0x9631…89a1

Профи

Эдж

+4.4pp

ROI

+11%

Доля побед

77% @ 72.7¢

Brier

0.137

Сделок

1328

Ср. размер

$403

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	86% (75/87)	+20%	87
Политика	88% (14/16)	-24%	16
Спорт	17% (1/6)	+2%	6
Технологии	100% (3/3)	+2%	3
Геополитика	100% (3/3)	+18%	3

Other87 ставки
Попадания
86% (75/87)
ROI
+20%
Политика16 ставки
Попадания
88% (14/16)
ROI
-24%
Спорт6 ставки
Попадания
17% (1/6)
ROI
+2%
Технологии3 ставки
Попадания
100% (3/3)
ROI
+2%
Геополитика3 ставки
Попадания
100% (3/3)
ROI
+18%

История результатов

83% попаданий · 96/115

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	$1.5k	96.7¢	Победа
Will Google Gemini be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?	No	$55	83.3¢	Победа
Will José María Balcazar be the next President of Peru?	Yes	$707	88.4¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$70.0k	82.5¢	Победа
Epstein client list released in 2025?	No	$1.4k	77.2¢	Победа
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?	No	$12	89.7¢	Победа
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?	No	$2.1k	71.2¢	Победа
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$666	12.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$9.6k	82.5¢	Победа
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	No	$10	88.0¢	Победа
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?	No	$700	74.4¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	No	$2.1k	89.4¢	Победа
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?	No	$482	48.2¢	Победа
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?	No	$50	59.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$17.2k	86.0¢	Победа
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	$150	86.6¢	Победа
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?	No	$5.7k	81.4¢	Победа
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?	No	$581	52.3¢	Поражение
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?	Yes	$2.3k	54.1¢	Победа
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$4.5k	25.5¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$2.3k	20.5¢	Поражение
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$822	8.8¢	Поражение
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$661	13.3¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	$28.6k	83.3¢	Победа
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?	No	$17	1.7¢	Поражение
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?	No	$6.9k	79.2¢	Победа
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$4.1k	67.7¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	$203	86.1¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?	No	$8.1k	86.1¢	Победа
Will there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?	No	$376	89.2¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$12.9k	68.3¢	Победа
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$1.9k	88.0¢	Победа
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$769	7.3¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	$3.5k	88.7¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$29.6k	86.1¢	Победа
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	No	$4.5k	83.2¢	Победа
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	$895	89.0¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	$6.0k	84.1¢	Победа
Will Maricarmen Alva be the next President of Peru?	Yes	$370	89.3¢	Поражение
Celtics vs. Cavaliers	Celtics	$599	88.1¢	Победа
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$661	15.2¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$17.0k	67.9¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	$772	86.2¢	Победа
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	No	$3.3k	82.0¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	No	$930	89.5¢	Победа
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$780	62.5¢	Поражение
Will CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?	Yes	$36	89.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	$2.6k	70.3¢	Победа
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?	No	$6.7k	63.9¢	Победа
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by March 31?	No	$728	88.7¢	Победа

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Победа
No$1.5k @ 96.7¢
Will Google Gemini be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Победа
No$55 @ 83.3¢
Will José María Balcazar be the next President of Peru?Победа
Yes$707 @ 88.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Победа
No$70.0k @ 82.5¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Победа
No$1.4k @ 77.2¢
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?Победа
No$12 @ 89.7¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?Победа
No$2.1k @ 71.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$666 @ 12.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Победа
No$9.6k @ 82.5¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Победа
No$10 @ 88.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?Победа
No$700 @ 74.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Победа
No$2.1k @ 89.4¢
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Победа
No$482 @ 48.2¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Победа
No$50 @ 59.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Победа
No$17.2k @ 86.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Победа
No$150 @ 86.6¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?Победа
No$5.7k @ 81.4¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Поражение
No$581 @ 52.3¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Победа
Yes$2.3k @ 54.1¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$4.5k @ 25.5¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$2.3k @ 20.5¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$822 @ 8.8¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$661 @ 13.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Победа
No$28.6k @ 83.3¢
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Поражение
No$17 @ 1.7¢
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?Победа
No$6.9k @ 79.2¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Победа
Yes$4.1k @ 67.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Победа
No$203 @ 86.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Победа
No$8.1k @ 86.1¢
Will there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?Победа
No$376 @ 89.2¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$12.9k @ 68.3¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Победа
No$1.9k @ 88.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$769 @ 7.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?Победа
No$3.5k @ 88.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Победа
No$29.6k @ 86.1¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Победа
No$4.5k @ 83.2¢
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Победа
Yes$895 @ 89.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Победа
No$6.0k @ 84.1¢
Will Maricarmen Alva be the next President of Peru?Поражение
Yes$370 @ 89.3¢
Celtics vs. CavaliersПобеда
Celtics$599 @ 88.1¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Победа
Yes$661 @ 15.2¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$17.0k @ 67.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Победа
No$772 @ 86.2¢
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Победа
No$3.3k @ 82.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Победа
No$930 @ 89.5¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Поражение
No$780 @ 62.5¢
Will CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?Победа
Yes$36 @ 89.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Победа
No$2.6k @ 70.3¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?Победа
No$6.7k @ 63.9¢
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by March 31?Победа
No$728 @ 88.7¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Other	No	$20.4k	97.2¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	Технологии	No	$5.7k	97.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Other	No	$4.7k	96.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Политика	No	$4.5k	92.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	Other	No	$4.3k	98.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?	Other	No	$3.3k	94.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Other	No	$3.1k	95.7¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?	Технологии	No	$1.5k	95.2¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?Other
No$20.4k @ 97.2¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Технологии
No$5.7k @ 97.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Other
No$4.7k @ 96.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Политика
No$4.5k @ 92.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?Other
No$4.3k @ 98.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Other
No$3.3k @ 94.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Other
No$3.1k @ 95.7¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?Технологии
No$1.5k @ 95.2¢