← Smart money
0x0670…29bf
SharpEdge
+14.8pp
ROI
+18%
Win rate
98% @ 83.0¢
Brier
0.026
Resolved
44
Avg size
$395
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 80% (4/5) | +20% | 5 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +13% | 1 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +11% | 1 |
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- +20%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +13%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +11%
Track record
86% hit · 6/7| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? | No | $589 | 87.1¢ | Won |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | $6.7k | 75.2¢ | Won |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | $5.6k | 86.9¢ | Won |
| Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? | No | $100 | 89.9¢ | Won |
| DeepSeek V4 released by May 15? | Yes | $439 | 87.0¢ | Won |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | Yes | $472 | 19.8¢ | Lost |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026? | No | $3.4k | 88.6¢ | Won |
- No$589 @ 87.1¢
- Yes$6.7k @ 75.2¢
- Yes$5.6k @ 86.9¢
- No$100 @ 89.9¢
- Yes$439 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$472 @ 19.8¢
- No$3.4k @ 88.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Tech | No | $12.6k | 82.9¢ |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Tech | No | $5.5k | 93.2¢ |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Geopolitics | No | $2.0k | 94.0¢ |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Tech | Anthropic | $1000 | 95.8¢ |
- No$12.6k @ 82.9¢
- No$5.5k @ 93.2¢
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$2.0k @ 94.0¢
- Anthropic$1000 @ 95.8¢