← Smart money
0x0dba…71e9
SharpEdge
+22.4pp
ROI
+24%
Win rate
92% @ 69.6¢
Brier
0.108
Resolved
137
Avg size
$291
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 80% (8/10) | +25% | 10 |
| Tech | 50% (3/6) | +25% | 6 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other10 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (8/10)
- ROI
- +25%
- Tech6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +25%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
65% hit · 11/17| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026? | Yes | $1.9k | 72.5¢ | Lost |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026? | No | $3.1k | 75.9¢ | Won |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026? | No | $10.6k | 77.2¢ | Won |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $260 | 0.7¢ | Lost |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026? | Yes | $7.9k | 88.7¢ | Won |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | Yes | $5.0k | 85.3¢ | Won |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026? | Yes | $4.0k | 64.9¢ | Won |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026? | No | $59 | 76.9¢ | Won |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | No | $53 | 5.0¢ | Lost |
| Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Washington (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group B | Bebop | $20 | 86.0¢ | Won |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026? | Yes | $10 | 3.2¢ | Lost |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 21, 2026? | No | $195 | 65.0¢ | Won |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? | Yes | $36 | 20.0¢ | Lost |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 19, 2026? | No | $70 | 70.0¢ | Won |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | Yes | $480 | 48.0¢ | Won |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | No | $5.6k | 59.4¢ | Won |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $592 | 74.0¢ | Lost |
- Yes$1.9k @ 72.5¢
- No$3.1k @ 75.9¢
- No$10.6k @ 77.2¢
- Yes$260 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$7.9k @ 88.7¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 85.3¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 64.9¢
- No$59 @ 76.9¢
- No$53 @ 5.0¢
- Bebop$20 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 3.2¢
- No$195 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 20.0¢
- No$70 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$480 @ 48.0¢
- No$5.6k @ 59.4¢
- Yes$592 @ 74.0¢
Recent trades
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