0x2229…6bf8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x22292decebf2e9146b27fe59404d162447ea6bf8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+24.5pp

ROI

+93%

Win rate

62% @ 37.1¢

Brier

0.233

Resolved

302

Avg size

$261

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	57% (25/44)	+82%	44
Crypto	89% (8/9)	+140%	9
Sports	67% (2/3)	+16%	3
Politics	33% (1/3)	-15%	3
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other44 bets
Hit rate
57% (25/44)
ROI
+82%
Crypto9 bets
Hit rate
89% (8/9)
ROI
+140%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+16%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-15%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

58% hit · 36/62

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	$6.2k	62.8¢	Won
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?	No	$10	89.0¢	Won
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$199	12.9¢	Won
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$195	41.3¢	Won
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	No	$644	11.4¢	Lost
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	No	$1.7k	12.7¢	Lost
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	Yes	$1.8k	70.4¢	Won
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$2.5k	40.0¢	Won
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$502	89.6¢	Won
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?	Yes	$398	84.4¢	Won
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	$192	28.8¢	Won
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$326	12.4¢	Won
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?	No	$7.5k	19.9¢	Won
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$4.3k	64.0¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$500	84.2¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$500	88.0¢	Won
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$6.6k	50.8¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?	No	$120	59.8¢	Won
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?	Yes	$983	33.1¢	Lost
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?	No	$512	66.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 4?	Yes	$1	10.3¢	Lost
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	$3.4k	74.8¢	Won
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?	No	$513	61.6¢	Lost
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$100	0.7¢	Lost
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$100	84.0¢	Won
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	$997	35.0¢	Lost
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	$1.6k	19.3¢	Won
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	Yes	$15	4.9¢	Lost
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	$300	62.6¢	Won
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	Yes	$1.1k	72.0¢	Lost
Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	$501	42.2¢	Lost
Over $18M committed to the Credible public sale?	No	$4	16.0¢	Lost
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	$2.0k	33.4¢	Won
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?	Yes	$104	8.7¢	Lost
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?	No	$350	15.4¢	Lost
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?	Yes	$4.5k	83.5¢	Won
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	No	$956	11.2¢	Lost
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?	No	$1.1k	45.4¢	Won
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?	Yes	$1.2k	46.8¢	Lost
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	Yes	$101	86.9¢	Lost
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?	No	$500	42.0¢	Won
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?	Yes	$380	45.1¢	Lost
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?	Yes	$4	7.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$1.2k	87.0¢	Lost
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	$591	41.6¢	Won
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$195	41.5¢	Lost
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$2.1k	30.4¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$18	88.0¢	Won

Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?Won
Yes$6.2k @ 62.8¢
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Won
No$10 @ 89.0¢
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?Won
No$199 @ 12.9¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Won
Yes$195 @ 41.3¢
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Lost
No$644 @ 11.4¢
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?Lost
No$1.7k @ 12.7¢
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?Won
Yes$1.8k @ 70.4¢
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?Won
No$2.5k @ 40.0¢
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$502 @ 89.6¢
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Won
Yes$398 @ 84.4¢
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Won
No$192 @ 28.8¢
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?Won
No$326 @ 12.4¢
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Won
No$7.5k @ 19.9¢
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?Won
No$4.3k @ 64.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
No$500 @ 84.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$500 @ 88.0¢
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?Won
No$6.6k @ 50.8¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?Won
No$120 @ 59.8¢
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?Lost
Yes$983 @ 33.1¢
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?Won
No$512 @ 66.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.3¢
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?Won
No$3.4k @ 74.8¢
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Lost
No$513 @ 61.6¢
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$100 @ 0.7¢
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Won
Yes$100 @ 84.0¢
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?Lost
No$997 @ 35.0¢
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 19.3¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Lost
Yes$15 @ 4.9¢
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Won
No$300 @ 62.6¢
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 72.0¢
Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?Lost
Yes$501 @ 42.2¢
Over $18M committed to the Credible public sale?Lost
No$4 @ 16.0¢
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 33.4¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Lost
Yes$104 @ 8.7¢
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Lost
No$350 @ 15.4¢
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Won
Yes$4.5k @ 83.5¢
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?Lost
No$956 @ 11.2¢
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?Won
No$1.1k @ 45.4¢
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 46.8¢
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?Lost
Yes$101 @ 86.9¢
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Won
No$500 @ 42.0¢
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Lost
Yes$380 @ 45.1¢
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 87.0¢
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?Won
No$591 @ 41.6¢
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
Yes$195 @ 41.5¢
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?Won
No$2.1k @ 30.4¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$18 @ 88.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Crypto	No	$1.0k	50.0¢
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Politics	No	$200	94.2¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$200	92.1¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-19 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$200	94.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-06 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$200	94.0¢
Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election?	Politics	No	$200	91.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$200	90.0¢
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$100	97.9¢
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?	Politics	No	$100	90.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$100	89.0¢

Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?Crypto
No$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics
No$200 @ 94.2¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?Politics
Yes$200 @ 92.1¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-19 House seat?Politics
Yes$200 @ 94.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-06 House seat?Politics
Yes$200 @ 94.0¢
Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election?Politics
No$200 @ 91.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?Politics
Yes$200 @ 90.0¢
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Crypto
No$100 @ 97.9¢
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?Politics
No$100 @ 90.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?Politics
Yes$100 @ 89.0¢