← Smart money
0x033d…af05
SharpEdge
+4.7pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
74% @ 69.1¢
Brier
0.140
Resolved
3122
Avg size
$193
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 74% (442/596) | +7% | 596 |
| Politics | 85% (11/13) | -5% | 13 |
| Culture | 78% (7/9) | +36% | 9 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +17% | 2 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +29% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +34% | 1 |
- Other596 bets
- Hit rate
- 74% (442/596)
- ROI
- +7%
- Politics13 bets
- Hit rate
- 85% (11/13)
- ROI
- -5%
- Culture9 bets
- Hit rate
- 78% (7/9)
- ROI
- +36%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +17%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +29%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +34%
Track record
75% hit · 464/622- Yes$245 @ 49.0¢
- No$267 @ 89.0¢
- No$2.1k @ 75.5¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 87.5¢
- Yes$768 @ 70.5¢
- No$704 @ 88.0¢
- No$445 @ 89.0¢
- No$656 @ 86.4¢
- No$5.4k @ 78.1¢
- No$933 @ 67.8¢
- Yes$606 @ 75.8¢
- Thunder$41 @ 81.0¢
- No$337 @ 79.9¢
- No$1.1k @ 82.2¢
- No$245 @ 81.7¢
- No$532 @ 79.5¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 57.5¢
- No$856 @ 83.2¢
- Yes$395 @ 53.8¢
- No$430 @ 86.0¢
- No$882 @ 80.1¢
- Yes$324 @ 64.7¢
- Yes$400 @ 88.4¢
- Yes$350 @ 70.0¢
- No$54 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 84.9¢
- Yes$294 @ 49.0¢
- No$104 @ 74.9¢
- No$445 @ 89.0¢
- Georgia Southern$56 @ 54.0¢
- Steel$390 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 89.0¢
- No$685 @ 68.5¢
- No$105 @ 30.7¢
- Yes$967 @ 88.0¢
- No$644 @ 80.5¢
- Yes$6.2k @ 60.5¢
- Yes$373 @ 74.7¢
- No$125 @ 42.7¢
- Yes$427 @ 85.4¢
- No$19 @ 88.8¢
- Yes$202 @ 81.0¢
- Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?WonYes$507 @ 84.5¢
- No$1.3k @ 84.4¢
- No$436 @ 87.2¢
- No$1.8k @ 89.5¢
- No$5.3k @ 84.7¢
- No$262 @ 32.7¢
- No$420 @ 84.0¢
- No$398 @ 80.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $1.5k | 7.4¢ |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $644 | 4.1¢ |
| Will Jenna Dewan win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Culture | No | $425 | 85.0¢ |
| Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday? | Culture | Yes | $423 | 65.5¢ |
| Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Culture | Yes | $330 | 29.1¢ |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Culture | Yes | $312 | 62.3¢ |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Culture | No | $165 | 55.0¢ |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Culture | Yes | $86 | 35.1¢ |
| Will Harry Shum Jr. win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Culture | Yes | $71 | 21.0¢ |
| Will Maura Higgins win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Culture | Yes | $67 | 20.0¢ |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Politics | No | $1 | 59.0¢ |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 55.5¢ |
- Yes$1.5k @ 7.4¢
- Yes$644 @ 4.1¢
- No$425 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$423 @ 65.5¢
- Yes$330 @ 29.1¢
- Yes$312 @ 62.3¢
- No$165 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$86 @ 35.1¢
- Yes$71 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$67 @ 20.0¢
- No$1 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 55.5¢