0x75a2…6992

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x75a27d0cc95b3586297c1e6b5417269332cd6992
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+11.7pp

ROI

+34%

Tasa de acierto

50% @ 38.5¢

Brier

0.114

Resueltas

692

Tamaño med.

$121

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Tecnología	42% (13/31)	-11%	31
Other	71% (12/17)	+41%	17
Deportes	31% (4/13)	+73%	13
Política	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolítica	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Tecnología31 apuestas
Tasa acierto
42% (13/31)
ROI
-11%
Other17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (12/17)
ROI
+41%
Deportes13 apuestas
Tasa acierto
31% (4/13)
ROI
+73%
Política2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolítica2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Historial

45% acierto · 29/65

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$3.5k	10.4¢	Perdió
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$2.8k	15.6¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Yes	$892	18.2¢	Perdió
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?	No	$3.1k	22.5¢	Perdió
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?	No	$448	8.5¢	Perdió
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?	Yes	$70	50.0¢	Ganó
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$510	34.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4.4k	17.2¢	Perdió
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$6.2k	68.7¢	Ganó
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	No	$711	6.3¢	Perdió
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	$641	29.8¢	Perdió
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$165	5.7¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	$482	16.6¢	Perdió
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$738	5.5¢	Perdió
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?	Yes	$522	31.0¢	Ganó
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	Yes	$576	82.0¢	Ganó
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	80.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	Yes	$310	18.7¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Yes	$500	16.9¢	Perdió
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?	Yes	$72	80.0¢	Ganó
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	Yes	$414	13.2¢	Perdió
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	$510	34.0¢	Ganó
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	$1.1k	36.2¢	Perdió
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	No	$416	20.0¢	Perdió
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	Yes	$2.1k	83.0¢	Ganó
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$9.2k	73.8¢	Ganó
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026?	Yes	$560	26.0¢	Perdió
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	$435	57.8¢	Perdió
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	Yes	$3.3k	72.2¢	Ganó
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?	Yes	$1.0k	31.4¢	Ganó
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$538	66.0¢	Ganó
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	$103	7.0¢	Perdió
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$710	50.4¢	Ganó
Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?	Yes	$993	60.1¢	Ganó
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	$204	32.0¢	Perdió
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	No	$450	30.0¢	Perdió
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	Yes	$660	88.5¢	Ganó
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026?	Yes	$27	62.0¢	Ganó
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.9k	13.9¢	Ganó
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	$375	15.0¢	Perdió
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$5.8k	79.6¢	Ganó
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?	Yes	$103	2.1¢	Perdió
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	5.0¢	Perdió
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$235	82.0¢	Ganó
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.4k	10.3¢	Perdió
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$630	4.9¢	Perdió
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$511	25.0¢	Perdió
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?	Yes	$2.7k	80.3¢	Ganó
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$525	37.5¢	Perdió
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$631	5.0¢	Perdió

Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3.5k @ 10.4¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2.8k @ 15.6¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Perdió
Yes$892 @ 18.2¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Perdió
No$3.1k @ 22.5¢
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?Perdió
No$448 @ 8.5¢
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?Ganó
Yes$70 @ 50.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Ganó
Yes$510 @ 34.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$4.4k @ 17.2¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$6.2k @ 68.7¢
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Perdió
No$711 @ 6.3¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Perdió
Yes$641 @ 29.8¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Perdió
Yes$165 @ 5.7¢
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Perdió
No$482 @ 16.6¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$738 @ 5.5¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Ganó
Yes$522 @ 31.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?Ganó
Yes$576 @ 82.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.9k @ 80.0¢
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?Perdió
Yes$310 @ 18.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Perdió
Yes$500 @ 16.9¢
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?Ganó
Yes$72 @ 80.0¢
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Perdió
Yes$414 @ 13.2¢
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$510 @ 34.0¢
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 36.2¢
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Perdió
No$416 @ 20.0¢
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2.1k @ 83.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$9.2k @ 73.8¢
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026?Perdió
Yes$560 @ 26.0¢
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Perdió
Yes$435 @ 57.8¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?Ganó
Yes$3.3k @ 72.2¢
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.0k @ 31.4¢
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$538 @ 66.0¢
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?Perdió
No$103 @ 7.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Ganó
Yes$710 @ 50.4¢
Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?Ganó
Yes$993 @ 60.1¢
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$204 @ 32.0¢
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Perdió
No$450 @ 30.0¢
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Ganó
Yes$660 @ 88.5¢
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026?Ganó
Yes$27 @ 62.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$2.9k @ 13.9¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$375 @ 15.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$5.8k @ 79.6¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$103 @ 2.1¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.7k @ 5.0¢
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$235 @ 82.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$1.4k @ 10.3¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$630 @ 4.9¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Perdió
Yes$511 @ 25.0¢
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2.7k @ 80.3¢
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Perdió
Yes$525 @ 37.5¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Perdió
Yes$631 @ 5.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	Yes	$6.7k	26.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Política	Yes	$3.9k	19.7¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$3.5k	70.0¢
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$2.6k	38.4¢
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$1.3k	34.0¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.2k	15.3¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1.1k	11.5¢
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$492	16.4¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$345	13.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$312	22.0¢
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$136	63.0¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$24	33.0¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$3	17.0¢
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$3	19.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
Yes$6.7k @ 26.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Política
Yes$3.9k @ 19.7¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$3.5k @ 70.0¢
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$2.6k @ 38.4¢
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$1.3k @ 34.0¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$1.2k @ 15.3¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1.1k @ 11.5¢
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$492 @ 16.4¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$345 @ 13.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Geopolítica
Yes$312 @ 22.0¢
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?Tecnología
No$136 @ 63.0¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$24 @ 33.0¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$3 @ 17.0¢
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?Tecnología
No$3 @ 19.0¢