0x4025…a309

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4025e2cbfb15606ef6a1aba177db45d2ee76a309
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.9pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

82% @ 68.4¢

Brier

0.093

Resolved

158

Avg size

$24

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	75% (49/65)	+16%	65
Geopolitics	25% (1/4)	-3%	4
Politics	67% (2/3)	+55%	3

Other65 bets
Hit rate
75% (49/65)
ROI
+16%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-3%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+55%

Track record

72% hit · 52/72

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	$3	0.8¢	Lost
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$88	80.1¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of June 8 2026?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in April?	No	$14	67.5¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?	No	$4	74.4¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?	No	$4	79.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$48	64.6¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	$8	80.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?	Yes	$2	41.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	No	$22	73.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?	Yes	$7	70.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$41	81.8¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?	No	$4	73.7¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$8	78.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?	No	$43	85.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$2	47.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$36	71.2¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	$229	83.2¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	No	$60	83.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	Yes	$3	2.1¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?	No	$41	41.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?	No	$3	27.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?	Yes	$12	54.8¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	No	$44	87.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	$50	10.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$73	66.5¢	Won
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?	Yes	$9	89.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	$21	83.4¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?	No	$42	83.3¢	Won
Will China's annual inflation increase by ≥0.7% in December?	No	$1	40.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	No	$1	28.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	$45	89.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	No	$82	82.5¢	Won
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	Yes	$218	87.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	$149	71.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	No	$39	78.2¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of June 1 2026?	No	$44	88.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?	No	$17	83.8¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?	Yes	$10	63.1¢	Lost
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?	Yes	$1	10.4¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?	Yes	$5	45.4¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	No	$45	89.0¢	Won
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?	No	$167	81.5¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?	No	$54	82.7¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?	Yes	$4	76.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	$88	89.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	$406	70.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	$89	89.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$1	23.0¢	Lost

Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.8¢
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$88 @ 80.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of June 8 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in April?Won
No$14 @ 67.5¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?Won
No$4 @ 74.4¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?Won
No$4 @ 79.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$48 @ 64.6¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Won
No$8 @ 80.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?Lost
Yes$2 @ 41.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Won
No$22 @ 73.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?Won
Yes$7 @ 70.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
No$41 @ 81.8¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?Won
No$4 @ 73.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$8 @ 78.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Won
No$43 @ 85.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$2 @ 47.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$36 @ 71.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Won
No$229 @ 83.2¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?Won
No$60 @ 83.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.1¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?Won
No$41 @ 41.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Lost
No$3 @ 27.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?Won
Yes$12 @ 54.8¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?Won
No$44 @ 87.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Lost
Yes$50 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$73 @ 66.5¢
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?Won
Yes$9 @ 89.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Won
No$21 @ 83.4¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?Won
No$42 @ 83.3¢
Will China's annual inflation increase by ≥0.7% in December?Lost
No$1 @ 40.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Won
No$1 @ 28.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Won
No$45 @ 89.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?Won
No$82 @ 82.5¢
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Won
Yes$218 @ 87.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Lost
No$149 @ 71.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Won
No$39 @ 78.2¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of June 1 2026?Won
No$44 @ 88.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?Won
No$17 @ 83.8¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?Lost
Yes$10 @ 63.1¢
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.4¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?Lost
Yes$5 @ 45.4¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?Won
No$45 @ 89.0¢
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?Won
No$167 @ 81.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?Won
No$54 @ 82.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?Lost
Yes$4 @ 76.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Won
No$88 @ 89.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?Won
No$406 @ 70.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Won
No$89 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 23.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$8.4k	89.7¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$152	73.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?	Other	No	$44	94.0¢
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%?	Geopolitics	No	$21	81.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?	Other	No	$19	91.0¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	Politics	No	$16	64.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?	Other	No	$6	85.0¢
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$4	35.0¢
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1	5.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$1	10.0¢

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Other
No$8.4k @ 89.7¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Other
No$152 @ 73.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?Other
No$44 @ 94.0¢
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%?Geopolitics
No$21 @ 81.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?Other
No$19 @ 91.0¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Politics
No$16 @ 64.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?Other
No$6 @ 85.0¢
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?Geopolitics
Yes$4 @ 35.0¢
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?Geopolitics
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢