0x077c…8b1f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x077cc94527bc666599943423f0061778e8e98b1f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.3pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

64% @ 55.7¢

Brier

0.169

Resolved

873

Avg size

$29

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	65% (163/251)	+1%	251
Sports	70% (28/40)	+27%	40
Politics	62% (8/13)	+48%	13
Tech	56% (5/9)	-5%	9
Geopolitics	60% (3/5)	+5%	5
Economy	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Culture	67% (2/3)	+9%	3

Other251 bets
Hit rate
65% (163/251)
ROI
+1%
Sports40 bets
Hit rate
70% (28/40)
ROI
+27%
Politics13 bets
Hit rate
62% (8/13)
ROI
+48%
Tech9 bets
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
ROI
-5%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+5%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+9%

Track record

65% hit · 209/324

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	No	$14	18.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?	No	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	$198	48.6¢	Won
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$55	72.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?	No	$57	70.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?	No	$7	66.0¢	Won
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $339,000 and $342,000 on June 30?	No	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?	No	$1	1.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 1?	No	$21	36.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 29?	No	$5	70.0¢	Won
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	No	$393	65.9¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.3k	80.7¢	Won
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	No	$8	42.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	$22	71.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?	No	$13	66.0¢	Won
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	No	$156	74.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?	No	$394	79.5¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$2.2k	83.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 2?	No	$3	67.0¢	Won
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	No	$59	25.6¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	No	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 2?	No	$4	80.0¢	Won
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	No	$106	26.3¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	$9	46.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	$3	81.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	$296	72.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?	No	$38	46.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 2?	No	$26	88.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	$39	73.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 28?	No	$0	0.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 29?	No	$5	5.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 29?	No	$1	8.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?	No	$83	68.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 29?	No	$12	75.3¢	Won
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	$53	45.7¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 3?	No	$53	74.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?	No	$22	74.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	$23	88.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	$134	67.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?	No	$89	42.5¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	$80	11.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 29?	No	$6	65.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?	No	$157	76.8¢	Won
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$30	59.4¢	Won
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	No	$7	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 30?	No	$30	73.0¢	Won
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	$3	7.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 2?	No	$27	53.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost

Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Lost
No$14 @ 18.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?Lost
No$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Won
No$198 @ 48.6¢
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$55 @ 72.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?Won
No$57 @ 70.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?Won
No$7 @ 66.0¢
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $339,000 and $342,000 on June 30?Lost
No$1 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?Won
No$1 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 1?Won
No$21 @ 36.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 29?Won
No$5 @ 70.0¢
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Lost
No$393 @ 65.9¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$1.3k @ 80.7¢
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Lost
No$8 @ 42.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Won
No$22 @ 71.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?Won
No$13 @ 66.0¢
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Lost
No$156 @ 74.2¢
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?Won
No$394 @ 79.5¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$2.2k @ 83.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 2?Won
No$3 @ 67.0¢
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Lost
No$59 @ 25.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Lost
No$2 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 2?Won
No$4 @ 80.0¢
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?Lost
No$106 @ 26.3¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
No$9 @ 46.6¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?Won
No$3 @ 81.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Won
No$296 @ 72.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?Lost
No$38 @ 46.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 2?Won
No$26 @ 88.0¢
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Lost
No$39 @ 73.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 28?Won
No$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 29?Lost
No$5 @ 5.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 29?Lost
No$1 @ 8.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?Lost
No$83 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 29?Won
No$12 @ 75.3¢
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Lost
No$53 @ 45.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 3?Won
No$53 @ 74.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?Lost
No$22 @ 74.0¢
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Won
No$23 @ 88.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Won
No$134 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?Won
No$89 @ 42.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Lost
No$80 @ 11.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 29?Won
No$6 @ 65.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?Won
No$157 @ 76.8¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$30 @ 59.4¢
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Lost
No$7 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 30?Won
No$30 @ 73.0¢
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Lost
No$3 @ 7.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 2?Won
No$27 @ 53.0¢
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$78	3.1¢
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$78	3.1¢
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$16	3.1¢
Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Politics	Yes	$9	4.3¢
Will Morez Johnson Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Sports	Yes	$1	1.1¢
Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Sports	Yes	$1	1.1¢
Will Hannes Steinbach win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Sports	Yes	$0	1.1¢
Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$0	3.1¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$0	3.1¢
Will Jayden Quaintance win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Sports	Yes	$0	1.1¢
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.9¢
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.9¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.9¢
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Politics	Yes	$0	2.1¢
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	1.4¢
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	1.4¢
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	1.4¢
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	1.4¢
Will Kelsey Mitchell win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	Sports	Yes	$0	1.8¢
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	Sports	Yes	$0	1.8¢
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	1.4¢

Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$78 @ 3.1¢
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$78 @ 3.1¢
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$16 @ 3.1¢
Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics
Yes$9 @ 4.3¢
Will Morez Johnson Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Sports
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Sports
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Hannes Steinbach win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Sports
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 3.1¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 3.1¢
Will Jayden Quaintance win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Sports
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics
Yes$0 @ 2.1¢
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will Kelsey Mitchell win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 1.8¢
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 1.8¢
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢