0xfd82…342b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfd82c87cc605168e1ccd315c9064b4c2da22342b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+4.2pp

ROI

+21%

Tasa de acierto

25% @ 21.0¢

Brier

0.118

Resueltas

886

Tamaño med.

$19

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	47% (59/125)	+31%	125
Política	52% (14/27)	+52%	27
Deportes	14% (3/21)	-10%	21
Geopolítica	0% (0/8)	-100%	8
Cripto	100% (2/2)	+76%	2
Tecnología	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other125 apuestas
Tasa acierto
47% (59/125)
ROI
+31%
Política27 apuestas
Tasa acierto
52% (14/27)
ROI
+52%
Deportes21 apuestas
Tasa acierto
14% (3/21)
ROI
-10%
Geopolítica8 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/8)
ROI
-100%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+76%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

42% acierto · 78/184

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	$348	99.3¢	Ganó
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-02?	No	$30	30.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$46	9.2¢	Perdió
Celtics vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	$44	34.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$200	33.3¢	Perdió
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?	No	$71	71.0¢	Perdió
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	$184	71.6¢	Ganó
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$47	2.4¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	$25	5.0¢	Perdió
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$238	5.6¢	Perdió
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	$37	77.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$99	49.5¢	Perdió
Bulls vs. Thunder	Thunder	$30	89.0¢	Ganó
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$150	64.0¢	Ganó
Will any country leave NATO in 2025?	No	$100	86.5¢	Ganó
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?	No	$41	68.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$36	14.3¢	Perdió
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	$20	7.4¢	Perdió
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	$71	71.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?	Yes	$2	1.6¢	Perdió
Will Nik Airball win at Hustler Casino on Friday?	Yes	$91	46.4¢	Ganó
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees	Detroit Tigers	$48	40.0¢	Ganó
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	$78	82.1¢	Ganó
Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	$71	71.0¢	Ganó
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$100	76.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$4	0.4¢	Perdió
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$146	0.3¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	$50	77.0¢	Ganó
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	$57	57.0¢	Ganó
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros	Los Angeles Angels	$5	42.0¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$206	65.6¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$100	74.0¢	Ganó
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$66	4.7¢	Perdió
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$229	1.8¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$181	19.1¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Trump Strait" or "Strait of Trump" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	$5	83.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$45	9.0¢	Perdió
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$150	1.5¢	Perdió
Will Bayern beat Dortmund?	Yes	$66	66.0¢	Perdió
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?	No	$25	24.5¢	Perdió
Bucks vs. Pistons	Pistons	$66	66.0¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Yes	$17	17.0¢	Perdió
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$64	64.0¢	Perdió
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?	No	$50	85.0¢	Ganó
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	$44	87.0¢	Ganó
US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?	No	$400	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	$12	12.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	$1	3.2¢	Perdió
Celtics vs. Magic	Magic	$62	62.0¢	Ganó

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Ganó
No$348 @ 99.3¢
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-02?Perdió
No$30 @ 30.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Perdió
Yes$46 @ 9.2¢
Celtics vs. GrizzliesPerdió
Grizzlies$44 @ 34.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$200 @ 33.3¢
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?Perdió
No$71 @ 71.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Ganó
No$184 @ 71.6¢
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Perdió
Yes$47 @ 2.4¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Perdió
Yes$25 @ 5.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$238 @ 5.6¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Ganó
No$37 @ 77.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Perdió
No$99 @ 49.5¢
Bulls vs. ThunderGanó
Thunder$30 @ 89.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Ganó
No$150 @ 64.0¢
Will any country leave NATO in 2025?Ganó
No$100 @ 86.5¢
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?Ganó
No$41 @ 68.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$36 @ 14.3¢
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 7.4¢
Cavaliers vs. KnicksPerdió
Knicks$71 @ 71.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 1.6¢
Will Nik Airball win at Hustler Casino on Friday?Ganó
Yes$91 @ 46.4¢
Detroit Tigers vs. New York YankeesGanó
Detroit Tigers$48 @ 40.0¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$78 @ 82.1¢
Grizzlies vs. WarriorsGanó
Warriors$71 @ 71.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Perdió
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 76.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$146 @ 0.3¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Ganó
No$50 @ 77.0¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosGanó
Houston Astros$57 @ 57.0¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosPerdió
Los Angeles Angels$5 @ 42.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$206 @ 65.6¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Ganó
No$100 @ 74.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$66 @ 4.7¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$229 @ 1.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$181 @ 19.1¢
Will Trump say "Trump Strait" or "Strait of Trump" this week? (April 20 - 26)Ganó
No$5 @ 83.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$45 @ 9.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$150 @ 1.5¢
Will Bayern beat Dortmund?Perdió
Yes$66 @ 66.0¢
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?Perdió
No$25 @ 24.5¢
Bucks vs. PistonsPerdió
Pistons$66 @ 66.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 17.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Perdió
No$64 @ 64.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Ganó
No$50 @ 85.0¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Ganó
No$44 @ 87.0¢
US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?Ganó
No$400 @ 88.0¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Ganó
No$12 @ 12.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 3.2¢
Celtics vs. MagicGanó
Magic$62 @ 62.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$944	81.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Política	No	$222	92.4¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$210	11.1¢
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Deportes	Yes	$190	19.0¢
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	Política	No	$188	93.8¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Política	Yes	$174	62.7¢
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	Política	No	$167	83.5¢
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Deportes	Yes	$160	9.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$144	65.6¢
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Deportes	Yes	$141	15.7¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$121	24.3¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Política	Yes	$98	39.1¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Tecnología	Yes	$96	13.7¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Política	No	$92	92.4¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Cripto	No	$88	88.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Política	No	$87	87.0¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$77	2.6¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Política	No	$70	70.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Política	No	$58	77.0¢
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Deportes	Yes	$50	5.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Política	No	$46	92.7¢
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$45	1.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$44	88.0¢
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	Política	Yes	$42	21.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$41	5.5¢
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Deportes	Yes	$40	0.8¢
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$34	89.0¢
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$30	0.6¢
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Deportes	Yes	$24	1.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$22	22.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$944 @ 81.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Política
No$222 @ 92.4¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$210 @ 11.1¢
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Deportes
Yes$190 @ 19.0¢
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Política
No$188 @ 93.8¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Política
Yes$174 @ 62.7¢
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Política
No$167 @ 83.5¢
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Deportes
Yes$160 @ 9.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolítica
Yes$144 @ 65.6¢
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Deportes
Yes$141 @ 15.7¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$121 @ 24.3¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Política
Yes$98 @ 39.1¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tecnología
Yes$96 @ 13.7¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?Política
No$92 @ 92.4¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Cripto
No$88 @ 88.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Política
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$77 @ 2.6¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Política
No$70 @ 70.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Política
No$58 @ 77.0¢
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?Deportes
Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Política
No$46 @ 92.7¢
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$45 @ 1.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$44 @ 88.0¢
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Política
Yes$42 @ 21.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$41 @ 5.5¢
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?Deportes
Yes$40 @ 0.8¢
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Política
No$34 @ 89.0¢
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$30 @ 0.6¢
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Deportes
Yes$24 @ 1.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Política
Yes$22 @ 22.0¢