← Smart money
0x330e…b9a3
SharpEdge
+37.9pp
ROI
+77%
Win rate
98% @ 60.0¢
Brier
0.176
Resolved
48
Avg size
$148
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 83% (5/6) | +77% | 6 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +17% | 1 |
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 83% (5/6)
- ROI
- +77%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +17%
Track record
86% hit · 6/7| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | $6 | 85.9¢ | Won |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Yes | $3 | 64.7¢ | Lost |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | $4 | 85.2¢ | Won |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election? | Yes | $61 | 87.4¢ | Won |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Rockets | $75 | 86.0¢ | Won |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $1.4k | 55.9¢ | Won |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $5.5k | 56.2¢ | Won |
- Yes$6 @ 85.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 64.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 85.2¢
- Yes$61 @ 87.4¢
- Rockets$75 @ 86.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 55.9¢
- Yes$5.5k @ 56.2¢
Recent trades
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