Consenso del mercado

Dónde concentran convicción los expertos seguidos, agrupado por mercado y resultado.

Cierra en

					Ahora
▸	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Unánime No 100%	5	$1276.6k	96.4¢	4mo
▸	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Fuerte Yes 98%No 2%	14	$495.8k	14.5¢	4d
▸	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Dividido No 50%Yes 50%	9	$846.8k	75.9¢	26mo
▸	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	11	$283.2k	92.5¢	4mo
▸	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Inclinación Yes 67%No 33%	18	$376.2k	68.5¢	4d
▸	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	39	$199.2k	84.5¢	4mo
▸	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	7	$95.6k	92.8¢	4mo
▸	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Dividido Yes 50%No 50%	6	$145.8k	50.3¢	26mo
▸	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Fuerte Yes 99%No 1%	12	$69.2k	83.7¢	4mo
▸	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	8	$67.8k	83.5¢	4mo
▸	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Fuerte No 94%Yes 6%	11	$66.5k	38.5¢	18d
▸	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Fuerte No 96%Yes 4%	6	$60.3k	90.5¢	4mo
▸	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	Unánime No 100%	3	$56.4k	12.0¢	4mo
▸	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Fuerte Yes 100%No 0%	11	$42.6k	50.5¢	4mo
▸	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Dividido No 50%Yes 50%	4	$80.8k	85.9¢	26mo
▸	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Unánime No 100%	4	$36.6k	93.5¢	4mo
▸	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Fuerte Yes 98%No 2%	5	$34.3k	56.5¢	18d
▸	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Dividido Yes 58%No 42%	14	$50.2k	16.5¢	4mo
▸	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Fuerte No 96%Yes 4%	5	$29.5k	75.0¢	4mo
▸	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	4	$27.5k	86.5¢	19d
▸	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte No 97%Yes 3%	10	$28.0k	93.5¢	4mo
▸	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Fuerte Yes 96%No 4%	9	$26.4k	12.5¢	18d
▸	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Fuerte No 91%Yes 9%	6	$27.8k	98.3¢	28d
▸	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Fuerte Yes 86%No 14%	15	$26.9k	87.5¢	2mo
▸	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Dividido No 58%Yes 42%	14	$38.7k	24.5¢	4mo
▸	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Inclinación No 65%Yes 35%	9	$33.8k	86.5¢	4mo
▸	Trump out as President before 2027?	Fuerte No 90%Yes 10%	10	$23.6k	94.5¢	4mo
▸	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	3	$20.9k	46.5¢	4mo
▸	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Unánime No 100%	5	$20.6k	83.5¢	4mo
▸	Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Unánime Yes 100%	3	$20.1k	0.1¢	26mo
▸	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Fuerte No 97%Yes 3%	2	$20.6k	87.0¢	2mo
▸	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Fuerte No 92%Yes 8%	8	$21.3k	94.8¢	18d
▸	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte Yes 92%No 8%	4	$21.1k	19.5¢	4mo
▸	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Unánime No 100%	2	$18.9k	50.0¢	19d
▸	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	Unánime No 100%	5	$18.6k	88.8¢	4mo
▸	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Fuerte Yes 100%No 0%	3	$18.2k	16.2¢	26mo
▸	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	4	$17.9k	86.5¢	4mo
▸	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	4	$17.9k	71.5¢	2mo
▸	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Fuerte Yes 95%No 5%	3	$18.4k	4.7¢	2mo
▸	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	8	$17.6k	98.0¢	22d
▸	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Fuerte Yes 86%No 14%	8	$19.7k	60.0¢	19d
▸	US recession by end of 2026?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	3	$15.3k	93.0¢	5mo
▸	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Fuerte No 96%Yes 4%	2	$15.4k	93.5¢	4mo
▸	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Inclinación No 71%Yes 29%	8	$20.3k	92.5¢	4mo
▸	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Unánime Yes 100%	2	$14.1k	1.8¢	26mo
▸	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte Yes 91%No 9%	3	$15.2k	38.5¢	4mo
▸	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Fuerte Yes 99%No 1%	3	$13.6k	47.0¢	2mo
▸	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Unánime No 100%	2	$13.3k	47.5¢	2mo
▸	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Unánime No 100%	6	$13.1k	56.0¢	4mo
▸	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	Fuerte No 98%Yes 2%	4	$13.3k	93.0¢	4mo
▸	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	3	$12.8k	50.0¢	4mo
▸	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Unánime No 100%	5	$12.7k	96.0¢	4mo
▸	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Unánime Yes 100%	15	$12.5k	42.5¢	22d
▸	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Unánime No 100%	2	$11.7k	87.0¢	4mo
▸	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Fuerte Yes 96%No 4%	5	$12.1k	48.0¢	2mo
▸	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Fuerte Yes 99%No 1%	6	$11.1k	89.0¢	3mo
▸	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Unánime Yes 100%	7	$10.9k	32.0¢	19d
▸	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	8	$10.3k	86.5¢	2mo
▸	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Dividido Yes 51%No 49%	3	$19.3k	8.0¢	26mo
▸	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Unánime No 100%	2	$9.7k	97.9¢	4mo
▸	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Unánime No 100%	6	$9.3k	67.0¢	4mo
▸	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Fuerte Yes 100%No 0%	4	$9.3k	93.0¢	18d
▸	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Unánime Yes 100%	5	$9.3k	34.4¢	18d
▸	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Unánime Yes 100%	2	$9.3k	0.1¢	26mo
▸	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	4	$9.1k	90.5¢	4mo
▸	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Fuerte No 98%Yes 2%	4	$8.8k	72.5¢	4mo
▸	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Fuerte No 94%Yes 6%	4	$8.6k	77.5¢	2mo
▸	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	4	$8.1k	96.8¢	4mo
▸	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Fuerte No 96%Yes 4%	6	$8.4k	91.0¢	4d
▸	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	4	$7.6k	77.0¢	4mo
▸	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	Unánime No 100%	2	$7.5k	50.0¢	19d
▸	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Fuerte No 94%Yes 6%	3	$7.2k	43.5¢	2mo
▸	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Inclinación No 61%Yes 39%	8	$10.8k	82.0¢	4d
▸	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Unánime No 100%	2	$6.5k	73.5¢	3mo
▸	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Unánime No 100%	5	$6.3k	93.0¢	4mo
▸	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Fuerte No 95%Yes 5%	7	$6.5k	71.0¢	4mo
▸	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Fuerte No 99%Yes 1%	3	$6.0k	50.0¢	19d
▸	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Inclinación Yes 74%No 26%	5	$7.5k	93.2¢	4mo
▸	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	Unánime No 100%	2	$5.5k	85.0¢	19d
▸	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Unánime No 100%	3	$5.4k	96.5¢	4mo
▸	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Dividido No 55%Yes 45%	4	$9.8k	67.5¢	19d
▸	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Unánime No 100%	2	$5.4k	89.5¢	4mo
▸	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Unánime No 100%	3	$5.4k	94.0¢	4mo
▸	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte Yes 90%No 10%	5	$6.0k	44.5¢	4mo
▸	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Unánime Yes 100%	2	$5.4k	93.5¢	4mo
▸	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?	Fuerte Yes 96%No 4%	4	$5.6k	91.5¢	19d
▸	Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Unánime No 100%	2	$5.3k	43.0¢	4mo
▸	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Fuerte Yes 100%No 0%	3	$5.3k	73.5¢	1d
▸	US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte No 100%Yes 0%	2	$5.1k	52.0¢	4mo
▸	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Fuerte Yes 99%No 1%	6	$5.0k	95.3¢	2mo
▸	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Fuerte Yes 100%No 0%	3	$4.9k	13.3¢	26mo
▸	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Fuerte Yes 86%No 14%	4	$5.7k	27.5¢	4mo
▸	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Inclinación No 71%Yes 29%	8	$6.7k	69.5¢	4mo
▸	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Fuerte Yes 99%No 1%	3	$4.8k	90.5¢	4mo
▸	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Unánime No 100%	6	$4.7k	66.5¢	4mo
▸	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Unánime No 100%	3	$4.7k	92.8¢	4mo
▸	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Unánime No 100%	4	$4.5k	96.3¢	4mo
▸	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Unánime Yes 100%	2	$4.3k	100.0¢	4mo
▸	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Unánime Yes 100%	2	$4.3k	94.6¢	4mo
▸	Iran leadership change by September 30?	Unánime No 100%	7	$4.2k	91.5¢	18d