0xf965…ccb0

Especialización por esfera

• Política141 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  57% (81/141)

  ROI

  +18%

• Geopolítica27 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  70% (19/27)

  ROI

  +53%

• Cultura22 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  50% (11/22)

  ROI

  +24%

• Economía15 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  60% (9/15)

  ROI

  -30%

• Other8 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  63% (5/8)

  ROI

  +98%

• Tecnología7 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  29% (2/7)

  ROI

  -14%

• Cripto1 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +567%

• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ganó
  No$1 @ 28.0¢
• Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ganó
  Yes$6 @ 96.2¢
• Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Perdió
  Yes$1.2k @ 22.8¢
• Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ganó
  Yes$10 @ 25.0¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ganó
  No$4 @ 84.0¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Perdió
  Yes$1 @ 10.9¢
• Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?Perdió
  No$1 @ 24.0¢
• Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
• Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?Ganó
  No$20 @ 80.0¢
• Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?Perdió
  No$6 @ 49.0¢
• Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Perdió
  No$210 @ 40.6¢
• Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ganó
  Yes$9 @ 52.0¢
• Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 6, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$3 @ 43.0¢
• Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?Perdió
  No$12 @ 33.5¢
• Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?Ganó
  Yes$12 @ 67.0¢
• Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Perdió
  No$1 @ 33.8¢
• Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Ganó
  Yes$14 @ 73.9¢
• Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by at least 12%?Ganó
  Yes$23 @ 60.4¢
• Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Perdió
  Yes$3 @ 7.7¢
• Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Perdió
  Yes$130 @ 44.0¢
• EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?Ganó
  Yes$12 @ 76.0¢
• Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ganó
  Yes$229 @ 84.3¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Perdió
  Yes$3 @ 28.0¢
• Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Perdió
  No$7 @ 67.6¢
• Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ganó
  Yes$2 @ 18.9¢
• US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Perdió
  Yes$1 @ 31.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Ganó
  No$20 @ 88.0¢
• Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?Perdió
  No$12 @ 36.0¢
• Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$5 @ 18.1¢
• Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.55% in October?Ganó
  Yes$5 @ 78.0¢
• Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by at least 25%?Perdió
  Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
  No$531 @ 46.6¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Perdió
  Yes$1 @ 76.7¢
• Will Trump not lower tariffs on any country by July 31?Perdió
  Yes$38 @ 4.9¢
• Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ganó
  Yes$6 @ 59.0¢
• Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? Perdió
  No$203 @ 67.9¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by October 31?Ganó
  Yes$4 @ 56.0¢
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ganó
  Yes$12 @ 87.1¢
• Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Perdió
  Yes$6 @ 8.5¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ganó
  No$4 @ 72.0¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Perdió
  Yes$1 @ 14.8¢
• Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?Ganó
  Yes$6 @ 64.4¢
• Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Perdió
  No$1 @ 7.0¢
• Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Perdió
  No$5 @ 28.0¢
• Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$6 @ 88.2¢
• Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by at least 15%?Ganó
  No$12 @ 75.0¢
• Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 18, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$8 @ 72.0¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?Ganó
  Yes$16 @ 70.5¢
• Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?Ganó
  No$41 @ 81.0¢

Posiciones actuales

• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?Política
  No$27 @ 42.0¢
• Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 5, 2026?Geopolítica
  Yes$22 @ 72.9¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?Política
  No$20 @ 27.0¢
• Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Geopolítica
  Yes$18 @ 44.8¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026?Política
  No$17 @ 61.0¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026?Política
  No$17 @ 39.5¢
• Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?Geopolítica
  Yes$15 @ 61.3¢
• Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?Cripto
  No$14 @ 81.9¢
• Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?Economía
  Yes$12 @ 15.0¢
• US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Política
  Yes$12 @ 86.0¢
• Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Economía
  Yes$12 @ 73.0¢
• Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?Geopolítica
  Yes$12 @ 66.0¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?Política
  No$12 @ 65.0¢
• Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Política
  Yes$12 @ 36.2¢
• Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Política
  Yes$10 @ 23.0¢
• Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?Política
  Yes$9 @ 65.0¢
• Will USD/BRL hit 7 (High) in 2026?Other
  No$9 @ 94.0¢
• Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Política
  Yes$9 @ 30.1¢
• Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Política
  No$9 @ 23.0¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
  Yes$8 @ 18.4¢
• Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Política
  No$8 @ 10.0¢
• Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Economía
  Yes$8 @ 86.5¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Política
  No$8 @ 68.0¢
• Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Tecnología
  Yes$8 @ 54.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Política
  No$8 @ 29.0¢
• Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Política
  No$8 @ 38.4¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Política
  No$7 @ 87.0¢
• Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Política
  Yes$7 @ 37.8¢
• Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30?Cultura
  No$6 @ 51.0¢
• Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Política
  No$6 @ 78.0¢