0x0873…09e8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x08730443345e11c078c5b2597ce3c0f06af609e8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+0.3pp

ROI

+115%

Win rate

0% @ 0.1¢

Brier

0.004

Resolved

3026

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	0% (0/123)	-100%	123
Crypto	0% (0/25)	-100%	25
Sports	0% (0/10)	-100%	10
Other	0% (0/10)	-100%	10
Geopolitics	13% (1/8)	+6191%	8
Economy	0% (0/7)	-100%	7
Tech	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Science	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics123 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/123)
ROI
-100%
Crypto25 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/25)
ROI
-100%
Sports10 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/10)
ROI
-100%
Other10 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/10)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
+6191%
Economy7 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/7)
ROI
-100%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Science2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

1% hit · 1/191

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$7	0.1¢	Lost
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$7	0.1¢	Lost
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$6	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$8	0.1¢	Lost
Will Siniša Karan be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$17	0.1¢	Lost
Will Marcelo Queiroga win the Governor of Paraíba election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Stabilitātei! (ST!) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$8	0.1¢	Lost
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	Yes	$17	0.1¢	Lost
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?	Yes	$7	0.1¢	Lost
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Paulo Rocha win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Republicanos (REPUBLICANOS) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	Yes	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$13	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Romero Rodrigues win the Governor of Paraíba election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Zequinha Marinho win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.1¢
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.1¢
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.1¢
Will Siniša Karan be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
Yes$17 @ 0.1¢
Will Marcelo Queiroga win the Governor of Paraíba election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Stabilitātei! (ST!) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.1¢
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?Lost
Yes$17 @ 0.1¢
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.1¢
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Paulo Rocha win the Governor of Pará election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Republicanos (REPUBLICANOS) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$13 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Romero Rodrigues win the Governor of Paraíba election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Zequinha Marinho win the Governor of Pará election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$36	0.1¢
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$30	0.1¢
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$17	0.1¢
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$16	0.1¢
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tech	Yes	$15	0.1¢
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$14	0.1¢
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	0.1¢
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tech	Yes	$10	0.1¢
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$9	0.1¢
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$9	0.1¢
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$7	0.1¢
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	0.1¢
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$7	0.1¢
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$7	0.1¢
Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$6	0.1¢
Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.1¢
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.1¢
Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$4	0.1¢
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$4	0.1¢
Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Politics	Yes	$4	0.1¢
Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Politics	Yes	$4	0.1¢
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$3	0.1¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026?	Culture	Yes	$3	0.1¢
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3	0.1¢
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$3	0.1¢
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$3	0.1¢
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$3	0.1¢
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	Culture	Yes	$3	0.1¢
Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026?	Culture	Yes	$2	0.1¢
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.1¢

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$36 @ 0.1¢
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$30 @ 0.1¢
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$17 @ 0.1¢
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$16 @ 0.1¢
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
Yes$15 @ 0.1¢
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$14 @ 0.1¢
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$9 @ 0.1¢
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$9 @ 0.1¢
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$7 @ 0.1¢
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 0.1¢
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$7 @ 0.1¢
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$7 @ 0.1¢
Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026?Culture
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Culture
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026?Culture
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢