0x6606…1338

Профи

Эдж

+5.3pp

ROI

+8%

Доля побед

60% @ 54.6¢

Brier

0.103

Сделок

1521

Ср. размер

$192

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	57% (74/130)	+10%	130
Политика	57% (8/14)	+3%	14
Крипто	75% (3/4)	+75%	4
Технологии	67% (2/3)	+5%	3
Геополитика	50% (1/2)	-97%	2

Other130 ставки
Попадания
57% (74/130)
ROI
+10%
Политика14 ставки
Попадания
57% (8/14)
ROI
+3%
Крипто4 ставки
Попадания
75% (3/4)
ROI
+75%
Технологии3 ставки
Попадания
67% (2/3)
ROI
+5%
Геополитика2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
-97%

История результатов

58% попаданий · 88/153

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Yoon arrested before September?	No	$17	33.0¢	Поражение
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$11.0k	72.1¢	Победа
Will Base launch a token in 2025?	No	$2.9k	84.1¢	Победа
TikTok sale announced by September 30?	No	$405	81.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?	No	$59	59.0¢	Поражение
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$10	20.0¢	Поражение
No airdrop in 2025?	Yes	$100	25.0¢	Поражение
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	No	$1.2k	69.9¢	Победа
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	$2.1k	37.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$375	75.0¢	Победа
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$320	16.0¢	Поражение
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$659	88.3¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	$5	9.0¢	Поражение
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	No	$51	51.0¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	No	$298	82.8¢	Победа
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?	No	$94	67.1¢	Поражение
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?	Yes	$2.2k	80.1¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?	Yes	$1.7k	86.2¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in February 2026?	No	$0	11.0¢	Победа
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$71	0.9¢	Поражение
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?	No	$2.2k	87.0¢	Победа
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$654	7.7¢	Поражение
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$64	60.0¢	Победа
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?	No	$285	57.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	$70	35.0¢	Поражение
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$6.0k	68.7¢	Победа
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?	Yes	$14	6.0¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?	Yes	$878	88.0¢	Победа
Will $BONK be listed first on Robinhood?	Yes	$222	64.9¢	Победа
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	Yes	$1.5k	59.4¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?	No	$380	1.6¢	Поражение
Will Unit launch a token in 2025?	No	$80	80.0¢	Победа
Plasma >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?	Yes	$1.2k	40.5¢	Победа
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	Yes	$58	5.8¢	Поражение
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?	Yes	$15	1.5¢	Поражение
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	Yes	$90	45.0¢	Поражение
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?	Yes	$15	1.5¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$690	23.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	$405	81.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	$165	33.0¢	Поражение
Bikinis back on X by January 16?	Yes	$40	4.0¢	Поражение
Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?	Yes	$86	1.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$205	41.0¢	Победа
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?	Yes	$3.1k	61.5¢	Победа
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	$7.6k	76.0¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 29-January 4?	Yes	$38	3.8¢	Поражение
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?	No	$55	55.0¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	$445	89.0¢	Поражение
Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	No	$83	83.0¢	Победа
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	Yes	$26.9k	76.7¢	Победа

Yoon arrested before September?Поражение
No$17 @ 33.0¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Победа
No$11.0k @ 72.1¢
Will Base launch a token in 2025?Победа
No$2.9k @ 84.1¢
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Победа
No$405 @ 81.0¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?Поражение
No$59 @ 59.0¢
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
No airdrop in 2025?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 25.0¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Победа
No$1.2k @ 69.9¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Поражение
Yes$2.1k @ 37.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$375 @ 75.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$320 @ 16.0¢
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Поражение
No$659 @ 88.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 9.0¢
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?Поражение
No$51 @ 51.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Победа
No$298 @ 82.8¢
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?Поражение
No$94 @ 67.1¢
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?Победа
Yes$2.2k @ 80.1¢
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Победа
Yes$1.7k @ 86.2¢
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in February 2026?Победа
No$0 @ 11.0¢
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?Поражение
No$71 @ 0.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?Победа
No$2.2k @ 87.0¢
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Поражение
No$654 @ 7.7¢
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Победа
Yes$64 @ 60.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Поражение
No$285 @ 57.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Поражение
Yes$70 @ 35.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Победа
No$6.0k @ 68.7¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Поражение
Yes$14 @ 6.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Победа
Yes$878 @ 88.0¢
Will $BONK be listed first on Robinhood?Победа
Yes$222 @ 64.9¢
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Поражение
Yes$1.5k @ 59.4¢
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Поражение
No$380 @ 1.6¢
Will Unit launch a token in 2025?Победа
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Plasma >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Победа
Yes$1.2k @ 40.5¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Поражение
Yes$58 @ 5.8¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 1.5¢
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Поражение
Yes$90 @ 45.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 1.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$690 @ 23.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Победа
No$405 @ 81.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Поражение
Yes$165 @ 33.0¢
Bikinis back on X by January 16?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 4.0¢
Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Поражение
Yes$86 @ 1.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Победа
No$205 @ 41.0¢
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?Победа
Yes$3.1k @ 61.5¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Победа
Yes$7.6k @ 76.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 29-January 4?Поражение
Yes$38 @ 3.8¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Победа
No$55 @ 55.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Поражение
Yes$445 @ 89.0¢
Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Победа
No$83 @ 83.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Победа
Yes$26.9k @ 76.7¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Политика	No	$36.7k	91.9¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Политика	No	$27.9k	93.0¢
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$21.4k	62.9¢
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$13.8k	76.4¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$10.9k	85.5¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$10.3k	78.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Политика	Yes	$6.6k	65.7¢
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Политика	Yes	$4.9k	98.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Политика	Yes	$4.6k	92.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$4.5k	89.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Политика	No	$4.2k	85.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Политика	No	$3.2k	64.0¢
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$1.4k	97.6¢
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$979	97.8¢
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$966	96.4¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Политика	No	$890	89.0¢

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Политика
No$36.7k @ 91.9¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Политика
No$27.9k @ 93.0¢
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$21.4k @ 62.9¢
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$13.8k @ 76.4¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$10.9k @ 85.5¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Крипто
No$10.3k @ 78.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseПолитика
Yes$6.6k @ 65.7¢
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Политика
Yes$4.9k @ 98.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Политика
Yes$4.6k @ 92.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$4.5k @ 89.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Политика
No$4.2k @ 85.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Политика
No$3.2k @ 64.0¢
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$1.4k @ 97.6¢
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$979 @ 97.8¢
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$966 @ 96.4¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Политика
No$890 @ 89.0¢