0x28bf…4a4e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x28bf066c6cb952da62d6d182c16ad173ada64a4e
Creator: WhaleGraph

Sharp

Edge

+15.5pp

ROI

+29%

Win rate

64% @ 48.4¢

Brier

0.140

Resolved

144

Avg size

$14

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	52% (25/48)	+51%	48
Other	5% (1/22)	-97%	22
Sports	73% (8/11)	+18%	11
Politics	100% (7/7)	+33%	7
Tech	50% (3/6)	+20%	6
Culture	67% (2/3)	-55%	3
Economy	100% (1/1)	+13%	1

Science48 bets
Hit rate
52% (25/48)
ROI
+51%
Other22 bets
Hit rate
5% (1/22)
ROI
-97%
Sports11 bets
Hit rate
73% (8/11)
ROI
+18%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
100% (7/7)
ROI
+33%
Tech6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
+20%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-55%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+13%

Track record

48% hit · 47/98

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 14?	No	$20	54.6¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	No	$53	18.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	$63	69.5¢	Won
Will Switzerland score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$66	88.0¢	Won
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	No	$12	7.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 14?	No	$44	83.9¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$230	20.5¢	Lost
Germany to score first vs. Curaçao?	No	$4	9.6¢	Lost
Will the No. 7 Toyota Racing win the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans?	No	$2	7.5¢	Won
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	No	$88	70.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 13?	No	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Georgia win the 2026 College World Series?	No	$110	45.8¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	No	$23	83.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?	No	$1	87.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13?	No	$0	0.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13?	No	$5	9.0¢	Lost
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	No	$295	81.4¢	Won
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total rebounds?	No	$3	51.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14?	No	$23	74.6¢	Won
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$719	81.4¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	$75	82.4¢	Won
Will Tanvir Ahmad win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?	No	$0	44.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?	No	$31	12.2¢	Won
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College World Series?	No	$58	46.5¢	Won
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	No	$4	88.5¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	$9	80.4¢	Won
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2?	No	$149	75.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 13?	No	$25	84.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 13?	No	$26	87.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14?	No	$15	80.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13?	No	$46	76.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13?	No	$8	87.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 13?	No	$26	85.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?	No	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13?	No	$65	70.9¢	Won
Will La Laguna Tenerife win Liga Endesa?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	$129	24.1¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	$393	61.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13?	No	$10	84.4¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 12?	No	$2	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 12?	No	$35	42.8¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	$8	9.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	$58	68.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 12?	No	$23	76.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 12?	No	$29	78.8¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	$75	82.8¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	$128	85.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 12?	No	$24	80.0¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 14?Won
No$20 @ 54.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Lost
No$53 @ 18.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Won
No$63 @ 69.5¢
Will Switzerland score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$66 @ 88.0¢
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Lost
No$12 @ 7.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 14?Won
No$44 @ 83.9¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
No$230 @ 20.5¢
Germany to score first vs. Curaçao?Lost
No$4 @ 9.6¢
Will the No. 7 Toyota Racing win the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans?Won
No$2 @ 7.5¢
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Won
No$88 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 13?Lost
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Georgia win the 2026 College World Series?Won
No$110 @ 45.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Won
No$23 @ 83.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?Won
No$1 @ 87.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13?Won
No$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13?Lost
No$5 @ 9.0¢
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Won
No$295 @ 81.4¢
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total rebounds?Won
No$3 @ 51.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14?Won
No$23 @ 74.6¢
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
No$719 @ 81.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Won
No$75 @ 82.4¢
Will Tanvir Ahmad win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?Won
No$0 @ 44.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?Won
No$31 @ 12.2¢
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College World Series?Won
No$58 @ 46.5¢
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?Won
No$4 @ 88.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Won
No$9 @ 80.4¢
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2?Won
No$149 @ 75.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 13?Won
No$25 @ 84.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 13?Won
No$26 @ 87.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14?Won
No$15 @ 80.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13?Won
No$46 @ 76.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13?Won
No$8 @ 87.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 13?Won
No$26 @ 85.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?Lost
No$1 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13?Won
No$65 @ 70.9¢
Will La Laguna Tenerife win Liga Endesa?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Lost
No$129 @ 24.1¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Won
No$393 @ 61.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13?Won
No$10 @ 84.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 12?Lost
No$2 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 12?Lost
No$35 @ 42.8¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Lost
No$8 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Won
No$58 @ 68.6¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 12?Won
No$23 @ 76.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 12?Won
No$29 @ 78.8¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Won
No$75 @ 82.8¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Won
No$128 @ 85.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 12?Won
No$24 @ 80.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?	Politics	Yes	$132	5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Politics	Yes	$132	5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	Politics	Yes	$113	5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?	Politics	Yes	$104	5.3¢
Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	Politics	Yes	$89	14.3¢
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?	Politics	Yes	$89	14.3¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	Politics	Yes	$89	14.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?	Politics	Yes	$79	4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?	Politics	Yes	$79	4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?	Politics	Yes	$79	4.3¢
Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$79	4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?	Politics	Yes	$79	4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?	Politics	Yes	$79	4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?	Politics	Yes	$79	4.3¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?	Politics	Yes	$79	4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?	Politics	Yes	$79	4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Politics	Yes	$79	4.3¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?	Politics	Yes	$76	4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Politics	Yes	$73	4.3¢
Will another country finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Sports	Yes	$69	16.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	Politics	Yes	$65	5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?	Politics	Yes	$65	5.3¢
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tech	Yes	$62	5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?	Politics	Yes	$61	5.3¢
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$54	6.7¢
Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$54	6.7¢
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$51	6.7¢
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$51	6.7¢
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$51	6.7¢
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$51	6.7¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?Politics
Yes$132 @ 5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?Politics
Yes$132 @ 5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?Politics
Yes$113 @ 5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?Politics
Yes$104 @ 5.3¢
Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Politics
Yes$89 @ 14.3¢
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?Politics
Yes$89 @ 14.3¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Politics
Yes$89 @ 14.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?Politics
Yes$79 @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?Politics
Yes$79 @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Politics
Yes$79 @ 4.3¢
Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?Politics
Yes$79 @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?Politics
Yes$79 @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?Politics
Yes$79 @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Politics
Yes$79 @ 4.3¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?Politics
Yes$79 @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?Politics
Yes$79 @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Politics
Yes$79 @ 4.3¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?Politics
Yes$76 @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Politics
Yes$73 @ 4.3¢
Will another country finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Sports
Yes$69 @ 16.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?Politics
Yes$65 @ 5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?Politics
Yes$65 @ 5.3¢
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech
Yes$62 @ 5.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?Politics
Yes$61 @ 5.3¢
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$54 @ 6.7¢
Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$54 @ 6.7¢
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$51 @ 6.7¢
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$51 @ 6.7¢
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$51 @ 6.7¢
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$51 @ 6.7¢