0x3f1e…e41e

Specialization by sphere

• Other38 bets

  Hit rate

  47% (18/38)

  ROI

  +49%

• Politics1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Lost
  Yes$41 @ 4.5¢
• Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?Lost
  Yes$41 @ 4.9¢
• Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 3.5¢
• House control after 2024 election?Won
  Republican$41 @ 38.0¢
• GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?Lost
  Yes$41 @ 2.7¢
• Will a Republican win North Carolina Governor Election?Lost
  Yes$41 @ 14.0¢
• Virginia Tech vs. MarylandLost
  Maryland$400 @ 44.0¢
• Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?Lost
  Yes$41 @ 3.8¢
• Will a Republican win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?Lost
  Yes$35 @ 9.7¢
• 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Lost
  Yes$41 @ 6.5¢
• Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$41 @ 63.0¢
• Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?Won
  Yes$748 @ 48.0¢
• Northern Iowa vs. Iowa: O/U 49.5Won
  Over$50 @ 48.0¢
• Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 28.1¢
• Will a Republican win Maine Presidential Election?Lost
  Yes$41 @ 11.0¢
• Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$41 @ 59.0¢
• Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$41 @ 58.0¢
• Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?Lost
  Yes$46 @ 3.6¢
• Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?Won
  Yes$41 @ 10.0¢
• 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseWon
  Yes$200 @ 29.0¢
• Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?Lost
  Yes$500 @ 26.9¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 12.0¢
• Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$41 @ 41.0¢
• Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$41 @ 50.0¢
• Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Lost
  Yes$41 @ 17.0¢
• Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$141 @ 47.6¢
• Spread: Virginia Tech (-2.5)Lost
  Maryland$200 @ 50.0¢
• Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?Won
  Yes$40 @ 17.0¢
• Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$41 @ 24.0¢
• Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5Lost
  Under$308 @ 49.0¢
• Trump wins every swing state?Won
  Yes$300 @ 18.4¢
• Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?Lost
  Yes$141 @ 9.3¢
• Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$300 @ 48.0¢
• Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$41 @ 49.0¢
• Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Lost
  No$147 @ 37.0¢
• Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-09-16?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 21.0¢
• GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Won
  Yes$41 @ 6.9¢
• 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Won
  Yes$41 @ 16.0¢
• Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?Lost
  Yes$40 @ 12.0¢

Current positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  No$500 @ 36.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$250 @ 40.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$250 @ 57.0¢
• Blue tsunami in 2026?Politics
  No$250 @ 48.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$250 @ 42.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$250 @ 41.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$250 @ 36.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$250 @ 31.0¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$250 @ 28.0¢
• Blue wave in 2026?Politics
  No$250 @ 16.6¢
• Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$150 @ 11.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$125 @ 12.0¢