0x07fd…ad26

Specialization by sphere

• Other295 bets

  Hit rate

  61% (180/295)

  ROI

  +8%

• Politics52 bets

  Hit rate

  81% (42/52)

  ROI

  +32%

• Sports5 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (4/5)

  ROI

  -30%

• Geopolitics3 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (3/3)

  ROI

  +40%

• NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Won
  Yes$3 @ 88.0¢
• Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 10%?Won
  No$3 @ 77.0¢
• Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?Won
  No$20 @ 74.3¢
• Epstein client list released in 2025?Won
  No$3 @ 88.3¢
• Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Won
  No$3 @ 89.0¢
• Will Trump say 'NATO' during the 2025 State of the Union?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 73.0¢
• Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?Lost
  No$11 @ 71.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
  No$4 @ 37.2¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Won
  No$10 @ 64.0¢
• US government shutdown by October 1?Lost
  No$2 @ 28.0¢
• US government shutdown by October 1?Won
  Yes$2 @ 79.0¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? Won
  No$7 @ 72.3¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
  Yes$2 @ 86.0¢
• Will Donald Trump say "Germany" 7+ times during Merz events on June 5?Won
  Yes$2 @ 71.0¢
• Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by November 30?Won
  No$15 @ 74.0¢
• Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?Won
  No$14 @ 24.2¢
• Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?Won
  No$21 @ 67.4¢
• Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
• Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?Won
  No$32 @ 85.2¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Won
  No$13 @ 79.2¢
• Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?Won
  No$1 @ 88.0¢
• Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Lost
  No$6 @ 22.6¢
• Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Won
  No$10 @ 66.0¢
• Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  No$4 @ 85.5¢
• Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Won
  Yes$2 @ 39.5¢
• Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Won
  No$18 @ 64.0¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Won
  No$10 @ 89.6¢
• Weed rescheduled by March 31?Won
  No$1 @ 86.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Won
  No$11 @ 33.3¢
• Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?Won
  No$12 @ 80.9¢
• Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?Won
  No$49 @ 81.0¢
• Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?Won
  No$10 @ 56.0¢
• Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
• Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?Won
  No$20 @ 89.0¢
• Will Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?Won
  No$24 @ 83.6¢
• US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?Won
  No$4 @ 50.3¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
  No$4 @ 75.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$12 @ 84.6¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Won
  No$24 @ 53.0¢
• Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?Won
  No$20 @ 82.0¢
• US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Won
  No$10 @ 73.0¢
• Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 15?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 40.0¢
• Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Lost
  No$3 @ 2.6¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Lost
  No$1 @ 60.0¢
• Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Won
  Yes$4 @ 88.2¢
• Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?Won
  Yes$10 @ 76.8¢
• Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$5 @ 77.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Won
  No$13 @ 88.0¢
• Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 66.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Lost
  No$2 @ 27.0¢

Current positions

• Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Geopolitics
  No$41 @ 79.3¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$27 @ 76.2¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$25 @ 95.2¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$25 @ 72.0¢
• Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$24 @ 95.8¢
• Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$20 @ 96.1¢
• Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?Politics
  No$20 @ 86.0¢
• Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$20 @ 96.0¢
• Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$20 @ 72.8¢
• Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?Politics
  No$20 @ 86.0¢
• Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$20 @ 79.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?Politics
  No$19 @ 94.0¢
• Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$19 @ 68.3¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics
  No$19 @ 95.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics
  No$16 @ 92.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$16 @ 84.0¢
• Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$16 @ 71.5¢
• Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$15 @ 85.3¢
• Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Politics
  No$15 @ 95.4¢
• Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$14 @ 73.7¢
• Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$13 @ 77.1¢
• Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$12 @ 77.0¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$12 @ 88.0¢
• Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$12 @ 84.8¢
• Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Politics
  No$12 @ 88.0¢
• EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?Politics
  No$11 @ 51.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$11 @ 90.5¢
• Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics
  No$11 @ 91.8¢
• Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$10 @ 97.0¢
• X banned in any European country by December 31?Politics
  No$10 @ 76.2¢