← Smart money
0x404a…575d
SharpEdge
+4.5pp
ROI
+29%
Win rate
49% @ 44.9¢
Brier
0.159
Resolved
1050
Avg size
$53
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 51% (186/365) | +26% | 365 |
| Sports | 50% (45/90) | +39% | 90 |
| Crypto | 50% (11/22) | +45% | 22 |
| Geopolitics | 29% (2/7) | -81% | 7 |
| Politics | 40% (2/5) | +4% | 5 |
| Economy | 75% (3/4) | +8% | 4 |
| Culture | 25% (1/4) | -40% | 4 |
| Tech | 50% (1/2) | +45% | 2 |
| Science | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other365 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (186/365)
- ROI
- +26%
- Sports90 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (45/90)
- ROI
- +39%
- Crypto22 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (11/22)
- ROI
- +45%
- Geopolitics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (2/7)
- ROI
- -81%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- +4%
- Economy4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +8%
- Culture4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -40%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +45%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 251/500- West Indies$20 @ 28.0¢
- South Africa Champions$56 @ 84.0¢
- Gujarat Titans$1.1k @ 80.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 18.4¢
- No$20 @ 86.0¢
- No$122 @ 70.4¢
- Yes$101 @ 83.0¢
- Sunrisers Hyderabad$5 @ 48.0¢
- No$10 @ 63.0¢
- No$21 @ 49.6¢
- No$1.1k @ 5.2¢
- 100k$30 @ 54.9¢
- No$26 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 73.0¢
- No$10 @ 31.0¢
- No$20 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 24.0¢
- No$25 @ 56.0¢
- Malaysia$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$41 @ 13.3¢
- Yes$30 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$408 @ 49.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 14.4¢
- Yes$20 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 25.4¢
- No$39 @ 62.4¢
- No$50 @ 24.1¢
- Karachi Kings$115 @ 52.0¢
- No$51 @ 80.0¢
- No$20 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 74.0¢
- England$222 @ 85.3¢
- Sri Lanka$58 @ 28.6¢
- Yes$102 @ 49.0¢
- Gujarat Titans$51 @ 64.0¢
- Bangladesh High Performance$31 @ 61.4¢
- Islamabad United$20 @ 58.0¢
- India$251 @ 85.6¢
- Yes$20 @ 76.0¢
- Pakistan$133 @ 73.1¢
- Yes$50 @ 77.8¢
- Scotland$10 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 36.0¢
- No$40 @ 59.8¢
- Yes$20 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 14.6¢
- Yes$61 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$20 @ 51.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$251 @ 74.3¢
- Will Bangladesh win?SportsYes$175 @ 70.2¢
- No$170 @ 50.8¢
- No$74 @ 55.4¢
- Yes$50 @ 23.2¢
- No$50 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$47 @ 39.6¢
- Yes$42 @ 21.0¢
- No$40 @ 58.3¢
- Yes$34 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 32.1¢
- No$20 @ 53.0¢
- West Indies$20 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 22.0¢
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$20 @ 8.8¢
- No$19 @ 65.0¢
- No$17 @ 6.4¢
- Yes$17 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 47.9¢
- No$6 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 61.0¢