0x15e9…dacd

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x15e9a4f23c85ce0d5b2016cd029d9185e9b3dacd
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.9pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

39% @ 34.5¢

Brier

0.208

Resolved

1826

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	46% (231/506)	+15%	506
Other	36% (135/372)	+23%	372
Politics	38% (18/47)	+6%	47

Science506 bets
Hit rate
46% (231/506)
ROI
+15%
Other372 bets
Hit rate
36% (135/372)
ROI
+23%
Politics47 bets
Hit rate
38% (18/47)
ROI
+6%

Track record

42% hit · 384/925

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?	Yes	$12	44.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 15?	Yes	$7	33.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	$14	47.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 15?	Yes	$22	44.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 15?	Yes	$14	56.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	Yes	$13	55.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 14?	Yes	$18	53.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 14?	Yes	$13	32.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 14?	Yes	$12	41.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14?	Yes	$11	37.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 14?	Yes	$12	39.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 14?	Yes	$13	42.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 14?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 14?	Yes	$13	34.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	$11	40.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 14?	Yes	$11	40.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 14?	Yes	$12	41.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	$13	45.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14?	Yes	$12	38.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 14?	Yes	$12	32.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 14?	Yes	$13	38.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	$13	54.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14?	Yes	$12	53.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13?	Yes	$9	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 13?	Yes	$10	40.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 13?	Yes	$7	29.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 13?	Yes	$13	27.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 13?	Yes	$13	66.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13?	Yes	$11	54.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 13?	Yes	$10	38.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 13?	Yes	$11	64.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 13?	Yes	$13	37.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 13?	Yes	$3	39.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 13?	Yes	$10	30.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 13?	Yes	$22	74.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 13?	Yes	$14	38.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 13?	Yes	$13	37.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 13?	Yes	$14	26.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13?	Yes	$13	25.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	$12	43.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	$13	36.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13?	Yes	$13	40.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 13?	Yes	$13	45.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 13?	Yes	$17	36.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 12?	Yes	$19	45.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12?	Yes	$17	33.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 12?	Yes	$6	22.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 12?	Yes	$11	56.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 12?	Yes	$13	43.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?	Yes	$12	43.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?Won
Yes$12 @ 44.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 15?Lost
Yes$7 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 15?Lost
Yes$14 @ 47.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 15?Lost
Yes$22 @ 44.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 15?Won
Yes$14 @ 56.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?Won
Yes$13 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 14?Won
Yes$18 @ 53.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 14?Lost
Yes$13 @ 32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 14?Lost
Yes$12 @ 41.3¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14?Won
Yes$11 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 14?Won
Yes$12 @ 39.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 14?Lost
Yes$13 @ 42.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 14?Won
Yes$13 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 14?Won
Yes$11 @ 40.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 14?Won
Yes$11 @ 40.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 14?Won
Yes$12 @ 41.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 14?Won
Yes$13 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$12 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$12 @ 32.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$13 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$13 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$12 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13?Lost
Yes$9 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 13?Won
Yes$10 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 13?Won
Yes$7 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$13 @ 27.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 13?Won
Yes$13 @ 66.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13?Won
Yes$11 @ 54.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 13?Won
Yes$10 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$11 @ 64.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$13 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$3 @ 39.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 13?Won
Yes$10 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 13?Won
Yes$22 @ 74.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 13?Won
Yes$14 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 13?Lost
Yes$13 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 13?Won
Yes$14 @ 26.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13?Won
Yes$13 @ 25.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 13?Won
Yes$12 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13?Lost
Yes$13 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13?Won
Yes$13 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 13?Won
Yes$13 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 13?Lost
Yes$17 @ 36.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 12?Lost
Yes$19 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12?Won
Yes$17 @ 33.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 12?Won
Yes$6 @ 22.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 12?Won
Yes$11 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 12?Won
Yes$13 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?Lost
Yes$12 @ 43.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 15?	Science	Yes	$30	41.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 16?	Science	Yes	$30	51.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 16?	Science	Yes	$28	63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 15?	Science	Yes	$28	66.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16?	Politics	Yes	$27	31.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 16?	Science	Yes	$26	36.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 15?	Science	Yes	$25	40.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 17?	Science	Yes	$15	43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 16?	Science	Yes	$15	36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Science	Yes	$15	50.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 15?	Politics	Yes	$15	44.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 16?	Science	Yes	$14	41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 15?	Science	Yes	$14	55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 16?	Science	Yes	$14	37.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?	Science	Yes	$14	52.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 15?	Science	Yes	$14	44.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 17?	Science	Yes	$14	48.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or higher on October 16?	Science	Yes	$14	42.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 15?	Science	Yes	$14	42.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 16?	Science	Yes	$14	30.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 15?	Science	Yes	$14	47.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 17?	Science	Yes	$14	36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 15?	Science	Yes	$14	56.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 16?	Politics	Yes	$14	32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 15?	Science	Yes	$13	31.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?	Science	Yes	$12	44.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?	—	Yes	$12	36.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 15?	Science	Yes	$10	43.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 15?	Science	Yes	$7	33.0¢

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 15?Science
Yes$30 @ 41.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 16?Science
Yes$30 @ 51.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 16?Science
Yes$28 @ 63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 15?Science
Yes$28 @ 66.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16?Politics
Yes$27 @ 31.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 16?Science
Yes$26 @ 36.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 15?Science
Yes$25 @ 40.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 17?Science
Yes$15 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 16?Science
Yes$15 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 15?Science
Yes$15 @ 50.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 15?Politics
Yes$15 @ 44.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 16?Science
Yes$14 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 15?Science
Yes$14 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 16?Science
Yes$14 @ 37.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?Science
Yes$14 @ 52.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 15?Science
Yes$14 @ 44.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 17?Science
Yes$14 @ 48.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or higher on October 16?Science
Yes$14 @ 42.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 15?Science
Yes$14 @ 42.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 16?Science
Yes$14 @ 30.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 15?Science
Yes$14 @ 47.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 17?Science
Yes$14 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 15?Science
Yes$14 @ 56.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 16?Politics
Yes$14 @ 32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 15?Science
Yes$13 @ 31.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?Science
Yes$12 @ 44.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?—
Yes$12 @ 36.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 15?Science
Yes$10 @ 43.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 15?Science
Yes$7 @ 33.0¢