0x1543…baaf

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x15433540ca3794108e602bfd353189519af8baaf
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.1pp

ROI

+9%

Tasa de acierto

39% @ 32.5¢

Brier

0.212

Resueltas

2223

Tamaño med.

$137

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	40% (57/141)	+9%	141
Política	37% (14/38)	+39%	38
Deportes	18% (3/17)	-67%	17
Tecnología	36% (5/14)	+47%	14
Geopolítica	17% (1/6)	-48%	6
Cripto	40% (2/5)	+61%	5
Economía	50% (1/2)	+144%	2
Cultura	100% (1/1)	+41%	1
Negocios	100% (1/1)	+115%	1

Other141 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (57/141)
ROI
+9%
Política38 apuestas
Tasa acierto
37% (14/38)
ROI
+39%
Deportes17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
18% (3/17)
ROI
-67%
Tecnología14 apuestas
Tasa acierto
36% (5/14)
ROI
+47%
Geopolítica6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
17% (1/6)
ROI
-48%
Cripto5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (2/5)
ROI
+61%
Economía2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
+144%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+41%
Negocios1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+115%

Historial

38% acierto · 85/225

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5	Over	$996	33.0¢	Ganó
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Over	$21	52.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)	Knicks	$699	7.0¢	Perdió
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5	Over	$1.0k	37.0¢	Ganó
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5	No	$757	56.0¢	Ganó
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$165	7.0¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	No	$850	85.0¢	Ganó
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	No	$131	12.9¢	Perdió
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Over	$1.4k	50.6¢	Ganó
Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?	No	$357	49.5¢	Ganó
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$525	26.3¢	Perdió
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$67	5.9¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	31.2¢	Perdió
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)	Spurs	$667	21.0¢	Ganó
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	33.5¢	Ganó
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Under	$2.3k	46.0¢	Perdió
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)	Knicks	$126	17.0¢	Perdió
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	$3.5k	46.4¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	$520	26.0¢	Perdió
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5	Over	$3.1k	51.6¢	Ganó
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5	Under	$2.5k	49.0¢	Perdió
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5	Over	$1000	48.0¢	Perdió
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Under	$529	24.8¢	Perdió
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$27	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$2.3k	55.6¢	Ganó
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	$57	28.0¢	Ganó
Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	$1.6k	33.0¢	Ganó
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 15?	Yes	$434	11.9¢	Perdió
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?	Yes	$344	16.7¢	Perdió
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	$930	62.0¢	Ganó
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5	Over	$720	48.0¢	Ganó
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Netherlands	$784	59.0¢	Perdió
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Perdió
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	$2.2k	44.0¢	Ganó
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$245	9.8¢	Perdió
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.2k	38.8¢	Perdió
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	$1.3k	88.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)	Knicks	$589	20.0¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	No	$2.4k	89.3¢	Ganó
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	Yes	$864	11.1¢	Perdió
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)	Cavaliers	$238	79.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)	Pistons	$2.5k	22.3¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	$581	19.0¢	Perdió
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$185	9.2¢	Perdió
Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	$506	61.0¢	Perdió
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)	Cavaliers	$738	24.0¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day	Down	$454	46.7¢	Perdió
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5	Over	$1.3k	46.0¢	Perdió
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$294	12.0¢	Perdió
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.0k	68.0¢	Ganó

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Ganó
Over$996 @ 33.0¢
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Ganó
Over$21 @ 52.0¢
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Perdió
Knicks$699 @ 7.0¢
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Ganó
Over$1.0k @ 37.0¢
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Ganó
No$757 @ 56.0¢
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?Perdió
Yes$165 @ 7.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Ganó
No$850 @ 85.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Perdió
No$131 @ 12.9¢
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Ganó
Over$1.4k @ 50.6¢
Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?Ganó
No$357 @ 49.5¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Perdió
Yes$525 @ 26.3¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Perdió
Yes$67 @ 5.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.9k @ 31.2¢
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Ganó
Spurs$667 @ 21.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.9k @ 33.5¢
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5Perdió
Under$2.3k @ 46.0¢
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Perdió
Knicks$126 @ 17.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?Ganó
Yes$3.5k @ 46.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Perdió
Yes$520 @ 26.0¢
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Ganó
Over$3.1k @ 51.6¢
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Perdió
Under$2.5k @ 49.0¢
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Perdió
Over$1000 @ 48.0¢
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Perdió
Under$529 @ 24.8¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Perdió
No$27 @ 3.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Ganó
Yes$2.3k @ 55.6¢
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Ganó
Thunder$57 @ 28.0¢
Knicks vs. SpursGanó
Knicks$1.6k @ 33.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 15?Perdió
Yes$434 @ 11.9¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Perdió
Yes$344 @ 16.7¢
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Ganó
Yes$930 @ 62.0¢
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Ganó
Over$720 @ 48.0¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvancePerdió
Netherlands$784 @ 59.0¢
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Knicks vs. CavaliersGanó
Knicks$2.2k @ 44.0¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Perdió
Yes$245 @ 9.8¢
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$1.2k @ 38.8¢
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Ganó
Knicks$1.3k @ 88.0¢
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Perdió
Knicks$589 @ 20.0¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Ganó
No$2.4k @ 89.3¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Perdió
Yes$864 @ 11.1¢
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Ganó
Cavaliers$238 @ 79.0¢
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Perdió
Pistons$2.5k @ 22.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Perdió
Yes$581 @ 19.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$185 @ 9.2¢
Rockets vs. LakersPerdió
Lakers$506 @ 61.0¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Ganó
Cavaliers$738 @ 24.0¢
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second DayPerdió
Down$454 @ 46.7¢
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Perdió
Over$1.3k @ 46.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$294 @ 12.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2.0k @ 68.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	Cultura	Yes	$4.8k	42.6¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Tecnología	Yes	$3.1k	20.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$3.0k	59.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Tecnología	No	$1.3k	39.2¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Tecnología	Yes	$1.1k	23.7¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$990	11.0¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$945	15.5¢
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$808	2.4¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$800	20.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	Tecnología	Yes	$744	9.0¢
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Política	Yes	$639	18.7¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Tecnología	Yes	$631	13.3¢
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$587	29.8¢
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$586	4.6¢
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$560	4.7¢
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$477	5.0¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Tecnología	Yes	$406	18.4¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	Tecnología	Yes	$373	33.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$312	14.6¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Cultura	Yes	$292	35.4¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Tecnología	Yes	$194	6.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$161	51.0¢
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$140	11.5¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$139	1.4¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$130	17.6¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	Tecnología	Yes	$123	5.0¢
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?	Política	Yes	$110	29.4¢
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$90	40.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tecnología	No	$77	49.1¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$49	8.0¢

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Cultura
Yes$4.8k @ 42.6¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tecnología
Yes$3.1k @ 20.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$3.0k @ 59.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tecnología
No$1.3k @ 39.2¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tecnología
Yes$1.1k @ 23.7¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$990 @ 11.0¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economía
Yes$945 @ 15.5¢
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$808 @ 2.4¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$800 @ 20.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tecnología
Yes$744 @ 9.0¢
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Política
Yes$639 @ 18.7¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tecnología
Yes$631 @ 13.3¢
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$587 @ 29.8¢
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tecnología
Yes$586 @ 4.6¢
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$560 @ 4.7¢
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$477 @ 5.0¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tecnología
Yes$406 @ 18.4¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Tecnología
Yes$373 @ 33.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tecnología
Yes$312 @ 14.6¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Cultura
Yes$292 @ 35.4¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tecnología
Yes$194 @ 6.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$161 @ 51.0¢
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$140 @ 11.5¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$139 @ 1.4¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Economía
Yes$130 @ 17.6¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tecnología
Yes$123 @ 5.0¢
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Política
Yes$110 @ 29.4¢
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$90 @ 40.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tecnología
No$77 @ 49.1¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$49 @ 8.0¢