0x49a0…7885

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x49a01234f2f0370a4bfa4a15f28dddebbb837885
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.4pp

ROI

+41%

Win rate

60% @ 45.4¢

Brier

0.214

Resolved

583

Avg size

$60

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (119/249)	+29%	249
Politics	30% (3/10)	+50%	10
Tech	100% (3/3)	+154%	3
Sports	100% (1/1)	+255%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other249 bets
Hit rate
48% (119/249)
ROI
+29%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
ROI
+50%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+154%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+255%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

48% hit · 126/264

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	$144	48.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Montana?	Yes	$114	57.0¢	Lost
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$11	1.0¢	Lost
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$25	10.9¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	No	$161	17.3¢	Lost
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	$99	8.0¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Kings	Kings	$59	58.9¢	Won
Pacers vs. Kings	Pacers	$41	41.0¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Clippers	Clippers	$35	35.0¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Clippers	Timberwolves	$65	65.0¢	Won
Pelicans vs. Suns	Pelicans	$33	33.0¢	Lost
Pelicans vs. Suns	Suns	$67	67.0¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets	Rockets	$68	68.0¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets	Trail Blazers	$32	32.0¢	Lost
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers	Nuggets	$48	48.0¢	Won
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	$52	52.0¢	Lost
Pelicans vs. Kings	Kings	$35	35.0¢	Lost
Pelicans vs. Kings	Pelicans	$67	67.0¢	Won
Thunder vs. Bulls	Bulls	$23	23.0¢	Lost
Thunder vs. Bulls	Thunder	$77	77.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Pistons	Pistons	$52	52.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Pistons	Spurs	$48	48.0¢	Won
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks	Grizzlies	$109	36.3¢	Won
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	$191	63.7¢	Lost
Heat vs. Hawks	Hawks	$123	41.0¢	Lost
Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	$177	59.0¢	Won
Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	$11	11.0¢	Lost
Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	$89	89.0¢	Won
Grizzlies vs. Pacers	Grizzlies	$48	48.0¢	Won
Grizzlies vs. Pacers	Pacers	$52	52.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	Yes	$115	56.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$615	23.5¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Bucks	Bucks	$149	37.3¢	Won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks	Cavaliers	$193	64.3¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Wizards	Pacers	$151	50.3¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Wizards	Wizards	$151	50.3¢	Won
Pistons vs. Spurs	Pistons	$42	42.0¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Spurs	Spurs	$58	58.0¢	Won
Lakers vs. Nuggets	Lakers	$38	38.0¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	$62	62.0¢	Won
Wizards vs. Heat	Heat	$89	89.0¢	Won
Wizards vs. Heat	Wizards	$11	11.0¢	Lost
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	$1	69.0¢	Won
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves	Mavericks	$43	14.3¢	Lost
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	$258	86.0¢	Won
Wizards vs. Warriors	Warriors	$88	88.0¢	Won
Wizards vs. Warriors	Wizards	$12	12.0¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	$59	59.0¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	$41	41.0¢	Won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves	Grizzlies	$13	13.0¢	Lost

Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Won
Yes$144 @ 48.0¢
Will Trump say "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Montana?Lost
Yes$114 @ 57.0¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.0¢
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 10.9¢
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?Lost
No$161 @ 17.3¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Lost
Yes$99 @ 8.0¢
Pacers vs. KingsWon
Kings$59 @ 58.9¢
Pacers vs. KingsLost
Pacers$41 @ 41.0¢
Timberwolves vs. ClippersLost
Clippers$35 @ 35.0¢
Timberwolves vs. ClippersWon
Timberwolves$65 @ 65.0¢
Pelicans vs. SunsLost
Pelicans$33 @ 33.0¢
Pelicans vs. SunsWon
Suns$67 @ 67.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. RocketsWon
Rockets$68 @ 68.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. RocketsLost
Trail Blazers$32 @ 32.0¢
Nuggets vs. Trail BlazersWon
Nuggets$48 @ 48.0¢
Nuggets vs. Trail BlazersLost
Trail Blazers$52 @ 52.0¢
Pelicans vs. KingsLost
Kings$35 @ 35.0¢
Pelicans vs. KingsWon
Pelicans$67 @ 67.0¢
Thunder vs. BullsLost
Bulls$23 @ 23.0¢
Thunder vs. BullsWon
Thunder$77 @ 77.0¢
Spurs vs. PistonsLost
Pistons$52 @ 52.0¢
Spurs vs. PistonsWon
Spurs$48 @ 48.0¢
Grizzlies vs. MavericksWon
Grizzlies$109 @ 36.3¢
Grizzlies vs. MavericksLost
Mavericks$191 @ 63.7¢
Heat vs. HawksLost
Hawks$123 @ 41.0¢
Heat vs. HawksWon
Heat$177 @ 59.0¢
Thunder vs. MavericksLost
Mavericks$11 @ 11.0¢
Thunder vs. MavericksWon
Thunder$89 @ 89.0¢
Grizzlies vs. PacersWon
Grizzlies$48 @ 48.0¢
Grizzlies vs. PacersLost
Pacers$52 @ 52.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Lost
Yes$115 @ 56.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$615 @ 23.5¢
Cavaliers vs. BucksWon
Bucks$149 @ 37.3¢
Cavaliers vs. BucksLost
Cavaliers$193 @ 64.3¢
Pacers vs. WizardsLost
Pacers$151 @ 50.3¢
Pacers vs. WizardsWon
Wizards$151 @ 50.3¢
Pistons vs. SpursLost
Pistons$42 @ 42.0¢
Pistons vs. SpursWon
Spurs$58 @ 58.0¢
Lakers vs. NuggetsLost
Lakers$38 @ 38.0¢
Lakers vs. NuggetsWon
Nuggets$62 @ 62.0¢
Wizards vs. HeatWon
Heat$89 @ 89.0¢
Wizards vs. HeatLost
Wizards$11 @ 11.0¢
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Won
Yes$1 @ 69.0¢
Mavericks vs. TimberwolvesLost
Mavericks$43 @ 14.3¢
Mavericks vs. TimberwolvesWon
Timberwolves$258 @ 86.0¢
Wizards vs. WarriorsWon
Warriors$88 @ 88.0¢
Wizards vs. WarriorsLost
Wizards$12 @ 12.0¢
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLost
Nuggets$59 @ 59.0¢
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsWon
Timberwolves$41 @ 41.0¢
Grizzlies vs. TimberwolvesLost
Grizzlies$13 @ 13.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Tech	Yes	$302	22.7¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$42	4.2¢

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Tech
Yes$302 @ 22.7¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$42 @ 4.2¢