yes	$3	58.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 27?	No	$4	88.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	$3	7.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	$2	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 28?	Yes	$8	45.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 29?	Yes	$16	10.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	$2	5.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 9?	Yes	$5	53.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 11?	No	$7	74.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 11?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 6?	No	$8	77.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	$7	16.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9?	No	$13	73.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?	Yes	$14	55.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	$7	59.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 16?	No	$3	83.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 16?	Yes	$2	12.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 7?	No	$2	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 7?	Yes	$2	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 5?	No	$4	74.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 5?	Yes	$5	21.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 7?	Yes	$13	15.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	$4	35.6¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 19?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 19?Won
No$9 @ 91.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 19?Won
No$4 @ 91.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 20?Won
Yes$7 @ 48.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?Won
No$5 @ 90.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?Lost
Yes$2 @ 57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 20?Won
No$3 @ 69.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 20?Lost
Yes$4 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 4?Lost
Yes$7 @ 32.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 16?Won
No$2 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 16?Lost
Yes$4 @ 36.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?Lost
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 5?Won
No$1 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$11 @ 25.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$7 @ 16.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?Won
Yes$2 @ 44.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 10?Lost
Yes$2 @ 32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 30?Lost
No$10 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?Lost
Yes$8 @ 24.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 10?Won
No$9 @ 84.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26?Lost
No$14 @ 77.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 1?Lost
Yes$5 @ 52.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$3 @ 40.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 28?Won
Yes$3 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 9?Lost
Yes$3 @ 13.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9?Lost
No$4 @ 46.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9?Won
Yes$3 @ 58.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 27?Won
No$4 @ 88.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 27?Lost
Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on October 6?Lost
Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 28?Lost
Yes$8 @ 45.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$16 @ 10.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 9?Won
Yes$5 @ 53.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 11?Won
No$7 @ 74.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 6?Won
No$8 @ 77.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$7 @ 16.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9?Won
No$13 @ 73.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?Won
Yes$14 @ 55.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1?Won
Yes$7 @ 59.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 16?Won
No$3 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 16?Lost
Yes$2 @ 12.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 7?Won
No$2 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 7?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 5?Lost
No$4 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 5?Won
Yes$5 @ 21.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 7?Lost
Yes$13 @ 15.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$4 @ 35.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?	Science	No	$22	86.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?	Science	Yes	$16	88.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 20?	Science	Yes	$16	53.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on October 20?	Science	Yes	$15	25.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 20?	Science	No	$14	88.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 19?	Science	Yes	$13	58.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	Science	Yes	$13	59.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 21?	Science	No	$12	88.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 21?	Science	Yes	$12	15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 20?	Science	Yes	$12	53.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 21?	Science	Yes	$12	80.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?	Science	Yes	$12	71.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 19?	Science	No	$12	84.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 20?	Science	Yes	$11	38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 19?	Science	No	$11	53.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 20?	Science	No	$10	94.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 21?	Science	Yes	$10	38.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 21?	Science	Yes	$10	44.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 20?	Science	Yes	$10	34.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 21?	Science	No	$10	81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 21?	Science	No	$10	87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 21?	Science	No	$10	59.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Science	No	$9	94.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 21?	Science	Yes	$9	20.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 20?	Science	Yes	$9	42.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 19?	Science	No	$9	91.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 20?	Science	Yes	$9	11.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20?	Science	Yes	$9	57.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 21?	Science	Yes	$9	42.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 21?	Science	Yes	$8	48.9¢

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?Science
No$22 @ 86.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?Science
Yes$16 @ 88.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 20?Science
Yes$16 @ 53.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on October 20?Science
Yes$15 @ 25.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 20?Science
No$14 @ 88.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 19?Science
Yes$13 @ 58.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?Science
Yes$13 @ 59.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 21?Science
No$12 @ 88.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 21?Science
Yes$12 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 20?Science
Yes$12 @ 53.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 21?Science
Yes$12 @ 80.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?Science
Yes$12 @ 71.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 19?Science
No$12 @ 84.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 20?Science
Yes$11 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 19?Science
No$11 @ 53.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 20?Science
No$10 @ 94.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 21?Science
Yes$10 @ 38.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 21?Science
Yes$10 @ 44.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 20?Science
Yes$10 @ 34.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 21?Science
No$10 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 21?Science
No$10 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 21?Science
No$10 @ 59.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?Science
No$9 @ 94.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 21?Science
Yes$9 @ 20.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 20?Science
Yes$9 @ 42.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 19?Science
No$9 @ 91.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 20?Science
Yes$9 @ 11.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20?Science
Yes$9 @ 57.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 21?Science
Yes$9 @ 42.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 21?Science
Yes$8 @ 48.9¢