0x3826…2bc7

Specialization by sphere

• Politics38 bets

  Hit rate

  29% (11/38)

  ROI

  -46%

• Other22 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (11/22)

  ROI

  +125%

• Crypto4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +228%

• Tech2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +109%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$1 @ 70.0¢
• Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 37.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$119 @ 3.4¢
• Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?Won
  No$3 @ 16.9¢
• Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 69.8¢
• Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Won
  No$10 @ 76.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 6.4¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$16 @ 87.5¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 0.9¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$23 @ 24.8¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
• Trump out as President by May 31?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
• Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 26.9¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 6.2¢
• Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Lost
  No$8 @ 9.5¢
• Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Won
  Yes$50 @ 27.5¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Lost
  No$1 @ 83.0¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Won
  Yes$11 @ 42.4¢
• Will "Re:ZERO -Starting Life in Another World- Season 3" win Best Isekai Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Won
  Yes$2 @ 89.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 10.3¢
• Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Lost
  No$4 @ 28.8¢
• Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
• Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 9.2¢
• Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?Lost
  Yes$16 @ 5.1¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$5 @ 51.8¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$5 @ 34.0¢
• Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Won
  Yes$6 @ 59.0¢
• Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 5% and 10%?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 40.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$5 @ 88.4¢
• Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Lost
  No$5 @ 40.0¢
• Will Comoros win on 2026-06-08?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
• Will "Mobile Suit Gundam GQuuuuuuX" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 29.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$2 @ 75.6¢
• Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 28.3¢
• Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?Won
  No$1 @ 63.0¢
• Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 13.1¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Won
  No$1 @ 39.0¢
• Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 10.2¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 13.0¢
• Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?Lost
  No$1 @ 44.0¢
• Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?Won
  Yes$1 @ 77.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
  No$1 @ 5.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
  Yes$8 @ 78.4¢
• Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?Lost
  No$3 @ 0.1¢
• Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?Won
  Yes$6 @ 83.9¢
• Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
• Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?Won
  Yes$1 @ 79.0¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 4.0¢
• Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Won
  No$1 @ 86.0¢
• Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2026-06-08?Won
  No$1 @ 84.0¢

Current positions

• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$200 @ 83.4¢
• Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
  No$158 @ 78.3¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$57 @ 93.2¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
  No$56 @ 79.4¢
• Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$40 @ 7.8¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
  No$31 @ 60.3¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$30 @ 97.1¢
• Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics
  No$25 @ 98.9¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$22 @ 83.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  Yes$17 @ 26.2¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$17 @ 75.8¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$11 @ 45.8¢
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 77.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 24.4¢
• Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  No$8 @ 92.6¢
• Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics
  Yes$7 @ 56.4¢
• Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  No$7 @ 98.0¢
• Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Politics
  Yes$6 @ 93.0¢
• Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?—
  Yes$6 @ 94.4¢
• Iran leadership change by June 30?Politics
  No$6 @ 97.4¢
• U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics
  Yes$6 @ 39.1¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  Yes$6 @ 16.5¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$6 @ 0.9¢
• Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics
  No$6 @ 91.8¢
• Kash Patel out by June 30?Politics
  Yes$6 @ 36.8¢
• Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics
  Yes$6 @ 97.4¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 42.6¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 69.3¢
• Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 7.5¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$4 @ 88.0¢