0x4d0e…c45b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4d0e9b029700163625c551a0073636f3dc5ec45b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+15.7pp

ROI

+15%

Tasa de acierto

76% @ 60.3¢

Brier

0.125

Resueltas

753

Tamaño med.

$228

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	71% (71/100)	+14%	100
Política	100% (5/5)	+25%	5
Tecnología	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolítica	100% (1/1)	+27%	1

Other100 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (71/100)
ROI
+14%
Política5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (5/5)
ROI
+25%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+27%

Historial

72% acierto · 77/107

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?	Yes	$53	7.0¢	Perdió
Will Kamala Harris say "Democracy" 2+ times on Jimmy Kimmel Live?	No	$29	86.8¢	Ganó
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	Yes	$651	82.4¢	Ganó
Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup?	Yes	$325	78.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say “Little Communist” by February 28?	Yes	$4	13.0¢	Perdió
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?	No	$296	53.1¢	Ganó
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	No	$22	43.0¢	Perdió
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?	Yes	$576	86.2¢	Ganó
Will Sam Altman say "Elon" or "Musk" on The Tonight Show on December 8?	No	$758	86.0¢	Ganó
Weed rescheduled by March 31?	No	$316	49.1¢	Ganó
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?	No	$4.1k	87.2¢	Ganó
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?	Yes	$1.8k	87.6¢	Ganó
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?	Yes	$7	68.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say “Piggy” by February 28?	Yes	$3	10.0¢	Perdió
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?	Yes	$18	7.7¢	Perdió
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?	No	$651	37.4¢	Perdió
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 31?	No	$3	4.6¢	Perdió
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$14.7k	73.3¢	Ganó
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?	Yes	$1.7k	75.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Biden" during oil executive meetings on Friday?	Yes	$182	72.5¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	No	$1.1k	73.7¢	Ganó
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	No	$2.7k	89.1¢	Ganó
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?	Yes	$890	89.0¢	Perdió
Will the US strike Syria next?	Yes	$1.3k	80.7¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$17.2k	86.0¢	Perdió
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	$1	77.0¢	Ganó
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?	No	$15	85.1¢	Ganó
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	$559	80.5¢	Ganó
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?	Yes	$29	69.6¢	Ganó
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?	No	$169	77.0¢	Ganó
Will Sarah Snook (All Her Fault) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?	No	$2.3k	86.5¢	Ganó
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Germany" during press conference?	No	$5	86.0¢	Ganó
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?	No	$37	44.0¢	Ganó
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	Yes	$2.6k	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?	No	$325	89.3¢	Ganó
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?	No	$1.6k	58.1¢	Perdió
Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?	Yes	$106	88.1¢	Perdió
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	No	$305	20.4¢	Perdió
Will Jensen Huang be the Financial Times Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	$63	71.0¢	Ganó
Weed rescheduled in 2025?	Yes	$19	19.3¢	Perdió
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 19?	No	$80	5.1¢	Perdió
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 19?	Yes	$256	79.4¢	Ganó
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by March 31?	Yes	$621	83.3¢	Ganó
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	Yes	$1.1k	48.0¢	Ganó
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	No	$1.6k	71.2¢	Ganó
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	No	$823	76.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?	No	$3.4k	62.8¢	Ganó
Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?	Yes	$158	36.8¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$10.1k	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 19, 2026?	No	$18	85.7¢	Ganó

Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Perdió
Yes$53 @ 7.0¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Democracy" 2+ times on Jimmy Kimmel Live?Ganó
No$29 @ 86.8¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Ganó
Yes$651 @ 82.4¢
Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup?Ganó
Yes$325 @ 78.0¢
Will Trump say “Little Communist” by February 28?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 13.0¢
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Ganó
No$296 @ 53.1¢
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Perdió
No$22 @ 43.0¢
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?Ganó
Yes$576 @ 86.2¢
Will Sam Altman say "Elon" or "Musk" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Ganó
No$758 @ 86.0¢
Weed rescheduled by March 31?Ganó
No$316 @ 49.1¢
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Ganó
No$4.1k @ 87.2¢
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Ganó
Yes$1.8k @ 87.6¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?Ganó
Yes$7 @ 68.0¢
Will Trump say “Piggy” by February 28?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?Perdió
Yes$18 @ 7.7¢
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Perdió
No$651 @ 37.4¢
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 31?Perdió
No$3 @ 4.6¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Ganó
No$14.7k @ 73.3¢
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Ganó
Yes$1.7k @ 75.0¢
Will Trump say "Biden" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Ganó
Yes$182 @ 72.5¢
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Ganó
No$1.1k @ 73.7¢
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Ganó
No$2.7k @ 89.1¢
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Perdió
Yes$890 @ 89.0¢
Will the US strike Syria next?Ganó
Yes$1.3k @ 80.7¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Perdió
No$17.2k @ 86.0¢
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 77.0¢
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?Ganó
No$15 @ 85.1¢
US strike on Mexico by January 31?Ganó
No$559 @ 80.5¢
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?Ganó
Yes$29 @ 69.6¢
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?Ganó
No$169 @ 77.0¢
Will Sarah Snook (All Her Fault) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?Ganó
No$2.3k @ 86.5¢
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Germany" during press conference?Ganó
No$5 @ 86.0¢
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?Ganó
No$37 @ 44.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Ganó
Yes$2.6k @ 87.0¢
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?Ganó
No$325 @ 89.3¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Perdió
No$1.6k @ 58.1¢
Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?Perdió
Yes$106 @ 88.1¢
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Perdió
No$305 @ 20.4¢
Will Jensen Huang be the Financial Times Person of the Year for 2025?Ganó
Yes$63 @ 71.0¢
Weed rescheduled in 2025?Perdió
Yes$19 @ 19.3¢
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 19?Perdió
No$80 @ 5.1¢
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 19?Ganó
Yes$256 @ 79.4¢
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by March 31?Ganó
Yes$621 @ 83.3¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Ganó
Yes$1.1k @ 48.0¢
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?Ganó
No$1.6k @ 71.2¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Ganó
No$823 @ 76.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Ganó
No$3.4k @ 62.8¢
Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?Perdió
Yes$158 @ 36.8¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Ganó
Yes$10.1k @ 87.0¢
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 19, 2026?Ganó
No$18 @ 85.7¢

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