0x3826…2bc7

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics155 bets

  Hit rate

  52% (80/155)

  ROI

  +15%

• Other48 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (24/48)

  ROI

  +36%

• Geopolitics15 bets

  Hit rate

  47% (7/15)

  ROI

  +2%

• Culture8 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (2/8)

  ROI

  -21%

• Crypto4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +228%

• Sports3 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (1/3)

  ROI

  -91%

• Tech2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +109%

• Science2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -46%

• Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?Won
  No$2 @ 99.0¢
• Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Won
  Yes$2 @ 86.8¢
• Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Won
  Yes$1 @ 91.0¢
• Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Won
  No$6 @ 91.8¢
• Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 7.5¢
• Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
  No$2 @ 47.0¢
• Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$7 @ 98.0¢
• Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 93.7¢
• Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Won
  Yes$1 @ 99.9¢
• Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
• Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 13.8¢
• Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  No$158 @ 78.3¢
• Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
  Yes$40 @ 7.8¢
• No one announced as next James Bond?Lost
  No$1 @ 0.2¢
• No one announced as next James Bond?Won
  Yes$25 @ 98.3¢
• Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Won
  Yes$1 @ 84.0¢
• Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Won
  No$1 @ 84.0¢
• Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?Won
  No$2 @ 49.0¢
• Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 59.0¢
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?Won
  No$4 @ 78.0¢
• Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$1 @ 98.3¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$6 @ 88.0¢
• Will Julia Letlow win the Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff by more than 25%?Won
  No$1 @ 99.0¢
• Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
• Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 94.0¢
• Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Lost
  No$1 @ 26.0¢
• Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?Won
  No$259 @ 99.9¢
• Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  Yes$9 @ 99.2¢
• Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 12.8¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$1 @ 70.0¢
• Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 37.0¢
• Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  No$30 @ 55.2¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$119 @ 3.4¢
• Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% by the end of May?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 63.0¢
• Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?Won
  No$3 @ 16.9¢
• Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 69.8¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
  No$9 @ 82.0¢
• Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Won
  No$10 @ 76.0¢
• Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?Lost
  No$1 @ 33.0¢
• Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?Won
  Yes$1 @ 53.0¢
• Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  No$9 @ 43.5¢
• Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 46.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 6.4¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$1 @ 38.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$38 @ 0.7¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 9.5¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$23 @ 24.8¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
• Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 61.2¢
• Trump out as President by May 31?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 0.4¢

Current positions

• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$33 @ 25.8¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
  No$31 @ 60.3¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$27 @ 82.6¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$17 @ 72.4¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$11 @ 45.8¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 24.4¢
• U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics
  Yes$6 @ 39.1¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  Yes$6 @ 16.5¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 20.4¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 42.6¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 69.3¢
• Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 64.9¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$4 @ 32.0¢
• Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics
  Yes$4 @ 84.3¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
  No$4 @ 55.0¢
• Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$4 @ 97.0¢
• Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$3 @ 97.0¢
• Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 86.8¢
• Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 29.3¢
• Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 18.4¢
• Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 36.4¢
• Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Science
  Yes$3 @ 83.0¢
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$2 @ 96.2¢
• Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Sports
  Yes$2 @ 38.8¢
• Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics
  No$2 @ 98.0¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?—
  Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
• Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$2 @ 55.2¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 28.4¢
• Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 14.6¢
• Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 4.3¢