← Smart money
0x477d…4f06
SharpEdge
+10.4pp
ROI
+32%
Win rate
54% @ 43.2¢
Brier
0.162
Resolved
293
Avg size
$1
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 54% (15/28) | +67% | 28 |
| Politics | 52% (13/25) | -21% | 25 |
| Crypto | 50% (3/6) | +37% | 6 |
| Geopolitics | 67% (2/3) | -43% | 3 |
- Other28 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (15/28)
- ROI
- +67%
- Politics25 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (13/25)
- ROI
- -21%
- Crypto6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +37%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -43%
Track record
53% hit · 33/62- Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 75.0¢
- No$1 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 18.0¢
- No$2 @ 74.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 22.2¢
- No$1 @ 83.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 20.3¢
- No$3 @ 76.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
- No$3 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 13.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 17.4¢
- No$30 @ 47.5¢
- Yes$24 @ 18.7¢
- No$2 @ 70.5¢
- No$1 @ 24.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 31.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 79.4¢
- No$2 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 7.7¢
- No$2 @ 71.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 34.5¢
- No$1 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 71.2¢
- No$8 @ 18.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
- No$1 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 44.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
- No$13 @ 36.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 36.9¢
- No$1 @ 26.7¢
- Yes$34 @ 55.6¢
- No$1 @ 86.0¢
- No$4 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 78.5¢
- Yes$24 @ 38.1¢
- No$2 @ 50.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 38.2¢
- No$3 @ 78.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
- No$6 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 88.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$22 @ 69.0¢
- No$13 @ 97.0¢
- No$7 @ 90.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 82.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 84.0¢
- No$2 @ 93.4¢
- No$2 @ 70.5¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$2 @ 91.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 91.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 66.0¢
- Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$1 @ 78.0¢
- No$1 @ 70.0¢
- No$1 @ 92.0¢
- No$1 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 93.0¢
- No$1 @ 93.0¢
- No$1 @ 93.0¢
- No$1 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 93.0¢
- No$1 @ 93.0¢
- No$1 @ 73.0¢
- No$1 @ 89.0¢