← Smart money
0x3803…6d3b
SharpEdge
+16.2pp
ROI
+23%
Win rate
96% @ 79.8¢
Brier
0.054
Resolved
75
Avg size
$478
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 80% (8/10) | +27% | 10 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (10/10) | +22% | 10 |
| Other | 67% (2/3) | -6% | 3 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +16% | 1 |
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (8/10)
- ROI
- +27%
- Geopolitics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (10/10)
- ROI
- +22%
- Other3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -6%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +16%
Track record
88% hit · 21/24- No$6.0k @ 85.0¢
- No$100 @ 79.9¢
- Yes$181 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$748 @ 88.0¢
- No$1 @ 0.3¢
- No$2.5k @ 82.7¢
- Yes$192 @ 80.0¢
- No$906 @ 86.1¢
- No$4.8k @ 89.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 81.6¢
- No$1.6k @ 85.4¢
- No$7.3k @ 66.6¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 88.6¢
- No$2.0k @ 75.6¢
- No$1.1k @ 79.6¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 75.1¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 83.8¢
- No$440 @ 44.8¢
- Yes$239 @ 87.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$584 @ 41.7¢
- No$2.0k @ 79.0¢
- Yes$997 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$238 @ 85.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | Politics | Yes | $8.7k | 97.0¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | Geopolitics | Yes | $2.6k | 94.0¢ |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $179 | 8.0¢ |
- Yes$8.7k @ 97.0¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 94.0¢
- Yes$179 @ 8.0¢