0xbf93…2fd7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbf93328f8b69273453228a82c913207731822fd7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+14.6pp

ROI

+17%

Tasa de acierto

79% @ 64.8¢

Brier

0.189

Resueltas

1344

Tamaño med.

$741

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	57% (40/70)	+13%	70
Política	80% (12/15)	+36%	15
Tecnología	57% (4/7)	+13%	7
Deportes	33% (1/3)	-82%	3
Cripto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Negocios	100% (1/1)	+66%	1

Other70 apuestas
Tasa acierto
57% (40/70)
ROI
+13%
Política15 apuestas
Tasa acierto
80% (12/15)
ROI
+36%
Tecnología7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
57% (4/7)
ROI
+13%
Deportes3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-82%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Negocios1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+66%

Historial

60% acierto · 58/97

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	$2.3k	9.0¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	No	$7.5k	71.1¢	Ganó
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$3.3k	66.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$3.5k	76.7¢	Ganó
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?	Yes	$2.0k	73.1¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	Yes	$100	19.0¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$29.7k	65.7¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	$5.7k	87.0¢	Perdió
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	No	$23.1k	66.8¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$28.2k	84.3¢	Ganó
Bulls vs. Hornets	Hornets	$3.0k	60.0¢	Perdió
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?	Yes	$40	13.4¢	Perdió
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	$23.7k	60.1¢	Ganó
Ducks vs. Islanders	Islanders	$614	81.0¢	Ganó
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?	No	$7.7k	26.0¢	Ganó
James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	$500	14.0¢	Perdió
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	$399	85.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	No	$740	55.0¢	Ganó
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$37.5k	82.8¢	Perdió
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?	Yes	$40	13.0¢	Perdió
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	$1.9k	69.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	$4.7k	48.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$35.3k	46.6¢	Ganó
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	$530	52.2¢	Ganó
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?	No	$1.0k	59.3¢	Ganó
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	$1.4k	11.8¢	Ganó
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?	No	$17.8k	83.5¢	Ganó
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?	Yes	$12.1k	61.4¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	Yes	$100	20.0¢	Perdió
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$5.7k	68.2¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$71.7k	62.1¢	Perdió
James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	$1.4k	41.1¢	Perdió
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	65.1¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	$4.8k	45.2¢	Perdió
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	$2.2k	80.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	$17.9k	70.7¢	Ganó
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	No	$45.0k	79.6¢	Ganó
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	No	$511	60.0¢	Ganó
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	Yes	$1.3k	71.7¢	Perdió
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	17.5¢	Perdió
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?	Yes	$6.5k	75.0¢	Ganó
Hawks vs. Wizards	Hawks	$9.3k	87.4¢	Ganó
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?	No	$865	23.6¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	No	$3.0k	36.9¢	Perdió
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?	Yes	$1000	4.2¢	Perdió
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-13?	Yes	$8.6k	88.9¢	Perdió
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	Yes	$100	17.0¢	Perdió
Red Wings vs. Flames	Red Wings	$4.3k	82.0¢	Ganó
Jazz vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	$6.8k	85.0¢	Perdió
Pacers vs. 76ers	76ers	$4.6k	70.8¢	Ganó

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Ganó
Yes$2.3k @ 9.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Ganó
No$7.5k @ 71.1¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$3.3k @ 66.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Ganó
No$3.5k @ 76.7¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2.0k @ 73.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 19.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Ganó
Yes$29.7k @ 65.7¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Perdió
No$5.7k @ 87.0¢
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Ganó
No$23.1k @ 66.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$28.2k @ 84.3¢
Bulls vs. HornetsPerdió
Hornets$3.0k @ 60.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 13.4¢
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$23.7k @ 60.1¢
Ducks vs. IslandersGanó
Islanders$614 @ 81.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Ganó
No$7.7k @ 26.0¢
James Comey arrested by May 15?Perdió
No$500 @ 14.0¢
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Ganó
No$399 @ 85.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Ganó
No$740 @ 55.0¢
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Perdió
Yes$37.5k @ 82.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 13.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$1.9k @ 69.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Ganó
No$4.7k @ 48.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Ganó
No$35.3k @ 46.6¢
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Ganó
No$530 @ 52.2¢
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 59.3¢
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 11.8¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Ganó
No$17.8k @ 83.5¢
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?Ganó
Yes$12.1k @ 61.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 20.0¢
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Ganó
Yes$5.7k @ 68.2¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Perdió
No$71.7k @ 62.1¢
James Comey arrested by April 29?Perdió
No$1.4k @ 41.1¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 65.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Perdió
No$4.8k @ 45.2¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Perdió
Yes$2.2k @ 80.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$17.9k @ 70.7¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Ganó
No$45.0k @ 79.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Ganó
No$511 @ 60.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Perdió
Yes$1.3k @ 71.7¢
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.6k @ 17.5¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?Ganó
Yes$6.5k @ 75.0¢
Hawks vs. WizardsGanó
Hawks$9.3k @ 87.4¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Ganó
No$865 @ 23.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Perdió
No$3.0k @ 36.9¢
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Perdió
Yes$1000 @ 4.2¢
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-13?Perdió
Yes$8.6k @ 88.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 17.0¢
Red Wings vs. FlamesGanó
Red Wings$4.3k @ 82.0¢
Jazz vs. GrizzliesPerdió
Grizzlies$6.8k @ 85.0¢
Pacers vs. 76ersGanó
76ers$4.6k @ 70.8¢

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