0x007f…233a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x007f8592835b6470c25237130417f53d5e36233a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.6pp

ROI

+29%

Win rate

65% @ 60.3¢

Brier

0.205

Resolved

1546

Avg size

$18

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	61% (272/445)	+31%	445
Politics	57% (33/58)	+24%	58
Geopolitics	40% (2/5)	-69%	5
Tech	50% (2/4)	-36%	4
Sports	33% (1/3)	+19%	3
Culture	100% (1/1)	+39%	1

Other445 bets
Hit rate
61% (272/445)
ROI
+31%
Politics58 bets
Hit rate
57% (33/58)
ROI
+24%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
-69%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-36%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+19%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+39%

Track record

60% hit · 311/516

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	$12	98.2¢	Won
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	$17	95.7¢	Won
US x China tariff agreement by September 30?	Yes	$73	85.0¢	Won
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 2?	Yes	$22	81.7¢	Won
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on March 4?	No	$25	60.7¢	Won
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on March 4?	Yes	$7	31.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?	Yes	$71	79.9¢	Lost
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	Yes	$9	87.0¢	Won
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	$11	47.0¢	Won
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$25	54.0¢	Lost
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 9 above $157?	Yes	$2	49.0¢	Lost
Will Google dip to $300 in February?	Yes	$9	87.0¢	Won
Will Tesla dip to $383 in February?	Yes	$5	23.0¢	Lost
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	No	$909	84.6¢	Won
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$236	16.3¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?	Yes	$33	77.4¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	No	$266	72.6¢	Won
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 9 above $255?	Yes	$6	59.2¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$16	58.3¢	Won
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?	Yes	$7	80.2¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	No	$74	74.0¢	Won
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$9	63.8¢	Won
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on February 24?	No	$10	57.9¢	Won
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	$24	60.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?	Yes	$25	47.2¢	Lost
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$23	21.0¢	Lost
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of March?	Yes	$43	66.3¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	No	$287	54.5¢	Won
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$174	33.2¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	$23	75.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	$17	44.0¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$12	28.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	$22	60.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$6	5.8¢	Lost
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 23 above $135?	No	$4	50.0¢	Lost
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 23 above $135?	Yes	$9	77.0¢	Won
Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?	Yes	$3	88.0¢	Won
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on March 4?	No	$19	65.4¢	Lost
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on March 4?	Yes	$138	72.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$2	69.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	No	$8	68.7¢	Won
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$47	3.6¢	Lost
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 on February 18?	No	$1	22.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of February?	No	$4	88.0¢	Won
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on February 19?	No	$15	70.0¢	Won
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on February 27?	Yes	$22	73.0¢	Won
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 16 above $420?	No	$20	84.9¢	Won
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $142 end of February?	No	$17	84.5¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	No	$6	15.3¢	Lost
Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$7	60.0¢	Won

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?Won
No$12 @ 98.2¢
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?Won
Yes$17 @ 95.7¢
US x China tariff agreement by September 30?Won
Yes$73 @ 85.0¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 2?Won
Yes$22 @ 81.7¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on March 4?Won
No$25 @ 60.7¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on March 4?Lost
Yes$7 @ 31.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?Lost
Yes$71 @ 79.9¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Won
Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Won
No$11 @ 47.0¢
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Lost
Yes$25 @ 54.0¢
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 9 above $157?Lost
Yes$2 @ 49.0¢
Will Google dip to $300 in February?Won
Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
Will Tesla dip to $383 in February?Lost
Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Won
No$909 @ 84.6¢
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$236 @ 16.3¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Won
Yes$33 @ 77.4¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Won
No$266 @ 72.6¢
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 9 above $255?Lost
Yes$6 @ 59.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$16 @ 58.3¢
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?Won
Yes$7 @ 80.2¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Won
No$74 @ 74.0¢
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$9 @ 63.8¢
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on February 24?Won
No$10 @ 57.9¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Won
No$24 @ 60.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 47.2¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$23 @ 21.0¢
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of March?Lost
Yes$43 @ 66.3¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Won
No$287 @ 54.5¢
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$174 @ 33.2¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Won
Yes$23 @ 75.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Lost
No$17 @ 44.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Lost
Yes$12 @ 28.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Lost
Yes$22 @ 60.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$6 @ 5.8¢
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 23 above $135?Lost
No$4 @ 50.0¢
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 23 above $135?Won
Yes$9 @ 77.0¢
Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?Won
Yes$3 @ 88.0¢
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on March 4?Lost
No$19 @ 65.4¢
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on March 4?Won
Yes$138 @ 72.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Won
Yes$2 @ 69.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Won
No$8 @ 68.7¢
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$47 @ 3.6¢
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 on February 18?Lost
No$1 @ 22.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of February?Won
No$4 @ 88.0¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on February 19?Won
No$15 @ 70.0¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on February 27?Won
Yes$22 @ 73.0¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 16 above $420?Won
No$20 @ 84.9¢
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $142 end of February?Won
No$17 @ 84.5¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Lost
No$6 @ 15.3¢
Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?Won
No$7 @ 60.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$59	74.5¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$51	86.0¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	No	$23	75.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$17	9.0¢
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Geopolitics	Yes	$17	95.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Politics	Yes	$14	18.0¢
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Geopolitics	No	$12	98.2¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$7	95.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$7	68.0¢
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$4	5.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$2	8.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2	93.0¢

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
Yes$59 @ 74.5¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$51 @ 86.0¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
No$23 @ 75.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$17 @ 9.0¢
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?Geopolitics
Yes$17 @ 95.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics
Yes$14 @ 18.0¢
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?Geopolitics
No$12 @ 98.2¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?Politics
Yes$7 @ 95.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$7 @ 68.0¢
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$4 @ 5.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?Politics
Yes$2 @ 93.0¢