WhaleGraph

Consenso del mercado

Dónde concentran convicción los expertos seguidos, agrupado por mercado y resultado.

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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Fuerte
No 92%Yes 8%
Expertos
248
Total $
$2928.4k
Ahora
81.0¢
Cierre
2mo
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Fuerte
Yes 89%No 11%
Expertos
169
Total $
$2681.7k
Ahora
91.5¢
Cierre
8d
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Dividido
No 50%Yes 50%
Expertos
84
Total $
$4315.1k
Ahora
80.8¢
Cierre
25mo
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Inclinación
Yes 72%No 28%
Expertos
113
Total $
$2681.6k
Ahora
65.5¢
Cierre
8d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Fuerte
◆ Smart money con el favorito
Yes 81%No 19%
Expertos
143
Total $
$1985.4k
Ahora
92.9¢
Cierre
2d
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Fuerte
No 92%Yes 8%
Expertos
120
Total $
$1570.3k
Ahora
93.5¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Fuerte
◆ Smart money con el favorito
No 97%Yes 3%
Expertos
195
Total $
$1385.3k
Ahora
72.5¢
Cierre
1d
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Fuerte
No 89%Yes 11%
Expertos
111
Total $
$1436.0k
Ahora
92.5¢
Cierre
8d
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Fuerte
No 94%Yes 6%
Expertos
98
Total $
$1347.1k
Ahora
91.5¢
Cierre
8d
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Fuerte
No 98%Yes 2%
Expertos
80
Total $
$1168.9k
Ahora
97.9¢
Cierre
2mo
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Fuerte
⚠ Smart money contra el favorito
Yes 94%No 6%
Expertos
73
Total $
$1206.4k
Ahora
6.5¢
Cierre
2d
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Fuerte
No 81%Yes 19%
Expertos
127
Total $
$898.4k
Ahora
64.5¢
Cierre
8d
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Inclinación
Yes 76%No 24%
Expertos
57
Total $
$950.5k
Ahora
26.5¢
Cierre
8d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Fuerte
No 99%Yes 1%
Expertos
64
Total $
$702.5k
Ahora
98.0¢
Cierre
2mo
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Inclinación
Yes 66%No 34%
Expertos
53
Total $
$1044.6k
Ahora
37.5¢
Cierre
25mo
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Inclinación
No 66%Yes 34%
Expertos
34
Total $
$965.9k
Ahora
85.5¢
Cierre
7mo
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Fuerte
Yes 99%No 1%
Expertos
54
Total $
$629.0k
Ahora
96.0¢
Cierre
2mo
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Fuerte
No 96%Yes 4%
Expertos
59
Total $
$645.3k
Ahora
96.0¢
Cierre
2mo
Trump out as President before 2027?
Fuerte
No 99%Yes 1%
Expertos
73
Total $
$590.6k
Ahora
96.0¢
Cierre
2mo
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Fuerte
Yes 100%No 0%
Expertos
10
Total $
$546.7k
Ahora
0.1¢
Cierre
8d
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Fuerte
No 99%Yes 1%
Expertos
27
Total $
$499.7k
Ahora
86.4¢
Cierre
6mo
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Fuerte
No 100%Yes 0%
Expertos
56
Total $
$463.8k
Ahora
97.5¢
Cierre
2mo
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Fuerte
Yes 81%No 19%
Expertos
177
Total $
$564.8k
Ahora
64.5¢
Cierre
8d
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Dividido
Yes 57%No 43%
Expertos
107
Total $
$794.5k
Ahora
65.5¢
Cierre
8d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Inclinación
No 76%Yes 24%
Expertos
127
Total $
$589.4k
Ahora
88.5¢
Cierre
2mo
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Fuerte
No 100%Yes 0%
Expertos
63
Total $
$433.8k
Ahora
94.5¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Fuerte
No 95%Yes 5%
Expertos
45
Total $
$435.1k
Ahora
92.5¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Fuerte
No 100%Yes 0%
Expertos
34
Total $
$398.4k
Ahora
96.9¢
Cierre
2mo
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
Fuerte
No 99%Yes 1%
Expertos
18
Total $
$350.0k
Ahora
99.3¢
Cierre
5d
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Fuerte
No 98%Yes 2%
Expertos
50
Total $
$338.7k
Ahora
96.7¢
Cierre
2mo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Fuerte
No 95%Yes 5%
Expertos
58
Total $
$337.7k
Ahora
99.7¢
Cierre
5d
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Fuerte
No 100%Yes 0%
Expertos
49
Total $
$311.5k
Ahora
97.8¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Fuerte
No 100%Yes 0%
Expertos
44
Total $
$309.7k
Ahora
96.9¢
Cierre
8d
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Fuerte
No 81%Yes 19%
Expertos
27
Total $
$357.6k
Ahora
90.5¢
Cierre
14mo
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Fuerte
Yes 93%No 7%
Expertos
89
Total $
$309.1k
Ahora
93.5¢
Cierre
5d
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Fuerte
No 95%Yes 5%
Expertos
45
Total $
$291.6k
Ahora
93.5¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Inclinación
No 72%Yes 28%
Expertos
71
Total $
$380.6k
Ahora
56.4¢
Cierre
6mo
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Fuerte
No 89%Yes 11%
Expertos
71
Total $
$300.7k
Ahora
85.0¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Dividido
Yes 56%No 44%
Expertos
71
Total $
$471.1k
Ahora
11.5¢
Cierre
25mo
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Fuerte
Yes 80%No 20%
Expertos
125
Total $
$325.5k
Ahora
100.0¢
Cierre
4h
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Fuerte
Yes 97%No 3%
Expertos
90
Total $
$265.9k
Ahora
85.5¢
Cierre
2mo
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Fuerte
No 90%Yes 10%
Expertos
44
Total $
$276.9k
Ahora
77.0¢
Cierre
8d
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Fuerte
No 90%Yes 10%
Expertos
21
Total $
$265.1k
Ahora
78.0¢
Cierre
7mo
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Inclinación
No 66%Yes 34%
Expertos
142
Total $
$359.5k
Ahora
95.0¢
Cierre
5d
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Fuerte
Yes 85%No 15%
Expertos
32
Total $
$279.2k
Ahora
76.5¢
Cierre
1mo
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Fuerte
No 96%Yes 4%
Expertos
55
Total $
$244.2k
Ahora
100.0¢
Cierre
4h
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
Unánime
Yes 100%
Expertos
11
Total $
$223.0k
Ahora
80.0¢
Cierre
2mo
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Fuerte
No 93%Yes 7%
Expertos
70
Total $
$231.0k
Ahora
76.5¢
Cierre
8d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Fuerte
Yes 95%No 5%
Expertos
22
Total $
$224.6k
Ahora
75.0¢
Cierre
1mo
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Fuerte
No 99%Yes 1%
Expertos
40
Total $
$204.8k
Ahora
96.4¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Fuerte
No 99%Yes 1%
Expertos
21
Total $
$192.4k
Ahora
94.8¢
Cierre
2mo
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Fuerte
No 84%Yes 16%
Expertos
25
Total $
$227.3k
Ahora
99.7¢
Cierre
2d
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Dividido
Yes 50%No 50%
Expertos
5
Total $
$377.1k
Ahora
0.6¢
Cierre
25mo
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Fuerte
No 99%Yes 1%
Expertos
31
Total $
$191.0k
Ahora
82.0¢
Cierre
2mo
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Dividido
Yes 52%No 48%
Expertos
114
Total $
$358.9k
Ahora
4.3¢
Cierre
2mo
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Inclinación
No 62%Yes 38%
Expertos
88
Total $
$296.2k
Ahora
83.5¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Fuerte
No 81%Yes 19%
Expertos
24
Total $
$224.0k
Ahora
96.5¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Fuerte
◆ Smart money con el favorito
Yes 93%No 7%
Expertos
64
Total $
$192.4k
Ahora
68.5¢
Cierre
1d
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Inclinación
Yes 74%No 26%
Expertos
44
Total $
$234.8k
Ahora
62.0¢
Cierre
8d
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Fuerte
Yes 100%No 0%
Expertos
47
Total $
$173.4k
Ahora
96.4¢
Cierre
8d
US recession by end of 2026?
Fuerte
No 99%Yes 1%
Expertos
42
Total $
$174.6k
Ahora
92.5¢
Cierre
3mo
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Fuerte
No 98%Yes 2%
Expertos
26
Total $
$175.5k
Ahora
96.0¢
Cierre
2mo
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Dividido
No 53%Yes 47%
Expertos
70
Total $
$317.9k
Ahora
65.5¢
Cierre
8d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Fuerte
No 99%Yes 1%
Expertos
77
Total $
$168.1k
Ahora
95.9¢
Cierre
2mo
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Fuerte
No 89%Yes 11%
Expertos
89
Total $
$186.5k
Ahora
85.5¢
Cierre
2mo
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Fuerte
Yes 89%No 11%
Expertos
48
Total $
$184.0k
Ahora
78.0¢
Cierre
8d
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Fuerte
No 97%Yes 3%
Expertos
38
Total $
$156.5k
Ahora
97.4¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Inclinación
Yes 79%No 21%
Expertos
70
Total $
$190.9k
Ahora
73.5¢
Cierre
8d
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Inclinación
Yes 72%No 28%
Expertos
96
Total $
$210.9k
Ahora
36.2¢
Cierre
2mo
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Fuerte
No 96%Yes 4%
Expertos
50
Total $
$156.0k
Ahora
98.9¢
Cierre
5d
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Inclinación
No 64%Yes 36%
Expertos
75
Total $
$234.7k
Ahora
32.0¢
Cierre
8d
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Dividido
No 59%Yes 41%
Expertos
85
Total $
$248.3k
Ahora
100.0¢
Cierre
4h
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Fuerte
Yes 87%No 13%
Expertos
32
Total $
$162.5k
Ahora
53.0¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Fuerte
No 97%Yes 3%
Expertos
31
Total $
$144.9k
Ahora
96.9¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Fuerte
No 99%Yes 1%
Expertos
18
Total $
$140.6k
Ahora
97.5¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Fuerte
No 81%Yes 19%
Expertos
44
Total $
$171.8k
Ahora
94.2¢
Cierre
2mo
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Fuerte
No 84%Yes 16%
Expertos
38
Total $
$166.5k
Ahora
62.5¢
Cierre
8d
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Fuerte
Yes 83%No 17%
Expertos
46
Total $
$165.4k
Ahora
16.4¢
Cierre
25mo
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Fuerte
Yes 95%No 5%
Expertos
24
Total $
$140.1k
Ahora
9.7¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Inclinación
No 72%Yes 28%
Expertos
21
Total $
$184.2k
Ahora
62.0¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Fuerte
No 99%Yes 1%
Expertos
20
Total $
$133.7k
Ahora
97.2¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Fuerte
Yes 100%No 0%
Expertos
54
Total $
$132.0k
Ahora
16.9¢
Cierre
25mo
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Fuerte
No 86%Yes 14%
Expertos
31
Total $
$147.1k
Ahora
91.5¢
Cierre
2mo
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
Fuerte
No 97%Yes 3%
Expertos
22
Total $
$129.0k
Ahora
99.3¢
Cierre
5d
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Fuerte
Yes 91%No 9%
Expertos
43
Total $
$136.9k
Ahora
18.1¢
Cierre
25mo
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Fuerte
No 100%Yes 0%
Expertos
10
Total $
$124.0k
Ahora
99.6¢
Cierre
2mo
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Inclinación
Yes 77%No 23%
Expertos
101
Total $
$154.6k
Ahora
89.5¢
Cierre
5d
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Dividido
Yes 54%No 46%
Expertos
26
Total $
$216.6k
Ahora
5.0¢
Cierre
25mo
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Fuerte
No 92%Yes 8%
Expertos
34
Total $
$128.3k
Ahora
94.5¢
Cierre
2mo
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Fuerte
No 93%Yes 7%
Expertos
40
Total $
$123.8k
Ahora
96.8¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Fuerte
No 100%Yes 0%
Expertos
28
Total $
$114.0k
Ahora
98.8¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Fuerte
No 99%Yes 1%
Expertos
16
Total $
$115.5k
Ahora
99.2¢
Cierre
2mo
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Fuerte
No 91%Yes 9%
Expertos
49
Total $
$122.6k
Ahora
94.5¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Fuerte
No 96%Yes 4%
Expertos
29
Total $
$115.2k
Ahora
97.8¢
Cierre
1d
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Fuerte
◆ Smart money con el favorito
No 98%Yes 2%
Expertos
43
Total $
$112.3k
Ahora
90.6¢
Cierre
1d
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
Fuerte
No 99%Yes 1%
Expertos
21
Total $
$109.9k
Ahora
95.5¢
Cierre
2mo
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Inclinación
Yes 65%No 35%
Expertos
36
Total $
$166.8k
Ahora
31.5¢
Cierre
8d
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Unánime
No 100%
Expertos
33
Total $
$106.7k
Ahora
97.6¢
Cierre
2mo
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Fuerte
Yes 94%No 6%
Expertos
39
Total $
$112.3k
Ahora
65.5¢
Cierre
7mo
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Dividido
Yes 59%No 41%
Expertos
36
Total $
$177.3k
Ahora
20.0¢
Cierre
2mo