0xb436…bb3c

Профи

Эдж

+6.3pp

ROI

+19%

Доля побед

56% @ 49.7¢

Brier

0.162

Сделок

478

Ср. размер

$316

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	68% (113/165)	+22%	165
Политика	33% (4/12)	-54%	12
Наука	100% (3/3)	+8%	3
Геополитика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Экономика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Культура	100% (1/1)	+31%	1

Other165 ставки
Попадания
68% (113/165)
ROI
+22%
Политика12 ставки
Попадания
33% (4/12)
ROI
-54%
Наука3 ставки
Попадания
100% (3/3)
ROI
+8%
Геополитика1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Культура1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+31%

История результатов

66% попаданий · 121/183

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Dolly?	No	$80	97.9¢	Победа
Rams vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	$500	56.0¢	Победа
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?	No	$2	44.0¢	Поражение
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?	Yes	$55	57.0¢	Победа
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?	Yes	$40	50.0¢	Победа
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Поражение
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?	No	$108	78.5¢	Победа
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?	Yes	$5.0k	45.1¢	Поражение
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$60	14.5¢	Поражение
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?	No	$119	79.5¢	Победа
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?	Yes	$100	7.1¢	Поражение
Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?	Yes	$3.0k	78.3¢	Победа
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?	Yes	$1.2k	83.3¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$400	74.0¢	Победа
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	$137	2.4¢	Поражение
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?	Yes	$1000	25.7¢	Победа
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?	No	$105	45.0¢	Победа
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?	Yes	$148	17.7¢	Поражение
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?	No	$3	77.0¢	Победа
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-30.5)	Howard Bison	$100	50.0¢	Победа
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?	Yes	$2.8k	68.5¢	Победа
Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?	Yes	$700	60.5¢	Победа
Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	Yes	$8	6.0¢	Поражение
Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?	No	$416	87.1¢	Победа
Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?	Yes	$158	41.6¢	Победа
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?	Yes	$6.7k	51.6¢	Победа
Will anyone say "Six Seven" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?	No	$62	76.4¢	Победа
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?	No	$65	17.4¢	Поражение
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?	No	$52	65.3¢	Победа
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?	Yes	$400	62.7¢	Победа
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$8	21.7¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$8	35.4¢	Поражение
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	Yes	$3.4k	89.3¢	Победа
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	$577	72.1¢	Победа
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$662	79.0¢	Победа
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?	No	$98	20.4¢	Поражение
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?	Yes	$774	35.3¢	Победа
Will the US strike Syria next?	No	$30	44.3¢	Победа
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?	Yes	$300	75.0¢	Победа
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	No	$392	87.0¢	Победа
Will 160 to 189 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?	No	$41	89.7¢	Победа
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?	Yes	$150	51.0¢	Победа
Rams vs. Panthers	Panthers	$550	54.7¢	Поражение
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?	Yes	$339	68.6¢	Победа
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 21 and September 25, 2026?	No	$59	89.1¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$74	52.7¢	Поражение
Patriots vs. Broncos	Patriots	$500	52.0¢	Победа
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?	Yes	$1.3k	28.2¢	Победа
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	$374	35.6¢	Поражение
Will JD Vance clap between 80–89 times during the State of the Union?	Yes	$204	84.5¢	Победа

Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Dolly?Победа
No$80 @ 97.9¢
Rams vs. SeahawksПобеда
Seahawks$500 @ 56.0¢
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Поражение
No$2 @ 44.0¢
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Победа
Yes$55 @ 57.0¢
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?Победа
Yes$40 @ 50.0¢
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Победа
No$108 @ 78.5¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Поражение
Yes$5.0k @ 45.1¢
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Поражение
Yes$60 @ 14.5¢
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Победа
No$119 @ 79.5¢
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 7.1¢
Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?Победа
Yes$3.0k @ 78.3¢
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?Победа
Yes$1.2k @ 83.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$400 @ 74.0¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?Поражение
No$137 @ 2.4¢
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?Победа
Yes$1000 @ 25.7¢
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?Победа
No$105 @ 45.0¢
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?Поражение
Yes$148 @ 17.7¢
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Победа
No$3 @ 77.0¢
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-30.5)Победа
Howard Bison$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?Победа
Yes$2.8k @ 68.5¢
Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?Победа
Yes$700 @ 60.5¢
Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 6.0¢
Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Победа
No$416 @ 87.1¢
Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?Победа
Yes$158 @ 41.6¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Победа
Yes$6.7k @ 51.6¢
Will anyone say "Six Seven" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?Победа
No$62 @ 76.4¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Поражение
No$65 @ 17.4¢
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?Победа
No$52 @ 65.3¢
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?Победа
Yes$400 @ 62.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 21.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 35.4¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?Победа
Yes$3.4k @ 89.3¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Победа
No$577 @ 72.1¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Победа
Yes$662 @ 79.0¢
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?Поражение
No$98 @ 20.4¢
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?Победа
Yes$774 @ 35.3¢
Will the US strike Syria next?Победа
No$30 @ 44.3¢
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?Победа
Yes$300 @ 75.0¢
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Победа
No$392 @ 87.0¢
Will 160 to 189 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Победа
No$41 @ 89.7¢
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?Победа
Yes$150 @ 51.0¢
Rams vs. PanthersПоражение
Panthers$550 @ 54.7¢
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?Победа
Yes$339 @ 68.6¢
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 21 and September 25, 2026?Победа
No$59 @ 89.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$74 @ 52.7¢
Patriots vs. BroncosПобеда
Patriots$500 @ 52.0¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?Победа
Yes$1.3k @ 28.2¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Поражение
No$374 @ 35.6¢
Will JD Vance clap between 80–89 times during the State of the Union?Победа
Yes$204 @ 84.5¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Наука	Yes	$546	89.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	Культура	No	$330	66.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Культура	No	$167	38.9¢
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Наука	No	$112	67.6¢
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?	Технологии	No	$81	81.0¢
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Технологии	No	$27	93.0¢

Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Наука
Yes$546 @ 89.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Культура
No$330 @ 66.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Культура
No$167 @ 38.9¢
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Наука
No$112 @ 67.6¢
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?Технологии
No$81 @ 81.0¢
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?Технологии
No$27 @ 93.0¢