0x2ff2…7c02

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2ff21269586cb01d1084a7b8871d581eeab57c02
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+6.0pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

74% @ 67.6¢

Brier

0.156

Resolved

475

Avg size

$68

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	74% (145/195)	-0%	195
Politics	89% (24/27)	+27%	27
Geopolitics	75% (6/8)	+24%	8

Other195 bets
Hit rate
74% (145/195)
ROI
-0%
Politics27 bets
Hit rate
89% (24/27)
ROI
+27%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
75% (6/8)
ROI
+24%

Track record

76% hit · 175/230

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026?	No	$50	75.0¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	Yes	$199	89.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?	No	$150	75.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$200	69.5¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?	No	$100	74.0¢	Lost
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?	No	$151	74.1¢	Won
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?	No	$25	75.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$150	73.1¢	Won
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?	No	$330	73.5¢	Won
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 3?	No	$60	73.3¢	Won
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?	No	$75	79.7¢	Won
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 24, 2026?	No	$25	60.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$200	76.1¢	Won
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?	No	$125	72.5¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	No	$74	37.6¢	Won
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?	No	$83	55.0¢	Won
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	$28	51.7¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$385	84.4¢	Won
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?	No	$100	78.7¢	Won
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?	No	$408	68.3¢	Won
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 20, 2026?	No	$50	75.0¢	Lost
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 16, 2026?	No	$80	60.5¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	No	$161	78.0¢	Won
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	No	$125	87.9¢	Won
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?	No	$75	59.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	No	$1	64.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$100	80.0¢	Won
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	$40	76.3¢	Won
Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?	No	$283	82.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	No	$120	71.1¢	Won
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 11, 2026?	No	$50	80.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?	No	$175	79.2¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	No	$218	76.4¢	Won
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 20, 2026?	No	$75	79.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	$1	70.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?	No	$150	61.6¢	Won
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?	No	$106	78.7¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$421	70.3¢	Won
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?	No	$175	61.3¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$150	83.0¢	Won
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.?	No	$8	23.0¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?	No	$507	79.1¢	Won
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 1, 2026?	No	$25	79.0¢	Won
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?	No	$64	54.9¢	Won
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?	No	$156	62.1¢	Lost
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?	No	$49	67.3¢	Won
Will Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June?	No	$1	65.0¢	Won
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?	No	$100	59.6¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$560	76.5¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?	No	$100	69.3¢	Won

Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026?Lost
No$50 @ 75.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Won
Yes$199 @ 89.0¢
Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?Won
No$150 @ 75.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$200 @ 69.5¢
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?Lost
No$100 @ 74.0¢
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?Won
No$151 @ 74.1¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?Lost
No$25 @ 75.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$150 @ 73.1¢
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?Won
No$330 @ 73.5¢
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 3?Won
No$60 @ 73.3¢
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?Won
No$75 @ 79.7¢
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 24, 2026?Won
No$25 @ 60.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$200 @ 76.1¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Won
No$125 @ 72.5¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Won
No$74 @ 37.6¢
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?Won
No$83 @ 55.0¢
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?Lost
No$28 @ 51.7¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$385 @ 84.4¢
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?Won
No$100 @ 78.7¢
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?Won
No$408 @ 68.3¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 20, 2026?Lost
No$50 @ 75.0¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 16, 2026?Lost
No$80 @ 60.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Won
No$161 @ 78.0¢
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Won
No$125 @ 87.9¢
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?Won
No$75 @ 59.0¢
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?Won
No$1 @ 64.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
No$100 @ 80.0¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
No$40 @ 76.3¢
Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?Won
No$283 @ 82.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Won
No$120 @ 71.1¢
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 11, 2026?Won
No$50 @ 80.0¢
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?Won
No$175 @ 79.2¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Won
No$218 @ 76.4¢
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 20, 2026?Won
No$75 @ 79.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 70.0¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?Won
No$150 @ 61.6¢
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Won
No$106 @ 78.7¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$421 @ 70.3¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?Won
No$175 @ 61.3¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
No$150 @ 83.0¢
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.?Lost
No$8 @ 23.0¢
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?Won
No$507 @ 79.1¢
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 1, 2026?Won
No$25 @ 79.0¢
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?Won
No$64 @ 54.9¢
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Lost
No$156 @ 62.1¢
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?Won
No$49 @ 67.3¢
Will Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June?Won
No$1 @ 65.0¢
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?Won
No$100 @ 59.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$560 @ 76.5¢
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 69.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$90	81.8¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$90	53.8¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$50	91.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Politics	No	$50	78.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Politics	No	$50	73.0¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$90 @ 81.8¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$90 @ 53.8¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$50 @ 91.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Politics
No$50 @ 78.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
No$50 @ 73.0¢