0xf2aa…21fb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf2aa8381a08ec33467fbcdd0843aa31cb8d521fb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

-1.7pp

ROI

+11%

Tasa de acierto

30% @ 31.3¢

Brier

0.136

Resueltas

4898

Tamaño med.

$82

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	46% (261/567)	+16%	567
Ciencia	43% (20/46)	+42%	46
Política	52% (15/29)	-2%	29
Geopolítica	38% (11/29)	-43%	29
Tecnología	42% (10/24)	-31%	24
Economía	80% (8/10)	+12%	10
Cripto	50% (1/2)	+292%	2

Other567 apuestas
Tasa acierto
46% (261/567)
ROI
+16%
Ciencia46 apuestas
Tasa acierto
43% (20/46)
ROI
+42%
Política29 apuestas
Tasa acierto
52% (15/29)
ROI
-2%
Geopolítica29 apuestas
Tasa acierto
38% (11/29)
ROI
-43%
Tecnología24 apuestas
Tasa acierto
42% (10/24)
ROI
-31%
Economía10 apuestas
Tasa acierto
80% (8/10)
ROI
+12%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
+292%

Historial

46% acierto · 326/707

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in October?	No	$630	87.5¢	Ganó
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?	Yes	$83	22.4¢	Perdió
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	$190	32.9¢	Perdió
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?	No	$1.4k	82.0¢	Ganó
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	$631	21.4¢	Perdió
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$1.0k	81.0¢	Ganó
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$1.3k	31.0¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?	No	$391	38.1¢	Ganó
Will Trump's UN speech be between 35 and 40 minutes?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Perdió
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?	No	$133	8.3¢	Perdió
Will egg prices be between $5.75 and $6.00 in April?	No	$1.1k	88.5¢	Ganó
Will Panke win the Aster trading competition?	Yes	$3	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$265	24.0¢	Perdió
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?	No	$48	41.2¢	Ganó
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% in April?	No	$457	82.6¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$510	68.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?	No	$3.5k	61.8¢	Perdió
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4 in June?	Yes	$785	33.3¢	Ganó
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?	Yes	$248	23.0¢	Perdió
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?	No	$11	81.0¢	Ganó
Will egg prices be less than $4.75 in April?	Yes	$294	5.7¢	Perdió
Will 538 call 49 states correctly?	No	$95	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?	No	$1.0k	59.4¢	Ganó
Will Elisa win the Legend Trade Series?	No	$59	86.0¢	Ganó
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	No	$2.2k	71.8¢	Perdió
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	$2.3k	73.6¢	Ganó
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	No	$3	20.0¢	Perdió
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	$225	1.1¢	Ganó
US kicks trans members out of military before July?	No	$280	36.9¢	Ganó
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	23.6¢	Perdió
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?	No	$1.3k	23.8¢	Perdió
Will Game 11 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?	Yes	$7	2.0¢	Perdió
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?	No	$1000	72.5¢	Perdió
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?	Yes	$998	48.7¢	Ganó
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	No	$248	5.5¢	Perdió
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$260	13.0¢	Perdió
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	No	$141	13.0¢	Perdió
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?	Yes	$517	32.3¢	Perdió
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?	Yes	$1.7k	22.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?	No	$748	47.3¢	Ganó
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	$2.2k	62.7¢	Perdió
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$360	18.0¢	Perdió
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$1.7k	87.0¢	Ganó
FDA approves Merck’s clesrovimab infant RSV prevention (MK‑1654)?	No	$536	10.6¢	Perdió
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$61	6.1¢	Ganó
Will Binance list another Pump.fun coin in November?	No	$319	56.4¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$286	30.0¢	Ganó
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?	Yes	$3	9.8¢	Ganó
Honda and Nissan merger announced before February?	No	$1.6k	66.4¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?	Yes	$128	5.5¢	Perdió

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in October?Ganó
No$630 @ 87.5¢
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?Perdió
Yes$83 @ 22.4¢
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?Perdió
Yes$190 @ 32.9¢
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Ganó
No$1.4k @ 82.0¢
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Perdió
No$631 @ 21.4¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 81.0¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Perdió
Yes$1.3k @ 31.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?Ganó
No$391 @ 38.1¢
Will Trump's UN speech be between 35 and 40 minutes?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Perdió
No$133 @ 8.3¢
Will egg prices be between $5.75 and $6.00 in April?Ganó
No$1.1k @ 88.5¢
Will Panke win the Aster trading competition?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Perdió
Yes$265 @ 24.0¢
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?Ganó
No$48 @ 41.2¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% in April?Ganó
No$457 @ 82.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Perdió
No$510 @ 68.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?Perdió
No$3.5k @ 61.8¢
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4 in June?Ganó
Yes$785 @ 33.3¢
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?Perdió
Yes$248 @ 23.0¢
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?Ganó
No$11 @ 81.0¢
Will egg prices be less than $4.75 in April?Perdió
Yes$294 @ 5.7¢
Will 538 call 49 states correctly?Ganó
No$95 @ 89.0¢
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 59.4¢
Will Elisa win the Legend Trade Series?Ganó
No$59 @ 86.0¢
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Perdió
No$2.2k @ 71.8¢
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Ganó
Yes$2.3k @ 73.6¢
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Perdió
No$3 @ 20.0¢
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Ganó
Yes$225 @ 1.1¢
US kicks trans members out of military before July? Ganó
No$280 @ 36.9¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.9k @ 23.6¢
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?Perdió
No$1.3k @ 23.8¢
Will Game 11 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 2.0¢
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?Perdió
No$1000 @ 72.5¢
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?Ganó
Yes$998 @ 48.7¢
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Perdió
No$248 @ 5.5¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Perdió
Yes$260 @ 13.0¢
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?Perdió
No$141 @ 13.0¢
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Perdió
Yes$517 @ 32.3¢
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?Perdió
Yes$1.7k @ 22.7¢
Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?Ganó
No$748 @ 47.3¢
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Perdió
Yes$2.2k @ 62.7¢
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?Perdió
No$360 @ 18.0¢
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?Ganó
Yes$1.7k @ 87.0¢
FDA approves Merck’s clesrovimab infant RSV prevention (MK‑1654)?Perdió
No$536 @ 10.6¢
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Ganó
Yes$61 @ 6.1¢
Will Binance list another Pump.fun coin in November?Ganó
No$319 @ 56.4¢
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Ganó
Yes$286 @ 30.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 9.8¢
Honda and Nissan merger announced before February?Ganó
No$1.6k @ 66.4¢
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Perdió
Yes$128 @ 5.5¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$1.6k	89.8¢
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$1.3k	32.4¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Negocios	Yes	$1.0k	68.3¢
Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Política	No	$1.0k	85.0¢
Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Política	No	$720	68.9¢
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?	Economía	No	$698	89.2¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Negocios	Yes	$671	78.4¢
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	—	Yes	$610	63.4¢
Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$505	19.9¢
Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Política	No	$427	89.4¢
Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Política	No	$398	89.1¢
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Política	No	$381	58.0¢
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economía	Yes	$321	64.3¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Negocios	Yes	$296	74.0¢
Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Política	No	$290	85.5¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026?	Ciencia	No	$283	75.6¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Alabama by November 30, 2026?	Ciencia	No	$271	90.6¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026?	Ciencia	No	$266	89.9¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026?	Ciencia	No	$235	88.0¢
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	—	Yes	$235	24.4¢
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?	Economía	No	$234	81.8¢
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Economía	Yes	$190	32.9¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?	Ciencia	No	$175	91.1¢
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?	Economía	No	$164	90.6¢
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?	Política	No	$88	10.4¢
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?	Economía	Yes	$83	22.4¢
All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$80	54.4¢
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?	Política	No	$78	15.4¢
Will ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026?	Economía	No	$69	71.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economía	Yes	$34	23.8¢

Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?Ciencia
No$1.6k @ 89.8¢
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Ciencia
Yes$1.3k @ 32.4¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Negocios
Yes$1.0k @ 68.3¢
Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Política
No$1.0k @ 85.0¢
Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Política
No$720 @ 68.9¢
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?Economía
No$698 @ 89.2¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Negocios
Yes$671 @ 78.4¢
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?—
Yes$610 @ 63.4¢
Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Ciencia
Yes$505 @ 19.9¢
Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Política
No$427 @ 89.4¢
Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Política
No$398 @ 89.1¢
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?Política
No$381 @ 58.0¢
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economía
Yes$321 @ 64.3¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Negocios
Yes$296 @ 74.0¢
Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Política
No$290 @ 85.5¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026?Ciencia
No$283 @ 75.6¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Alabama by November 30, 2026?Ciencia
No$271 @ 90.6¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026?Ciencia
No$266 @ 89.9¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026?Ciencia
No$235 @ 88.0¢
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?—
Yes$235 @ 24.4¢
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?Economía
No$234 @ 81.8¢
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?Economía
Yes$190 @ 32.9¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?Ciencia
No$175 @ 91.1¢
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?Economía
No$164 @ 90.6¢
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?Política
No$88 @ 10.4¢
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?Economía
Yes$83 @ 22.4¢
All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?Ciencia
No$80 @ 54.4¢
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?Política
No$78 @ 15.4¢
Will ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026?Economía
No$69 @ 71.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economía
Yes$34 @ 23.8¢