0xe1e7…12fe

Профи

Эдж

+9.5pp

ROI

+28%

Доля побед

72% @ 63.0¢

Brier

0.121

Сделок

918

Ср. размер

$146

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	59% (88/150)	+13%	150
Политика	80% (12/15)	+74%	15
Технологии	33% (1/3)	-80%	3
Бизнес	100% (3/3)	+41%	3
Экономика	50% (1/2)	+99%	2
Геополитика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other150 ставки
Попадания
59% (88/150)
ROI
+13%
Политика15 ставки
Попадания
80% (12/15)
ROI
+74%
Технологии3 ставки
Попадания
33% (1/3)
ROI
-80%
Бизнес3 ставки
Попадания
100% (3/3)
ROI
+41%
Экономика2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
+99%
Геополитика1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

60% попаданий · 105/174

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	$11	17.0¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	No	$11	1.1¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?	Yes	$54	4.6¢	Поражение
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?	Yes	$93	74.0¢	Победа
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?	No	$170	85.0¢	Победа
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	Yes	$115	17.5¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$179	81.0¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	$17	20.0¢	Поражение
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?	No	$87	87.0¢	Победа
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	$253	84.3¢	Победа
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	No	$8	83.0¢	Победа
Lions vs. Eagles	Eagles	$3.3k	67.9¢	Победа
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	$135	9.0¢	Поражение
Chiefs vs. Broncos	Chiefs	$389	53.7¢	Поражение
Kash Patel out by March 31?	No	$9	89.0¢	Победа
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	No	$8	83.0¢	Победа
Patriots vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	$287	62.0¢	Победа
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	No	$19	57.0¢	Победа
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?	No	$1.4k	77.1¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (February 22)	No	$18	87.7¢	Победа
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	No	$171	82.8¢	Победа
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	No	$166	28.5¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	No	$1.5k	78.8¢	Победа
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	No	$80	4.0¢	Поражение
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	No	$1.1k	87.7¢	Победа
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$24	88.7¢	Поражение
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?	No	$120	18.4¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$782	77.2¢	Победа
Grizzlies vs. Celtics	Celtics	$207	69.0¢	Победа
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?	No	$1.9k	85.2¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	No	$147	69.0¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	Yes	$64	30.0¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$230	0.6¢	Поражение
Broncos vs. Commanders	Broncos	$43	72.0¢	Победа
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	Yes	$6	27.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$1.9k	70.6¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$75	32.0¢	Победа
Bears vs. Eagles	Eagles	$735	70.4¢	Поражение
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	No	$144	72.0¢	Поражение
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$7.7k	61.4¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	$5.0k	85.9¢	Победа
Magic vs. Rockets	Magic	$790	79.0¢	Поражение
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$223	66.9¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$189	85.0¢	Победа
Jets vs. Patriots	Patriots	$2.5k	85.0¢	Победа
Iran strike on US military by February 28?	No	$192	65.7¢	Поражение
Will José Ramírez win the 2025 AL MVP?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Поражение
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?	No	$6	4.3¢	Поражение
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?	Yes	$597	89.6¢	Победа
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?	Yes	$34	67.5¢	Поражение

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Поражение
Yes$11 @ 17.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Поражение
No$11 @ 1.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?Поражение
Yes$54 @ 4.6¢
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?Победа
Yes$93 @ 74.0¢
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Победа
No$170 @ 85.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Поражение
Yes$115 @ 17.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Победа
No$179 @ 81.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Поражение
Yes$17 @ 20.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?Победа
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Победа
No$253 @ 84.3¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Победа
No$8 @ 83.0¢
Lions vs. EaglesПобеда
Eagles$3.3k @ 67.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Поражение
No$135 @ 9.0¢
Chiefs vs. BroncosПоражение
Chiefs$389 @ 53.7¢
Kash Patel out by March 31?Победа
No$9 @ 89.0¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Победа
No$8 @ 83.0¢
Patriots vs. SeahawksПобеда
Seahawks$287 @ 62.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Победа
No$19 @ 57.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?Победа
No$1.4k @ 77.1¢
Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (February 22)Победа
No$18 @ 87.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Победа
No$171 @ 82.8¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Победа
No$166 @ 28.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Победа
No$1.5k @ 78.8¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Поражение
No$80 @ 4.0¢
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Победа
No$1.1k @ 87.7¢
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?Поражение
No$24 @ 88.7¢
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?Поражение
No$120 @ 18.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Победа
No$782 @ 77.2¢
Grizzlies vs. CelticsПобеда
Celtics$207 @ 69.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?Победа
No$1.9k @ 85.2¢
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Победа
No$147 @ 69.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$64 @ 30.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$230 @ 0.6¢
Broncos vs. CommandersПобеда
Broncos$43 @ 72.0¢
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 27.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Поражение
No$1.9k @ 70.6¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$75 @ 32.0¢
Bears vs. EaglesПоражение
Eagles$735 @ 70.4¢
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Поражение
No$144 @ 72.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$7.7k @ 61.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Победа
No$5.0k @ 85.9¢
Magic vs. RocketsПоражение
Magic$790 @ 79.0¢
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$223 @ 66.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Победа
No$189 @ 85.0¢
Jets vs. PatriotsПобеда
Patriots$2.5k @ 85.0¢
Iran strike on US military by February 28?Поражение
No$192 @ 65.7¢
Will José Ramírez win the 2025 AL MVP?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?Поражение
No$6 @ 4.3¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?Победа
Yes$597 @ 89.6¢
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?Поражение
Yes$34 @ 67.5¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$384	0.6¢
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$265	0.6¢
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$205	1.0¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$201	0.5¢
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$132	0.6¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$132	0.6¢
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$132	0.6¢
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$132	0.6¢
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$104	0.6¢
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$98	0.6¢

Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$384 @ 0.6¢
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$265 @ 0.6¢
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$205 @ 1.0¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$201 @ 0.5¢
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$132 @ 0.6¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$132 @ 0.6¢
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$132 @ 0.6¢
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$132 @ 0.6¢
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$104 @ 0.6¢
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$98 @ 0.6¢