0x0d42…f124

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0d42cc5ff0526fbb8f0bb9eafa9ebba3f23df124
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.3pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

39% @ 35.1¢

Brier

0.197

Resolved

2140

Avg size

$15

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	44% (88/199)	+2%	199
Other	35% (47/134)	+26%	134
Sports	50% (51/103)	+16%	103
Politics	39% (14/36)	+26%	36
Culture	47% (9/19)	+28%	19
Tech	25% (1/4)	-95%	4
Crypto	25% (1/4)	-15%	4
Economy	33% (1/3)	-89%	3
Business	33% (1/3)	+26%	3
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Science199 bets
Hit rate
44% (88/199)
ROI
+2%
Other134 bets
Hit rate
35% (47/134)
ROI
+26%
Sports103 bets
Hit rate
50% (51/103)
ROI
+16%
Politics36 bets
Hit rate
39% (14/36)
ROI
+26%
Culture19 bets
Hit rate
47% (9/19)
ROI
+28%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-95%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-15%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-89%
Business3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+26%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

42% hit · 213/506

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 11?	No	$102	52.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 11?	No	$8	93.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	$1	7.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?	No	$30	54.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	$34	41.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on October 4?	Yes	$2	27.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9?	No	$388	43.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?	No	$129	47.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?	Yes	$59	45.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 20?	Yes	$56	18.8¢	Lost
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Valerion - Game 2 Winner	Valerion	$41	34.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 2?	No	$54	69.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 2?	Yes	$25	29.0¢	Lost
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?	No	$102	20.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 24?	No	$180	69.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	$13	23.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	$39	18.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	No	$52	13.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	$81	17.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 2?	No	$31	60.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	$16	37.3¢	Lost
China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	$19	6.2¢	Won
Game Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs Senshi Esports Club (+1.5)	Senshi Esports Club	$95	39.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 4?	No	$9	14.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 4?	Yes	$2	9.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	No	$129	19.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	Yes	$2	7.4¢	Lost
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Cloud9	$26	32.0¢	Lost
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	LYON	$80	65.0¢	Won
Will Dominica win on 2026-09-21?	No	$39	16.4¢	Lost
Will Dominica win on 2026-09-21?	Yes	$60	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 1?	No	$30	39.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?	No	$29	31.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?	Yes	$2	46.0¢	Won
Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	$3	47.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 2?	No	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 2?	Yes	$138	40.1¢	Won
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B	3DMAX	$49	61.0¢	Won
FC Kairat Almaty vs. Zhetysu Taldykorgan: O/U 3.5	Under	$80	61.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: AP (-1.5) vs Pyramid IV Esports (+1.5)	Pyramid IV Esports	$79	58.0¢	Won
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-09-16?	No	$73	57.0¢	Lost
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 2 Winner	Galions	$68	46.0¢	Lost
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 2 Winner	T1 Academy	$41	51.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	No	$2	3.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	$2	43.0¢	Won
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C	G2 Esports	$37	46.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 23?	No	$65	37.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 23?	Yes	$76	45.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	$9	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on August 25?	Yes	$10	20.5¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 11?Lost
No$102 @ 52.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 11?Won
No$8 @ 93.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?Won
No$30 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?Lost
Yes$34 @ 41.6¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on October 4?Lost
Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9?Lost
No$388 @ 43.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?Lost
No$129 @ 47.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?Won
Yes$59 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 20?Lost
Yes$56 @ 18.8¢
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Valerion - Game 2 WinnerLost
Valerion$41 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 2?Won
No$54 @ 69.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 2?Lost
Yes$25 @ 29.0¢
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Lost
No$102 @ 20.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 24?Won
No$180 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 24?Lost
Yes$13 @ 23.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 7?Lost
Yes$39 @ 18.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?Won
No$52 @ 13.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?Lost
Yes$81 @ 17.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 2?Won
No$31 @ 60.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 2?Lost
Yes$16 @ 37.3¢
China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina CharaevaWon
Alina Charaeva$19 @ 6.2¢
Game Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs Senshi Esports Club (+1.5)Lost
Senshi Esports Club$95 @ 39.2¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 4?Won
No$9 @ 14.7¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 4?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?Won
No$129 @ 19.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.4¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsLost
Cloud9$26 @ 32.0¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsWon
LYON$80 @ 65.0¢
Will Dominica win on 2026-09-21?Lost
No$39 @ 16.4¢
Will Dominica win on 2026-09-21?Won
Yes$60 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 1?Lost
No$30 @ 39.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?Lost
No$29 @ 31.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?Won
Yes$2 @ 46.0¢
Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Lost
No$3 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 2?Lost
No$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 2?Won
Yes$138 @ 40.1¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group BWon
3DMAX$49 @ 61.0¢
FC Kairat Almaty vs. Zhetysu Taldykorgan: O/U 3.5Won
Under$80 @ 61.0¢
Game Handicap: AP (-1.5) vs Pyramid IV Esports (+1.5)Won
Pyramid IV Esports$79 @ 58.0¢
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-09-16?Lost
No$73 @ 57.0¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerLost
Galions$68 @ 46.0¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerWon
T1 Academy$41 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?Lost
No$2 @ 3.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?Won
Yes$2 @ 43.0¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group CLost
G2 Esports$37 @ 46.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 23?Won
No$65 @ 37.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$76 @ 45.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$9 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on August 25?Lost
Yes$10 @ 20.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$303	45.6¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Culture	No	$298	26.3¢
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Politics	No	$270	24.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	No	$250	21.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$250	88.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$242	84.0¢
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Politics	No	$237	87.8¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?	Culture	No	$235	82.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$199	91.0¢
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	Yes	$187	71.0¢
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$184	15.9¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$160	79.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11?	Science	No	$144	69.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$128	39.0¢
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$127	42.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 11?	Science	No	$110	68.0¢
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Politics	No	$110	90.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 11?	Science	No	$102	52.5¢
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$87	29.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$79	26.3¢
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$77	15.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Politics	Yes	$76	18.0¢
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Politics	No	$75	97.3¢
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	Tech	Yes	$74	88.5¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	No	$74	86.9¢
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	No	$72	91.1¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$72	24.0¢
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$67	22.5¢
Modi out by June 30, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$65	21.6¢
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$58	11.0¢

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$303 @ 45.6¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Culture
No$298 @ 26.3¢
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Politics
No$270 @ 24.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
No$250 @ 21.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$250 @ 88.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics
No$242 @ 84.0¢
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Politics
No$237 @ 87.8¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?Culture
No$235 @ 82.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?Politics
Yes$199 @ 91.0¢
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
Yes$187 @ 71.0¢
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Politics
Yes$184 @ 15.9¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$160 @ 79.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11?Science
No$144 @ 69.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$128 @ 39.0¢
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$127 @ 42.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 11?Science
No$110 @ 68.0¢
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Politics
No$110 @ 90.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 11?Science
No$102 @ 52.5¢
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Politics
Yes$87 @ 29.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$79 @ 26.3¢
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?Politics
Yes$77 @ 15.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics
Yes$76 @ 18.0¢
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Politics
No$75 @ 97.3¢
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Tech
Yes$74 @ 88.5¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
No$74 @ 86.9¢
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
No$72 @ 91.1¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics
Yes$72 @ 24.0¢
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Politics
Yes$67 @ 22.5¢
Modi out by June 30, 2027?Politics
Yes$65 @ 21.6¢
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$58 @ 11.0¢