Consenso del mercado

Dónde concentran convicción los expertos seguidos, agrupado por mercado y resultado.

Cierra en

					Ahora
▸	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	7	$1277.5k	96.5¢	4mo
▸	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Dividido Yes 50%No 50%	10	$1195.1k	20.4¢	27mo
▸	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	18	$419.5k	93.5¢	4mo
▸	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	22	$297.4k	58.5¢	10d
▸	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Fuerte No 88%Yes 12%	47	$271.3k	82.5¢	4mo
▸	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Dividido Yes 50%No 50%	8	$474.5k	15.3¢	27mo
▸	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	11	$164.1k	38.5¢	1mo
▸	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Inclinación Yes 62%No 38%	9	$181.3k	47.3¢	27mo
▸	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Fuerte No 89%Yes 11%	12	$117.1k	24.5¢	4mo
▸	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	8	$91.2k	92.8¢	4mo
▸	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	7	$78.6k	91.5¢	4mo
▸	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Unánime Yes 100%	7	$71.0k	56.5¢	1mo
▸	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Unánime No 100%	8	$69.8k	83.5¢	4mo
▸	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Fuerte Yes 99%No 1%	17	$58.9k	83.7¢	4mo
▸	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Unánime Yes 100%	16	$53.5k	68.5¢	26d
▸	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Fuerte Yes 93%No 7%	20	$53.5k	88.5¢	2mo
▸	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	14	$48.2k	90.0¢	10d
▸	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Fuerte No 95%Yes 5%	7	$49.4k	90.5¢	4mo
▸	Trump out as President by August 31?	Unánime No 100%	4	$39.3k	98.5¢	11d
▸	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Unánime No 100%	6	$39.0k	77.5¢	4mo
▸	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	8	$35.9k	95.5¢	1mo
▸	Iran leadership change by August 31?	Unánime No 100%	6	$34.5k	91.0¢	10d
▸	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte No 87%Yes 13%	10	$38.8k	46.0¢	1mo
▸	Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	8	$31.1k	95.0¢	11d
▸	Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Unánime Yes 100%	3	$29.9k	0.1¢	27mo
▸	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Fuerte No 89%Yes 11%	8	$32.5k	85.5¢	26d
▸	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Fuerte No 92%Yes 8%	8	$30.2k	97.8¢	2mo
▸	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	10	$27.3k	92.5¢	4mo
▸	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Inclinación No 78%Yes 22%	15	$33.1k	72.5¢	11d
▸	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	Unánime No 100%	5	$25.8k	87.5¢	25d
▸	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Inclinación Yes 79%No 21%	15	$32.3k	16.5¢	4mo
▸	Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Unánime Yes 100%	3	$25.2k	91.0¢	16d
▸	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	Fuerte No 92%Yes 8%	8	$26.5k	57.5¢	11d
▸	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	Unánime No 100%	3	$24.2k	50.5¢	12d
▸	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte Yes 95%No 5%	4	$22.7k	37.5¢	4mo
▸	US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Inclinación No 62%Yes 38%	15	$33.5k	44.5¢	8h
▸	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Inclinación No 73%Yes 27%	5	$27.9k	49.5¢	4mo
▸	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	8	$19.9k	94.8¢	1mo
▸	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Unánime Yes 100%	5	$19.4k	11.8¢	27mo
▸	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Fuerte Yes 100%No 0%	3	$19.0k	13.8¢	27mo
▸	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	5	$17.9k	73.5¢	2mo
▸	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Fuerte Yes 83%No 17%	12	$19.8k	49.5¢	11d
▸	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Dividido Yes 55%No 45%	10	$29.2k	52.5¢	4mo
▸	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Unánime No 100%	7	$15.1k	67.0¢	4mo
▸	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Fuerte No 96%Yes 4%	3	$15.6k	93.5¢	4mo
▸	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	4	$14.9k	50.0¢	4mo
▸	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	Unánime No 100%	3	$14.2k	94.3¢	11d
▸	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte Yes 90%No 10%	4	$15.3k	38.5¢	4mo
▸	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Fuerte Yes 87%No 13%	6	$15.7k	49.5¢	4mo
▸	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	Unánime Yes 100%	2	$13.4k	56.5¢	4mo
▸	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Unánime Yes 100%	3	$13.3k	12.7¢	27mo
▸	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	Unánime No 100%	3	$13.0k	92.1¢	4mo
▸	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Unánime No 100%	3	$12.5k	87.0¢	4mo
▸	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Inclinación No 73%Yes 27%	6	$16.5k	67.5¢	1mo
▸	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	5	$12.0k	85.9¢	4mo
▸	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Fuerte No 98%Yes 2%	5	$11.9k	47.0¢	12d
▸	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Unánime Yes 100%	2	$11.5k	5.0¢	27mo
▸	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Fuerte Yes 83%No 17%	8	$13.5k	50.5¢	4mo
▸	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Unánime Yes 100%	2	$11.2k	5.3¢	27mo
▸	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Fuerte Yes 95%No 5%	6	$11.7k	86.4¢	4mo
▸	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	Unánime No 100%	5	$10.9k	88.8¢	4mo
▸	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Dividido Yes 56%No 44%	10	$18.9k	60.0¢	1mo
▸	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Fuerte No 98%Yes 2%	8	$10.8k	88.5¢	2mo
▸	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Unánime Yes 100%	4	$10.5k	38.5¢	2mo
▸	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	Unánime No 100%	5	$10.3k	61.0¢	12d
▸	US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?	Unánime No 100%	3	$10.0k	50.0¢	11d
▸	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Inclinación No 78%Yes 22%	8	$12.9k	34.0¢	4mo
▸	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Unánime Yes 100%	2	$10.0k	0.3¢	27mo
▸	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	5	$10.0k	96.5¢	4mo
▸	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	2	$9.5k	94.5¢	26d
▸	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Fuerte No 92%Yes 8%	4	$10.3k	75.0¢	4mo
▸	Trump out as President before 2027?	Fuerte No 80%Yes 20%	11	$11.7k	94.5¢	4mo
▸	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	4	$9.4k	56.0¢	2d
▸	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Fuerte Yes 97%No 3%	9	$9.5k	46.5¢	11d
▸	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte Yes 98%No 2%	5	$9.4k	15.0¢	4mo
▸	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Unánime No 100%	5	$9.1k	91.5¢	4mo
▸	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	4	$9.1k	86.5¢	4mo
▸	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?	Inclinación Yes 75%No 25%	8	$12.0k	60.0¢	2d
▸	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	6	$9.0k	86.5¢	1mo
▸	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	Fuerte No 98%Yes 2%	3	$9.0k	44.0¢	11d
▸	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	3	$8.5k	84.0¢	11d
▸	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Fuerte Yes 99%No 1%	7	$8.3k	67.5¢	11d
▸	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Unánime No 100%	7	$7.9k	93.0¢	4mo
▸	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Inclinación Yes 79%No 21%	6	$9.9k	6.5¢	4mo
▸	Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Unánime No 100%	2	$7.7k	95.7¢	4mo
▸	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Inclinación Yes 73%No 27%	7	$10.4k	27.5¢	4mo
▸	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Fuerte No 97%Yes 3%	5	$7.8k	61.5¢	4mo
▸	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Fuerte No 95%Yes 5%	4	$8.0k	43.5¢	2mo
▸	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Unánime No 100%	3	$7.4k	83.5¢	4mo
▸	Iran leadership change by September 30?	Unánime No 100%	8	$7.3k	91.5¢	1mo
▸	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Fuerte Yes 100%No 0%	5	$7.4k	90.5¢	4mo
▸	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?	Unánime No 100%	3	$6.9k	98.3¢	12d
▸	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	Unánime No 100%	2	$6.9k	58.0¢	12d
▸	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte Yes 89%No 11%	5	$7.6k	44.5¢	4mo
▸	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Inclinación No 71%Yes 29%	6	$9.4k	87.0¢	4mo
▸	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	Unánime No 100%	4	$6.7k	74.5¢	1mo
▸	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Unánime No 100%	2	$6.6k	68.5¢	11d
▸	Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	4	$6.6k	43.0¢	4mo
▸	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte No 94%Yes 6%	4	$6.9k	28.5¢	4mo
▸	Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?	Unánime No 100%	2	$6.4k	72.0¢	11d