0x386d…9bb6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x386d17027f1c9bcde34c9c12ada287ef950f9bb6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+1.3pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

15% @ 14.0¢

Brier

0.097

Resolved

7380

Avg size

$22

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	25% (203/816)	+9%	816
Sports	7% (1/15)	-95%	15
Crypto	33% (2/6)	+349%	6
Politics	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other816 bets
Hit rate
25% (203/816)
ROI
+9%
Sports15 bets
Hit rate
7% (1/15)
ROI
-95%
Crypto6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
+349%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

24% hit · 206/842

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	$27	34.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?	Yes	$177	31.6¢	Lost
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?	No	$644	37.9¢	Lost
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?	Yes	$193	44.1¢	Won
Will the ECB announce an increase?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Hurricanes vs. Capitals	Capitals	$99	43.0¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?	Yes	$36	26.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2300 and $2500 on May 16?	Yes	$117	7.1¢	Lost
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$2.1k	13.6¢	Lost
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	$132	33.0¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$50	3.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88000 and $86000 on April 4?	Yes	$31	4.3¢	Lost
Trump meets with Carney before June?	Yes	$54	32.1¢	Won
Bitcoin above $114,000 on August 1?	No	$45	3.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 18?	Yes	$49	14.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 18 at 5PM ET?	Yes	$111	6.6¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	Yes	$88	36.0¢	Lost
Spread: LAC (-1.5)	LAC	$122	55.0¢	Won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	$15	22.0¢	Lost
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	Yes	$3.2k	17.5¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?	Yes	$917	77.9¢	Won
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	Yes	$90	6.7¢	Lost
Solana above $130 on April 4?	Yes	$584	8.1¢	Lost
Ripple above $2.00 on April 18?	No	$120	24.0¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?	Yes	$272	23.0¢	Lost
Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?	Yes	$289	19.2¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	Yes	$356	23.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Mar 21?	Yes	$14	2.3¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $120 by February 28 2025?	Yes	$117	39.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 9?	Yes	$104	26.0¢	Lost
Total Over/Under 48.5	Over	$120	48.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $116k August 11–17?	Yes	$67	23.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire by Friday?	Yes	$129	7.9¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 January 19-25?	Yes	$54	13.6¢	Lost
Kings vs. Oilers	Kings	$157	44.0¢	Lost
Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies	Seattle Mariners	$29	42.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on May 27 at 5 PM ET?	Yes	$19	3.9¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$238	19.8¢	Lost
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?	Yes	$843	38.7¢	Lost
Will MicroStrategy buy 200+ Bitcoin in next purchase?	No	$16	1.4¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	$20	1.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$403	79.0¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$262	13.3¢	Lost
Trump x Epstein files made public by July 31?	Yes	$36	17.8¢	Lost
Super Bowl LIX Winner	Chiefs	$60	1.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on August 15?	Yes	$95	20.0¢	Won
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during March press conference?	No	$29	36.0¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Thunder	Pacers	$137	19.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 1?	Yes	$7	0.3¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?	Yes	$101	1.7¢	Lost

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersLost
Los Angeles Dodgers$27 @ 34.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?Lost
Yes$177 @ 31.6¢
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?Lost
No$644 @ 37.9¢
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?Won
Yes$193 @ 44.1¢
Will the ECB announce an increase?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Hurricanes vs. CapitalsLost
Capitals$99 @ 43.0¢
Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?Lost
Yes$36 @ 26.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2300 and $2500 on May 16?Lost
Yes$117 @ 7.1¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 13.6¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Won
No$132 @ 33.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$50 @ 3.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88000 and $86000 on April 4?Lost
Yes$31 @ 4.3¢
Trump meets with Carney before June?Won
Yes$54 @ 32.1¢
Bitcoin above $114,000 on August 1?Lost
No$45 @ 3.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 18?Lost
Yes$49 @ 14.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 18 at 5PM ET?Lost
Yes$111 @ 6.6¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Lost
Yes$88 @ 36.0¢
Spread: LAC (-1.5)Won
LAC$122 @ 55.0¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesLost
Pittsburgh Pirates$15 @ 22.0¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Lost
Yes$3.2k @ 17.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?Won
Yes$917 @ 77.9¢
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Lost
Yes$90 @ 6.7¢
Solana above $130 on April 4?Lost
Yes$584 @ 8.1¢
Ripple above $2.00 on April 18?Lost
No$120 @ 24.0¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Lost
Yes$272 @ 23.0¢
Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?Lost
Yes$289 @ 19.2¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Lost
Yes$356 @ 23.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Mar 21?Lost
Yes$14 @ 2.3¢
Will Solana dip to $120 by February 28 2025?Lost
Yes$117 @ 39.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 9?Lost
Yes$104 @ 26.0¢
Total Over/Under 48.5Won
Over$120 @ 48.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $116k August 11–17?Won
Yes$67 @ 23.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire by Friday? Lost
Yes$129 @ 7.9¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 January 19-25?Lost
Yes$54 @ 13.6¢
Kings vs. OilersLost
Kings$157 @ 44.0¢
Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado RockiesWon
Seattle Mariners$29 @ 42.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on May 27 at 5 PM ET?Lost
Yes$19 @ 3.9¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$238 @ 19.8¢
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Lost
Yes$843 @ 38.7¢
Will MicroStrategy buy 200+ Bitcoin in next purchase?Lost
No$16 @ 1.4¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Won
No$403 @ 79.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$262 @ 13.3¢
Trump x Epstein files made public by July 31?Lost
Yes$36 @ 17.8¢
Super Bowl LIX WinnerLost
Chiefs$60 @ 1.2¢
Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on August 15?Won
Yes$95 @ 20.0¢
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during March press conference?Lost
No$29 @ 36.0¢
Pacers vs. ThunderLost
Pacers$137 @ 19.6¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 1?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.3¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$101 @ 1.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Politics	Yes	$245	14.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$96	14.8¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Politics	Yes	$42	15.9¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Politics	Yes	$15	46.7¢
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$11	9.1¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	Politics	Yes	$4	0.6¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.2¢

Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?Politics
Yes$245 @ 14.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$96 @ 14.8¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?Politics
Yes$42 @ 15.9¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Politics
Yes$15 @ 46.7¢
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$11 @ 9.1¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?Politics
Yes$4 @ 0.6¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢