← Market consensus

Activeends Jul 15, 2026

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 15?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

19.5¢

No

80.5¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Lean

No 68%Yes 32%

4 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x802d…d59a	No	$65	85.8¢	11×	+45%	27%	Sharp
0x1894…a936	Yes	$13	14.8¢	6.0×	+22%	31%	Sharp
0x5f3e…5337	Yes	$10	10.4¢	0.6×	+17%	60%	Sharp
0x397c…ca1b	Yes	$7	14.0¢	1.3×	+51%	34%	Sharp

0x802d…d59aSharp

No$65 @ 85.8¢

Conv: 11×
ROI: +45%
Win%: 27%

0x1894…a936Sharp

Yes$13 @ 14.8¢

Conv: 6.0×
ROI: +22%
Win%: 31%

0x5f3e…5337Sharp

Yes$10 @ 10.4¢

Conv: 0.6×
ROI: +17%
Win%: 60%

0x397c…ca1bSharp

Yes$7 @ 14.0¢

Conv: 1.3×
ROI: +51%
Win%: 34%