← Smart money
0x26d6…cacc
Edge
-6.1pp
ROI
-10%
Win rate
43% @ 49.6¢
Brier
0.248
Resolved
658
Avg size
$2
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 50% (6/12) | +34% | 12 |
- Sports12 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (6/12)
- ROI
- +34%
Track record
50% hit · 6/12| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | Eintracht Spandau | $24 | 65.1¢ | Won |
| LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | Team Heretics Academy | $10 | 38.2¢ | Lost |
| Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel | Federico Cina | $52 | 57.7¢ | Lost |
| Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel | Taro Daniel | $33 | 45.0¢ | Won |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | No | $1.8k | 15.6¢ | Lost |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | $24.0k | 68.2¢ | Won |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | No | $6.1k | 75.5¢ | Won |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Yes | $98 | 2.3¢ | Lost |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | No | $1.4k | 75.6¢ | Won |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | $278 | 4.8¢ | Lost |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | $6 | 56.5¢ | Won |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | Detroit Tigers | $22 | 35.6¢ | Lost |
- Eintracht Spandau$24 @ 65.1¢
- Team Heretics Academy$10 @ 38.2¢
- Federico Cina$52 @ 57.7¢
- Taro Daniel$33 @ 45.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 15.6¢
- Yes$24.0k @ 68.2¢
- No$6.1k @ 75.5¢
- Yes$98 @ 2.3¢
- No$1.4k @ 75.6¢
- Yes$278 @ 4.8¢
- Cleveland Guardians$6 @ 56.5¢
- Detroit Tigers$22 @ 35.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$7.8k @ 84.9¢
- Yes$6.1k @ 74.7¢
- No$3.2k @ 73.1¢
- No$2.4k @ 97.3¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 53.5¢
- No$1.8k @ 80.3¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 54.4¢
- No$1.2k @ 44.7¢
- No$937 @ 33.5¢
- Yes$731 @ 21.3¢
- Team Liquid$134 @ 85.1¢
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsSportsLOS$99 @ 52.9¢
- Yes$90 @ 1.0¢
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsSportsVivo Keyd Stars$34 @ 29.7¢
- New York Yankees$30 @ 57.0¢
- Cloud9$18 @ 39.0¢
- Katerina Siniakova$13 @ 86.7¢
- Pittsburgh Pirates$10 @ 67.0¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$9 @ 93.0¢
- Cincinnati Reds$8 @ 56.0¢
- Baltimore Orioles$8 @ 31.4¢
- Boston Red Sox$7 @ 49.0¢
- San Diego Padres$7 @ 66.0¢
- St. Louis Cardinals$6 @ 40.7¢
- Cleveland Guardians$4 @ 83.0¢
- Washington Nationals$4 @ 79.0¢
- Atlanta Braves$4 @ 76.0¢
- Boston Red Sox$3 @ 56.0¢
- Yue Yuan$2 @ 11.8¢
- Miami Marlins$2 @ 35.0¢