0x49bc…8e3c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x49bceb9fa38ae72bf16d645b12c9dc76c7348e3c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+14.5pp

ROI

+55%

Win rate

68% @ 53.9¢

Brier

0.224

Resolved

120

Avg size

$159

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	69% (65/94)	+89%	94
Other	58% (14/24)	+32%	24
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+46%	2

Sports94 bets
Hit rate
69% (65/94)
ROI
+89%
Other24 bets
Hit rate
58% (14/24)
ROI
+32%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+46%

Track record

68% hit · 81/120

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	$18	69.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	$18	40.0¢	Won
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	$36	64.5¢	Won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	$18	52.0¢	Won
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	$18	40.0¢	Lost
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)	PSV	$18	61.0¢	Won
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)	Fenerbahçe SK	$18	37.0¢	Lost
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	Sabah FK	$18	48.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)	Karmine Corp	$85	75.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$81	67.0¢	Won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)	Cabo Verde	$51	64.0¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$101	68.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$51	60.0¢	Won
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$101	80.0¢	Won
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$51	65.0¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$90	53.5¢	Lost
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$81	71.0¢	Won
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$51	61.0¢	Won
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	Croatia	$51	42.0¢	Lost
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$99	35.7¢	Won
Game Handicap: KOR (-2.5) vs Chinese Taipei (+2.5)	Chinese Taipei	$15	30.0¢	Lost
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Morocco	$113	42.0¢	Won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Côte dIvoire	$51	60.0¢	Won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)	Argentina	$31	43.0¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$51	51.0¢	Won
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)	Bosnia and Herzegovina	$51	49.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	No	$31	35.0¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$51	60.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$125	55.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$81	69.0¢	Won
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$51	53.0¢	Won
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance	Canada	$50	75.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	No	$51	51.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$9.5k	73.8¢	Won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)	Argentina	$50	68.0¢	Won
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$51	54.0¢	Lost
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)	Curaçao	$51	57.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$51	62.0¢	Lost
Spread: Germany (-3.5)	Germany	$30	54.0¢	Won
Spread: England (-1.5)	England	$30	63.0¢	Lost
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	FURIA Esports	$23	19.4¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	No	$113	42.7¢	Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	$124	62.0¢	Lost
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$61	58.0¢	Lost
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	Yes	$303	63.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	No	$113	52.2¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$61	69.5¢	Won
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Karmine Corp	$90	57.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$1000	41.0¢	Won
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)	Côte dIvoire	$31	43.0¢	Lost

Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Won
AS Roma$18 @ 69.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?Won
Yes$18 @ 40.0¢
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Won
FK Bodø/Glimt$36 @ 64.5¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Won
Manchester City FC$18 @ 52.0¢
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Lost
Liverpool FC$18 @ 40.0¢
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)Won
PSV$18 @ 61.0¢
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Lost
Fenerbahçe SK$18 @ 37.0¢
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)Won
Sabah FK$18 @ 48.0¢
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)Won
Karmine Corp$85 @ 75.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$81 @ 67.0¢
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Won
Cabo Verde$51 @ 64.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$101 @ 68.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$51 @ 60.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$101 @ 80.0¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$51 @ 65.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$90 @ 53.5¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$81 @ 71.0¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$51 @ 61.0¢
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Lost
Croatia$51 @ 42.0¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Won
France$99 @ 35.7¢
Game Handicap: KOR (-2.5) vs Chinese Taipei (+2.5)Lost
Chinese Taipei$15 @ 30.0¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWon
Morocco$113 @ 42.0¢
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Won
Côte dIvoire$51 @ 60.0¢
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Won
Argentina$31 @ 43.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Won
Yes$51 @ 51.0¢
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Won
Bosnia and Herzegovina$51 @ 49.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Lost
No$31 @ 35.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$51 @ 60.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$125 @ 55.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$81 @ 69.0¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$51 @ 53.0¢
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceWon
Canada$50 @ 75.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Won
No$51 @ 51.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$9.5k @ 73.8¢
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Won
Argentina$50 @ 68.0¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Lost
Yes$51 @ 54.0¢
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Won
Curaçao$51 @ 57.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$51 @ 62.0¢
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Won
Germany$30 @ 54.0¢
Spread: England (-1.5)Lost
England$30 @ 63.0¢
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-InLost
FURIA Esports$23 @ 19.4¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Lost
No$113 @ 42.7¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLost
Hanwha Life Esports$124 @ 62.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$61 @ 58.0¢
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?Won
Yes$303 @ 63.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Lost
No$113 @ 52.2¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$61 @ 69.5¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-InWon
Karmine Corp$90 @ 57.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$1000 @ 41.0¢
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Lost
Côte dIvoire$31 @ 43.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Sports	Yes	$500	69.0¢
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)	Sports	Aston Villa FC	$18	40.0¢
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21?	Sports	No	$18	57.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Sports	No	$18	54.0¢
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Sports	Yes	$18	43.0¢

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Sports
Yes$500 @ 69.0¢
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Sports
Aston Villa FC$18 @ 40.0¢
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21?Sports
No$18 @ 57.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?Sports
No$18 @ 54.0¢
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?Sports
Yes$18 @ 43.0¢