0xf9b0…a817

Профи

Эдж

+10.3pp

ROI

+55%

Доля побед

33% @ 22.4¢

Brier

0.101

Сделок

1083

Ср. размер

$18

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	39% (35/90)	+79%	90
Геополитика	40% (10/25)	+18%	25
Политика	53% (8/15)	-12%	15
Спорт	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other90 ставки
Попадания
39% (35/90)
ROI
+79%
Геополитика25 ставки
Попадания
40% (10/25)
ROI
+18%
Политика15 ставки
Попадания
53% (8/15)
ROI
-12%
Спорт1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

40% попаданий · 53/131

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$161	64.4¢	Поражение
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Поражение
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?	No	$16	78.0¢	Победа
Will Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$10	1.0¢	Поражение
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	$14	0.4¢	Поражение
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	$10	20.6¢	Поражение
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?	No	$1	2.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?	Yes	$9	86.6¢	Победа
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$20	3.6¢	Поражение
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	$3	0.2¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$73	3.4¢	Поражение
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$22	1.1¢	Поражение
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	$30	2.4¢	Победа
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поражение
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?	No	$14	70.0¢	Победа
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?	Yes	$5	25.0¢	Поражение
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Поражение
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Поражение
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$696	80.9¢	Победа
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?	Yes	$352	62.0¢	Поражение
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	$128	51.8¢	Победа
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	$3	1.0¢	Поражение
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	$340	85.0¢	Победа
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Yes	$12	6.0¢	Поражение
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	$21	9.7¢	Поражение
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	No	$72	11.1¢	Поражение
Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	No	$1	0.9¢	Поражение
Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?	No	$10	0.1¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$14	84.1¢	Поражение
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	Yes	$68	89.0¢	Победа
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	$75	33.1¢	Поражение
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$56	0.3¢	Поражение
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 23?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$2.6k	59.3¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$568	27.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$63	63.0¢	Победа
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Поражение
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Поражение
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Portugal	$31	34.0¢	Поражение
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	$28	51.7¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$41	41.0¢	Победа
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?	Yes	$10	1.0¢	Поражение
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	$22	20.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	$4	43.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$127	79.3¢	Поражение
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Поражение
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$24	3.7¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$356	76.8¢	Поражение
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$85	1.0¢	Поражение

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$161 @ 64.4¢
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Победа
No$16 @ 78.0¢
Will Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Поражение
Yes$14 @ 0.4¢
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 20.6¢
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?Поражение
No$1 @ 2.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?Победа
Yes$9 @ 86.6¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 3.6¢
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
Yes$73 @ 3.4¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$22 @ 1.1¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Победа
No$30 @ 2.4¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?Победа
No$14 @ 70.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Победа
No$696 @ 80.9¢
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?Поражение
Yes$352 @ 62.0¢
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Победа
Yes$128 @ 51.8¢
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Победа
No$340 @ 85.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Поражение
Yes$12 @ 6.0¢
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?Поражение
Yes$21 @ 9.7¢
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?Поражение
No$72 @ 11.1¢
Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?Поражение
No$1 @ 0.9¢
Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?Поражение
No$10 @ 0.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Поражение
No$14 @ 84.1¢
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Победа
Yes$68 @ 89.0¢
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Поражение
Yes$75 @ 33.1¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Поражение
No$56 @ 0.3¢
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 23?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Победа
No$2.6k @ 59.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Поражение
Yes$568 @ 27.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Победа
No$63 @ 63.0¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceПоражение
Portugal$31 @ 34.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Победа
No$28 @ 51.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Победа
No$41 @ 41.0¢
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Поражение
Yes$22 @ 20.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Поражение
No$4 @ 43.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Поражение
No$127 @ 79.3¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Поражение
Yes$24 @ 3.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Поражение
Yes$356 @ 76.8¢
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Поражение
Yes$85 @ 1.0¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	Геополитика	No	$387	98.9¢
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	Геополитика	Yes	$192	94.7¢
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$115	89.4¢
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	Политика	No	$61	91.8¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$45	45.0¢
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?	Геополитика	No	$41	93.9¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Геополитика	Yes	$41	20.5¢
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Геополитика	No	$34	20.0¢
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$15	58.8¢
Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$14	12.0¢
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 27?	Геополитика	No	$8	38.0¢
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	Геополитика	Yes	$0	0.6¢

Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Геополитика
No$387 @ 98.9¢
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Геополитика
Yes$192 @ 94.7¢
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Политика
No$115 @ 89.4¢
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Политика
No$61 @ 91.8¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$45 @ 45.0¢
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?Геополитика
No$41 @ 93.9¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Геополитика
Yes$41 @ 20.5¢
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Геополитика
No$34 @ 20.0¢
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?Геополитика
No$15 @ 58.8¢
Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$14 @ 12.0¢
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 27?Геополитика
No$8 @ 38.0¢
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Геополитика
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢