0xf9b0…a817

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf9b0e9186f3abe292a2519b555938f542c70a817
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+10.3pp

ROI

+55%

Tasa de acierto

33% @ 22.4¢

Brier

0.101

Resueltas

1083

Tamaño med.

$18

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	39% (35/90)	+79%	90
Geopolítica	40% (10/25)	+18%	25
Política	53% (8/15)	-12%	15
Deportes	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other90 apuestas
Tasa acierto
39% (35/90)
ROI
+79%
Geopolítica25 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (10/25)
ROI
+18%
Política15 apuestas
Tasa acierto
53% (8/15)
ROI
-12%
Deportes1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

40% acierto · 53/131

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$161	64.4¢	Perdió
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?	No	$16	78.0¢	Ganó
Will Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$10	1.0¢	Perdió
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	$14	0.4¢	Perdió
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	$10	20.6¢	Perdió
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?	No	$1	2.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?	Yes	$9	86.6¢	Ganó
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$20	3.6¢	Perdió
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	$3	0.2¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$73	3.4¢	Perdió
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$22	1.1¢	Perdió
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	$30	2.4¢	Ganó
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?	No	$14	70.0¢	Ganó
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?	Yes	$5	25.0¢	Perdió
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Perdió
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$696	80.9¢	Ganó
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?	Yes	$352	62.0¢	Perdió
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	$128	51.8¢	Ganó
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	$3	1.0¢	Perdió
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	$340	85.0¢	Ganó
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Yes	$12	6.0¢	Perdió
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	$21	9.7¢	Perdió
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	No	$72	11.1¢	Perdió
Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	No	$1	0.9¢	Perdió
Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?	No	$10	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$14	84.1¢	Perdió
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	Yes	$68	89.0¢	Ganó
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	$75	33.1¢	Perdió
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$56	0.3¢	Perdió
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 23?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$2.6k	59.3¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$568	27.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$63	63.0¢	Ganó
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Perdió
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Perdió
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Portugal	$31	34.0¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	$28	51.7¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$41	41.0¢	Ganó
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?	Yes	$10	1.0¢	Perdió
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	$22	20.0¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	$4	43.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$127	79.3¢	Perdió
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Perdió
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$24	3.7¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$356	76.8¢	Perdió
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$85	1.0¢	Perdió

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$161 @ 64.4¢
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Ganó
No$16 @ 78.0¢
Will Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Perdió
Yes$14 @ 0.4¢
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 20.6¢
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?Perdió
No$1 @ 2.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 86.6¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 3.6¢
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Perdió
Yes$73 @ 3.4¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$22 @ 1.1¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Ganó
No$30 @ 2.4¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?Ganó
No$14 @ 70.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Ganó
No$696 @ 80.9¢
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?Perdió
Yes$352 @ 62.0¢
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Ganó
Yes$128 @ 51.8¢
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Ganó
No$340 @ 85.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 6.0¢
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 9.7¢
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?Perdió
No$72 @ 11.1¢
Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 0.9¢
Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?Perdió
No$10 @ 0.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Perdió
No$14 @ 84.1¢
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Ganó
Yes$68 @ 89.0¢
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Perdió
Yes$75 @ 33.1¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Perdió
No$56 @ 0.3¢
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 23?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$2.6k @ 59.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$568 @ 27.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Ganó
No$63 @ 63.0¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvancePerdió
Portugal$31 @ 34.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Ganó
No$28 @ 51.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Ganó
No$41 @ 41.0¢
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Perdió
Yes$22 @ 20.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Perdió
No$4 @ 43.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Perdió
No$127 @ 79.3¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Perdió
Yes$24 @ 3.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$356 @ 76.8¢
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Perdió
Yes$85 @ 1.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	Geopolítica	No	$387	98.9¢
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	Geopolítica	Yes	$192	94.7¢
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$115	89.4¢
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	Política	No	$61	91.8¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$45	45.0¢
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?	Geopolítica	No	$41	93.9¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Geopolítica	Yes	$41	20.5¢
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Geopolítica	No	$34	20.0¢
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$15	58.8¢
Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$14	12.0¢
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 27?	Geopolítica	No	$8	38.0¢
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	Geopolítica	Yes	$0	0.6¢

Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Geopolítica
No$387 @ 98.9¢
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Geopolítica
Yes$192 @ 94.7¢
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Política
No$115 @ 89.4¢
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Política
No$61 @ 91.8¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$45 @ 45.0¢
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?Geopolítica
No$41 @ 93.9¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Geopolítica
Yes$41 @ 20.5¢
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Geopolítica
No$34 @ 20.0¢
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?Geopolítica
No$15 @ 58.8¢
Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$14 @ 12.0¢
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 27?Geopolítica
No$8 @ 38.0¢
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Geopolítica
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢