← Smart money
0x12e4…dfc2
ProfitableEdge
+33.7pp
ROI
+174%
Win rate
63% @ 28.8¢
Brier
0.350
Resolved
240
Avg size
$110
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 48% (12/25) | +197% | 25 |
| Politics | 61% (11/18) | +134% | 18 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +270% | 1 |
- Other25 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (12/25)
- ROI
- +197%
- Politics18 bets
- Hit rate
- 61% (11/18)
- ROI
- +134%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +270%
Track record
53% hit · 24/45- Yes$596 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$171 @ 0.8¢
- No$261 @ 82.8¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 49.0¢
- Yes$463 @ 63.4¢
- No$63 @ 44.0¢
- No$17 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$89 @ 9.5¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 19.4¢
- Yes$101 @ 7.0¢
- No$315 @ 44.0¢
- No$20 @ 7.7¢
- No$1.2k @ 14.7¢
- No$10 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$104 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$500 @ 50.0¢
- No$129 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 8.2¢
- No$53 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$145 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$105 @ 27.0¢
- No$379 @ 58.9¢
- No$2.3k @ 76.9¢
- No$23 @ 75.0¢
- No$311 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$378 @ 46.2¢
- No$1.1k @ 17.9¢
- Yes$244 @ 75.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 17.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 68.0¢
- No$145 @ 17.0¢
- No$2.3k @ 13.6¢
- Yes$6 @ 10.4¢
- No$283 @ 11.8¢
- Yes$719 @ 33.8¢
- No$450 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$350 @ 17.9¢
- Yes$101 @ 16.7¢
- Yes$8 @ 30.0¢
- No$9 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$971 @ 16.6¢
- No$4.5k @ 64.1¢
- Yes$15 @ 30.4¢
- No$2.2k @ 74.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $3.5k | 11.1¢ |
| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | Politics | Yes | $2.7k | 24.9¢ |
- Yes$3.5k @ 11.1¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 24.9¢