0x5763…1c22

Прибыльный

Эдж

+5.8pp

ROI

+4%

Доля побед

68% @ 62.3¢

Brier

0.166

Сделок

1604

Ср. размер

$355

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	66% (141/213)	+4%	213
Политика	61% (11/18)	+2%	18
Крипто	87% (13/15)	+58%	15
Спорт	33% (1/3)	-73%	3
Экономика	100% (2/2)	+57%	2
Культура	50% (1/2)	+29%	2

Other213 ставки
Попадания
66% (141/213)
ROI
+4%
Политика18 ставки
Попадания
61% (11/18)
ROI
+2%
Крипто15 ставки
Попадания
87% (13/15)
ROI
+58%
Спорт3 ставки
Попадания
33% (1/3)
ROI
-73%
Экономика2 ставки
Попадания
100% (2/2)
ROI
+57%
Культура2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
+29%

История результатов

67% попаданий · 169/253

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 25?	No	$399	99.7¢	Победа
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$197	65.0¢	Победа
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	$8	3.8¢	Поражение
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?	No	$649	48.1¢	Победа
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?	Yes	$78	80.0¢	Поражение
US government shutdown by October 1?	Yes	$6.0k	86.7¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$4.5k	69.2¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Board of Peace" during Saudi PM events on November 18?	No	$64	86.6¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "Azerbaijan" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?	No	$258	62.0¢	Поражение
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?	Yes	$171	76.4¢	Победа
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$1.1k	63.0¢	Победа
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$7.9k	87.7¢	Победа
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	No	$47	52.0¢	Победа
Will Robinhood say "Football" during earnings call?	No	$176	34.8¢	Победа
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?	No	$26	85.0¢	Победа
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$867	89.0¢	Победа
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?	No	$5.4k	87.3¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 29-October 5?	No	$2.4k	68.6¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 29-October 5?	Yes	$62	89.2¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	No	$1.2k	68.3¢	Победа
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?	Yes	$408	80.9¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?	Yes	$104	6.6¢	Поражение
Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?	Yes	$4	10.6¢	Поражение
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$1.3k	62.6¢	Победа
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$307	50.7¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy purchases >4000 BTC August 26-September 1?	No	$1.1k	88.1¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?	No	$196	67.0¢	Победа
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	ETH	$251	50.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Radical" 2+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?	No	$15	57.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Globalist" or "Global" during WEF Address on January 21?	Yes	$124	81.1¢	Победа
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?	No	$12.9k	59.9¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?	Yes	$8.0k	56.4¢	Победа
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	$8	39.3¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	$863	85.5¢	Победа
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?	Yes	$2.0k	73.4¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29?	Yes	$332	81.0¢	Победа
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?	Yes	$1.9k	83.8¢	Победа
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	Yes	$1.5k	73.8¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	$2.7k	88.3¢	Победа
Will Trump say "NATO" during WEF Address on January 21?	Yes	$78	84.5¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	Yes	$155	28.5¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?	Yes	$42	35.0¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?	No	$846	24.4¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 4-10?	No	$633	89.3¢	Победа
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?	No	$470	39.0¢	Победа
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?	Yes	$252	86.2¢	Поражение
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 680k+ BTC by January 31?	No	$2	34.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	$73	7.2¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$3.9k	64.7¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$1.5k	36.1¢	Победа

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 25?Победа
No$399 @ 99.7¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Победа
Yes$197 @ 65.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Поражение
No$8 @ 3.8¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Победа
No$649 @ 48.1¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Поражение
Yes$78 @ 80.0¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Победа
Yes$6.0k @ 86.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Победа
No$4.5k @ 69.2¢
Will Trump say "Board of Peace" during Saudi PM events on November 18?Поражение
No$64 @ 86.6¢
Will Trump say "Azerbaijan" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?Поражение
No$258 @ 62.0¢
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Победа
Yes$171 @ 76.4¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Победа
No$1.1k @ 63.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Победа
No$7.9k @ 87.7¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?Победа
No$47 @ 52.0¢
Will Robinhood say "Football" during earnings call?Победа
No$176 @ 34.8¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?Победа
No$26 @ 85.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Победа
No$867 @ 89.0¢
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?Победа
No$5.4k @ 87.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 29-October 5?Поражение
No$2.4k @ 68.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 29-October 5?Победа
Yes$62 @ 89.2¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Победа
No$1.2k @ 68.3¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Победа
Yes$408 @ 80.9¢
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Поражение
Yes$104 @ 6.6¢
Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 10.6¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Победа
No$1.3k @ 62.6¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Поражение
Yes$307 @ 50.7¢
MicroStrategy purchases >4000 BTC August 26-September 1?Победа
No$1.1k @ 88.1¢
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Победа
No$196 @ 67.0¢
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Поражение
ETH$251 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Radical" 2+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?Победа
No$15 @ 57.0¢
Will Trump say "Globalist" or "Global" during WEF Address on January 21?Победа
Yes$124 @ 81.1¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?Поражение
No$12.9k @ 59.9¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?Победа
Yes$8.0k @ 56.4¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?Победа
No$8 @ 39.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$863 @ 85.5¢
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?Победа
Yes$2.0k @ 73.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29?Победа
Yes$332 @ 81.0¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?Победа
Yes$1.9k @ 83.8¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?Победа
Yes$1.5k @ 73.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Победа
Yes$2.7k @ 88.3¢
Will Trump say "NATO" during WEF Address on January 21?Победа
Yes$78 @ 84.5¢
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$155 @ 28.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?Поражение
Yes$42 @ 35.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?Поражение
No$846 @ 24.4¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 4-10?Победа
No$633 @ 89.3¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?Победа
No$470 @ 39.0¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?Поражение
Yes$252 @ 86.2¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 680k+ BTC by January 31?Поражение
No$2 @ 34.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Поражение
Yes$73 @ 7.2¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Поражение
No$3.9k @ 64.7¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$1.5k @ 36.1¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	Крипто	No	$39	83.0¢
Will Nikos Androulakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Политика	Yes	$0	1.2¢

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Крипто
No$39 @ 83.0¢
Will Nikos Androulakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Политика
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢