0xfb59…83f9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfb593511b24df1edff63c35de81c72d5733683f9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+3.5pp

ROI

+39%

Tasa de acierto

40% @ 36.9¢

Brier

0.154

Resueltas

1692

Tamaño med.

$158

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	52% (25/48)	+26%	48
Other	49% (19/39)	+71%	39
Geopolítica	58% (11/19)	+72%	19
Economía	60% (3/5)	+43%	5
Deportes	67% (2/3)	+49%	3

Política48 apuestas
Tasa acierto
52% (25/48)
ROI
+26%
Other39 apuestas
Tasa acierto
49% (19/39)
ROI
+71%
Geopolítica19 apuestas
Tasa acierto
58% (11/19)
ROI
+72%
Economía5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
60% (3/5)
ROI
+43%
Deportes3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
+49%

Historial

53% acierto · 60/114

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Spread: Mississippi State (-3.5)	Mississippi State	$50	50.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Florida (-3.5)	Florida	$102	51.0¢	Ganó
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	Yes	$77	7.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$80	16.0¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$8.6k	80.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$6.7k	67.6¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$13.5k	18.2¢	Perdió
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	$50	8.0¢	Perdió
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$4.3k	57.4¢	Perdió
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$1.0k	28.0¢	Ganó
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	NRG	$122	61.0¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$3.6k	66.8¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$374	77.6¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	Yes	$16	4.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$120	51.0¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$1.2k	73.4¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$2.7k	77.2¢	Ganó
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$7.0k	73.5¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	$164	10.0¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	$348	19.7¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	$310	3.1¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	$103	80.0¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	$6.2k	68.1¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	$3.7k	57.8¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	$12.9k	32.5¢	Ganó
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$3.7k	74.6¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$368	17.1¢	Perdió
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$890	44.5¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	$420	42.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	$196	6.5¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	$626	4.4¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$421	84.1¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$252	5.4¢	Perdió
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?	No	$1.0k	82.3¢	Ganó
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?	Yes	$25	6.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$140	70.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$1.2k	19.5¢	Ganó
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$1.5k	75.0¢	Ganó
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$1.1k	26.0¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$1.2k	60.5¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$223	7.2¢	Perdió
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?	No	$702	63.6¢	Ganó
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?	Yes	$134	24.2¢	Perdió
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?	No	$172	41.0¢	Ganó
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$1.4k	77.9¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	$312	13.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	42.9¢	Ganó
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$458	75.0¢	Ganó
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	$356	48.2¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	$150	15.0¢	Perdió

Spread: Mississippi State (-3.5)Ganó
Mississippi State$50 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Florida (-3.5)Ganó
Florida$102 @ 51.0¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Perdió
Yes$77 @ 7.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Ganó
Yes$80 @ 16.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Ganó
No$8.6k @ 80.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$6.7k @ 67.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$13.5k @ 18.2¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 8.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Perdió
No$4.3k @ 57.4¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Ganó
Yes$1.0k @ 28.0¢
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaGanó
NRG$122 @ 61.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$3.6k @ 66.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$374 @ 77.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 4.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$120 @ 51.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 73.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$2.7k @ 77.2¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Ganó
No$7.0k @ 73.5¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Perdió
Yes$164 @ 10.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Perdió
Yes$348 @ 19.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$310 @ 3.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Ganó
No$103 @ 80.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Ganó
No$6.2k @ 68.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Perdió
Yes$3.7k @ 57.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Ganó
No$12.9k @ 32.5¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Ganó
Yes$3.7k @ 74.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$368 @ 17.1¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Perdió
Yes$890 @ 44.5¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Perdió
No$420 @ 42.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$196 @ 6.5¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Perdió
No$626 @ 4.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Ganó
No$421 @ 84.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Perdió
Yes$252 @ 5.4¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 82.3¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Perdió
Yes$25 @ 6.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Perdió
No$140 @ 70.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Ganó
Yes$1.2k @ 19.5¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ganó
No$1.5k @ 75.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 26.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 60.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$223 @ 7.2¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Ganó
No$702 @ 63.6¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Perdió
Yes$134 @ 24.2¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$172 @ 41.0¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Ganó
No$1.4k @ 77.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Perdió
Yes$312 @ 13.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.7k @ 42.9¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Ganó
No$458 @ 75.0¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Ganó
Yes$356 @ 48.2¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Perdió
Yes$150 @ 15.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$42.5k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$42.5k	50.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$7.3k	83.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$6.6k	83.4¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$4.3k	87.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$3.5k	86.8¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$2.6k	87.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Cultura	No	$1.6k	92.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	No	$1.6k	77.5¢
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$1.1k	90.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$600	12.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Política	No	$600	60.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$473	77.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$369	64.6¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Política	Yes	$343	34.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Política	Yes	$322	46.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Política	Yes	$319	12.6¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Política	Yes	$188	69.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Política	No	$134	61.0¢
Spread: Vikings (-1.5)	Deportes	Vikings	$98	49.0¢
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Deportes	Eagles	$15	47.0¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$42.5k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$42.5k @ 50.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$7.3k @ 83.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$6.6k @ 83.4¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$4.3k @ 87.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$3.5k @ 86.8¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$2.6k @ 87.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Cultura
No$1.6k @ 92.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
No$1.6k @ 77.5¢
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$1.1k @ 90.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$600 @ 12.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Política
No$600 @ 60.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$473 @ 77.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$369 @ 64.6¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Política
Yes$343 @ 34.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Política
Yes$322 @ 46.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Política
Yes$319 @ 12.6¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Política
Yes$188 @ 69.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Política
No$134 @ 61.0¢
Spread: Vikings (-1.5)Deportes
Vikings$98 @ 49.0¢
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Deportes
Eagles$15 @ 47.0¢