← Smart money
0x1a94…78b6
SharpEdge
+4.0pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
36% @ 31.6¢
Brier
0.189
Resolved
978
Avg size
$15
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 36% (202/560) | +4% | 560 |
| Politics | 42% (19/45) | +24% | 45 |
| Sports | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Crypto | 100% (2/2) | +559% | 2 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other560 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (202/560)
- ROI
- +4%
- Politics45 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (19/45)
- ROI
- +24%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +559%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
37% hit · 223/610- Yes$3 @ 25.7¢
- Yes$8 @ 33.0¢
- No$2 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 20.0¢
- No$3 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 41.0¢
- No$16 @ 81.0¢
- No$11 @ 70.0¢
- No$11 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.8¢
- No$5 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.8¢
- No$6 @ 27.5¢
- No$9 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.8¢
- No$1 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
- No$14 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
- No$10 @ 24.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 25.0¢
- No$4 @ 41.0¢
- No$2 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 17.0¢
- No$1 @ 8.0¢
- No$2 @ 25.0¢
- No$4 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 80.0¢
- Under$15 @ 58.0¢
- Under$5 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.8¢
- No$10 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 33.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Politics | No | $14 | 31.7¢ |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 35.0¢ |
- No$14 @ 31.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 35.0¢