0xfb1b…a11d

Especialización por esfera

• Other180 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  46% (83/180)

  ROI

  +22%

• Tecnología19 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  63% (12/19)

  ROI

  +13%

• Política4 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  50% (2/4)

  ROI

  -28%

• Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
  No$7.2k @ 89.4¢
• SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
  No$365 @ 58.2¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
  No$1.7k @ 95.5¢
• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$95 @ 55.0¢
• Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Ganó
  No$1.9k @ 86.3¢
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$152 @ 45.0¢
• Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$1.0k @ 95.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Ganó
  Yes$4.1k @ 83.6¢
• Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?Perdió
  Yes$24 @ 18.8¢
• GPT ads by December 31?Ganó
  No$1.3k @ 89.5¢
• Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Ganó
  Yes$1.4k @ 85.0¢
• GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$1 @ 89.0¢
• OpenAI browser by September 30?Ganó
  No$53 @ 46.9¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Perdió
  Yes$415 @ 59.7¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Perdió
  Yes$613 @ 82.6¢
• Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?Ganó
  No$326 @ 72.9¢
• Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$1.5k @ 45.0¢
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Ganó
  Yes$68 @ 4.6¢
• Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Ganó
  Yes$80 @ 48.8¢
• Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?Ganó
  Yes$2.2k @ 72.0¢
• Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Ganó
  No$730 @ 73.0¢
• Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Perdió
  Yes$83 @ 11.9¢
• Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Ganó
  No$24 @ 85.0¢
• Claude 4 released in May?Perdió
  No$175 @ 38.4¢
• Claude 4 released in May?Ganó
  Yes$160 @ 80.0¢
• Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Perdió
  No$222 @ 19.0¢
• X Money launch in 2025?Perdió
  Yes$26 @ 23.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Ganó
  Yes$1.2k @ 60.9¢
• Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?Ganó
  No$211 @ 81.0¢
• Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Ganó
  No$181 @ 45.1¢
• Brown and MIT shooters confirmed to be same person?Perdió
  No$541 @ 53.0¢
• Brown and MIT shooters confirmed to be same person?Ganó
  Yes$192 @ 77.4¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?Ganó
  Yes$77 @ 88.0¢
• Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Ganó
  No$3.0k @ 19.5¢
• Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$22 @ 39.0¢
• Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Perdió
  Yes$13 @ 10.0¢
• Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?Perdió
  Yes$126 @ 2.2¢
• Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Perdió
  Yes$4 @ 2.6¢
• Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$2.1k @ 84.1¢
• Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?Perdió
  Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
• Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?Perdió
  Yes$445 @ 89.0¢
• OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?Ganó
  No$324 @ 87.0¢
• Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Ganó
  Yes$1.7k @ 82.0¢
• Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?Perdió
  Yes$27 @ 9.0¢
• Will Mistral have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Perdió
  Yes$3 @ 0.6¢
• Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Ganó
  No$29 @ 88.0¢
• Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on August 31?Perdió
  No$30 @ 71.0¢
• Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Perdió
  Yes$16 @ 2.3¢
• US government shutdown Saturday?Ganó
  Yes$970 @ 53.3¢
• Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Perdió
  No$393 @ 17.6¢

Posiciones actuales

• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
  Yes$4.4k @ 61.1¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tecnología
  Yes$4.2k @ 67.6¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tecnología
  No$1.2k @ 49.5¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tecnología
  No$929 @ 92.9¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tecnología
  No$899 @ 73.4¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?Tecnología
  No$885 @ 78.4¢
• Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?Tecnología
  No$879 @ 75.7¢
• Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
  No$806 @ 79.6¢
• Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
  No$767 @ 68.3¢
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
  Yes$666 @ 26.5¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
  No$586 @ 25.8¢
• Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tecnología
  No$501 @ 32.0¢
• Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
  No$316 @ 23.7¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
  Yes$243 @ 49.9¢
• Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Política
  No$238 @ 34.0¢
• Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?Tecnología
  No$140 @ 55.3¢
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tecnología
  Yes$136 @ 84.5¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?Tecnología
  No$127 @ 51.0¢
• Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tecnología
  No$118 @ 26.5¢
• Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tecnología
  Yes$104 @ 46.0¢
• Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tecnología
  Yes$95 @ 37.0¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Tecnología
  Yes$88 @ 21.9¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
  Yes$51 @ 24.0¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
  No$40 @ 18.0¢
• Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?Tecnología
  No$29 @ 45.0¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Tecnología
  No$14 @ 7.0¢
• Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tecnología
  No$3 @ 54.0¢
• Anthropic acquired before 2027?Tecnología
  No$2 @ 60.0¢
• Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?Tecnología
  No$1 @ 67.0¢