0x028b…4ad0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x028be7496302642b893fdd61a83abe44c3644ad0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-12.6pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

53% @ 65.5¢

Brier

0.218

Resolved

619

Avg size

$10

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	56% (64/114)	-14%	114
Science	68% (41/60)	+4%	60
Sports	61% (11/18)	-23%	18
Politics	85% (11/13)	+59%	13
Culture	78% (7/9)	+22%	9
Crypto	67% (2/3)	-38%	3
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+4%	1

Other114 bets
Hit rate
56% (64/114)
ROI
-14%
Science60 bets
Hit rate
68% (41/60)
ROI
+4%
Sports18 bets
Hit rate
61% (11/18)
ROI
-23%
Politics13 bets
Hit rate
85% (11/13)
ROI
+59%
Culture9 bets
Hit rate
78% (7/9)
ROI
+22%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-38%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+4%

Track record

63% hit · 137/218

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	$4	96.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 6?	Yes	$2	88.0¢	Won
Charlotte FC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 0.5	Over	$221	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?	Yes	$4	35.5¢	Lost
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb	Paul Jubb	$5	43.5¢	Lost
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb	Tristan Schoolkate	$4	75.6¢	Won
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	Yes	$36	84.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 2?	No	$6	89.9¢	Won
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$10	46.0¢	Won
Will FCV Farul Constanţa win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	$1	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 12?	No	$10	89.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	$6	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	$13	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on September 24?	No	$1	54.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 6?	Yes	$7	74.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on June 8?	Yes	$1	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 8?	No	$8	70.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?	No	$3	43.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?	Yes	$1	26.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?	No	$1	79.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?	Yes	$2	4.3¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 8?	Yes	$10	74.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?	No	$5	84.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?	No	$1	83.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 9?	Yes	$15	49.6¢	Won
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	$60	89.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$13	7.4¢	Won
Trinidad and Tobago vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 0.5	Over	$40	87.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4?	No	$6	80.4¢	Won
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	No	$4	40.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 5?	Yes	$12	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on June 8?	Yes	$7	48.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	No	$3	83.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	$2	10.9¢	Lost
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 1 Winner	Arctic Pandas	$396	57.5¢	Lost
Kyrgyz Republic vs. Maldives: O/U 5.5	Over	$121	71.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	$1	51.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 29?	Yes	$6	69.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 11?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	$2	35.7¢	Lost
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5	Over	$2	62.0¢	Won
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$4	48.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	$9	88.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	No	$3	63.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 8?	No	$8	79.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	$1	21.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 8?	No	$2	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8?	Yes	$3	82.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Lost
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan	Katie Swan	$13	46.6¢	Won

Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?Won
Yes$4 @ 96.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 6?Won
Yes$2 @ 88.0¢
Charlotte FC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 0.5Won
Over$221 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?Lost
Yes$4 @ 35.5¢
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul JubbLost
Paul Jubb$5 @ 43.5¢
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul JubbWon
Tristan Schoolkate$4 @ 75.6¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Won
Yes$36 @ 84.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 2?Won
No$6 @ 89.9¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$10 @ 46.0¢
Will FCV Farul Constanţa win on 2026-09-11?Won
Yes$1 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 12?Won
No$10 @ 89.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 7?Won
Yes$6 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?Won
No$13 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on September 24?Won
No$1 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 6?Won
Yes$7 @ 74.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on June 8?Won
Yes$1 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 8?Won
No$8 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?Lost
No$3 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?Won
No$1 @ 79.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 8?Won
Yes$10 @ 74.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?Won
No$5 @ 84.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?Won
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 9?Won
Yes$15 @ 49.6¢
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story" be the top global Netflix show this week?Won
Yes$60 @ 89.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Won
Yes$13 @ 7.4¢
Trinidad and Tobago vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 0.5Won
Over$40 @ 87.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4?Won
No$6 @ 80.4¢
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?Won
No$4 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 5?Won
Yes$12 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on June 8?Lost
Yes$7 @ 48.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?Won
No$3 @ 83.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.9¢
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 1 WinnerLost
Arctic Pandas$396 @ 57.5¢
Kyrgyz Republic vs. Maldives: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$121 @ 71.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 6?Lost
Yes$1 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 29?Won
Yes$6 @ 69.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 6?Lost
Yes$2 @ 35.7¢
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5Won
Over$2 @ 62.0¢
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$4 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 20?Lost
Yes$9 @ 88.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?Lost
No$3 @ 63.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 8?Won
No$8 @ 79.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 8?Won
No$2 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8?Lost
Yes$3 @ 82.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie SwanWon
Katie Swan$13 @ 46.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Culture	Yes	$60	82.0¢
Will "The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Culture	Yes	$48	93.0¢
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?	Culture	No	$47	84.9¢
Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Culture	No	$36	90.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$25	84.0¢
Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	Culture	Yes	$16	88.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Politics	Yes	$15	34.1¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$15	74.7¢
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	Culture	Yes	$13	34.6¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$12	80.6¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Politics	Yes	$12	81.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Politics	Yes	$11	18.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$11	7.4¢
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week?	Culture	No	$10	91.5¢
Will "Best of the Best" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Culture	No	$10	95.3¢
Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Culture	Yes	$9	93.5¢
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 29m?	Culture	No	$8	99.0¢
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Culture	No	$8	97.8¢
Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Culture	Yes	$8	92.0¢
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$7	97.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	6.7¢
Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week?	Culture	No	$6	96.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$5	92.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Politics	Yes	$5	39.4¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	6.0¢
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?	Culture	Yes	$4	96.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Politics	No	$4	72.0¢
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Geopolitics	Yes	$4	96.0¢
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Culture	Yes	$3	39.9¢
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?	Culture	Yes	$3	51.0¢

Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Culture
Yes$60 @ 82.0¢
Will "The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Culture
Yes$48 @ 93.0¢
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?Culture
No$47 @ 84.9¢
Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Culture
No$36 @ 90.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$25 @ 84.0¢
Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?Culture
Yes$16 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics
Yes$15 @ 34.1¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
Yes$15 @ 74.7¢
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?Culture
Yes$13 @ 34.6¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Politics
Yes$12 @ 80.6¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Politics
Yes$12 @ 81.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics
Yes$11 @ 18.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
Yes$11 @ 7.4¢
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week?Culture
No$10 @ 91.5¢
Will "Best of the Best" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Culture
No$10 @ 95.3¢
Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Culture
Yes$9 @ 93.5¢
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 29m?Culture
No$8 @ 99.0¢
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?Culture
No$8 @ 97.8¢
Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Culture
Yes$8 @ 92.0¢
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$7 @ 97.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 6.7¢
Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week?Culture
No$6 @ 96.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 92.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics
Yes$5 @ 39.4¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?Culture
Yes$4 @ 96.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics
No$4 @ 72.0¢
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?Geopolitics
Yes$4 @ 96.0¢
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Culture
Yes$3 @ 39.9¢
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?Culture
Yes$3 @ 51.0¢